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Weekly Archive

By: Julian Phillips, Gold Forecaster and Silver Forecaster - 14 September, 2007

Overall, Central Bankers have recognized that the globe faces a serious problem that will not fade away and threatens growth and stability. Unless solid action is taken soon both to prevent further loss of confidence and to restore past levels of confidence the global economy could take a dip alongside further destabilizing of U.S. & global markets, including global foreign exchanges. Individuals and institutions will increase their gold holdings and Central Banks will become hesitant to sell any more gold. Full Story

By: Peter Schiff, Euro Pacific Capital, Inc. - 14 September, 2007

With the U.S. Dollar Index breaking decisively below its long-term support level, the sun is finally setting on the golden age of American consumption. As America’s economic dominance fades, so too will the faith in the central thesis that has explained its apparent success and has shaped the majority of recent economic theory. Full Story

By: Casey Research - 14 September, 2007

According to Casey Research Chief Economist Bud Conrad, there is a disconnect between the official Fed pronouncements and official action. Further, Mr. Conrad believes that the Fed has already effectively cut the Fed Funds rate. Full Story

By: Richard Benson, Specialty Finance Group, LLC - 14 September, 2007

You don’t have to be Sherlock Holmes to see the signs of a recession bursting through in economic data, particularly in the August Employment Report. One general coincident indicator for a slowing economy is in the decline in tax receipts. Because taxes are based on income, if less income is reported, lower tax revenues are received. Tax receipts are falling for the US Treasury and the for state and local tax authorities. Full Story

By: Puru Saxena - 13 September, 2007

Precious metals are on the verge of a major rally within their ongoing bull-market. After consolidating since May 2006, both gold and silver spent the past 16 months building large bases and now it seems that the much anticipated advance has arrived. Full Story

By: Chris Powell, GATA - 13 September, 2007

U.S. Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, a candidate for the Republican presidential nomination, has told journalist Peter Brimelow that the central banks are manipulating the gold market and all sorts of markets besides. Full Story

By: David Bond - 13 September, 2007

Wallace, Idaho – In addition to a world-class panel of experts and CEOs from all corners of the silver world, Silver Summit 2007 this year will feature a variety of products using silver in traditional and non-traditional applications. Full Story

By: Bob Chapman, The International Forecaster - 13 September, 2007

The subprime crisis will be with us for some time to come. The Fed, investment banks, bankers and many experts knew it was coming but there was a conspiracy of silence. Now the result is it’s out of control with no sign in sight that the credit crunch is any way near over. The elitists believe that by disbursing the risk all over the world the losses could be absorbed. Well they were wrong. As a result of this episode the central banks in the future will only get limited cooperation. Full Story

By: Justice Litle - 12 September, 2007

The first attempt to cross $700, some 16 months ago, was rebuffed. Things weren't all that bad on the Fed front just yet, and $700 was still a ceiling relative to the anchor of what felt "too high" and "too low." In due time, however, the inexorable logic of the Austrian Endgame means at least one thing. Gold's one-time $700 ceiling will ultimately be transformed into a floor... and, eventually, a memory. Full Story

By: Jim Willie CB - 12 September, 2007

Four charts speak volumes, with only a few words to serve as captions. Ever since the lousy August Jobs Report came out (doctored to look better than the real situation), the gold picture has experienced a sea change. Gold is breaking out, not yet to new highs, but that is next. Full Story

By: Adrian Ash - 12 September, 2007

"IT IS A FRAUD to accept what you cannot repay," said Publilius Syrus way back in the first century BC. But Syrus was merely a Roman hack...and a freed slave to boot. So what would he know about collateralized loan obligations? No more or less than today's Bank of England, perhaps. Full Story

By: David N. Vaughn, Gold Letter, Inc. - 12 September, 2007

Well, gold has finally closed above 700 and I believe this to be more than a short term rally. Now 700 has become the floor for gold where as before 700 was the ceiling. What does this mean? Before, gold was attempting to climb above an imaginary Maginot line of 700. Now 700 has become the floor and imaginary base from which gold will call home. Full Story

By: Ned W. Schmidt, CFA,CEBS - 12 September, 2007

U.S. trade deficit on goods and services for last month was reported as $59 billion. For another month $59+ billion of green paper was exported by the U.S. During same period central banks reduced their holdings of U.S. debt by $30+ billion. Those values, when taken together, mean that around the world $90 billion of green paper was sold, or not not bought, by central banks. Little wonder U.S. dollar has rediscovered downward path and Gold has risen. Full Story

By: Gary North, Mises on Money - 12 September, 2007

I have written a speech for Chairman Ben to record on his home video camcorder and then post on YouTube on the morning of September 18, which is the date of the next scheduled meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee. He may use it free of charge. It is my gift to him. Full Story

By: Ted Butler - 12 September, 2007

A few comments before I print a discussion I had with my friend Israel Friedman some weeks back. Once again, the bullish COT set up was accurate in predicting the impressive recent $70 gold rally. Less impressive has been the rally in silver, which appears to being dragged upward by gold. If one were to analyze strictly on short-term price behavior, the price action in silver could not be considered constructive. Then again, short-term price behavior is not the way to properly analyze a market. Full Story

By: Dudley Pierce Baker, Precious Metals Warrants - 12 September, 2007

By focusing on the mining shares, leaps and long term warrants investors are wisely using leverage without the fear and risk of short term volatility in the markets. As you may recall from our previous articles, our investments are basically within the commodity and natural resource sectors and the common shares or long term warrants trading on those shares. We are confident we are positioned correctly to not only generate capital gains, but have given ourselves the opportunity to create great wealth. Full Story

By: David Galland, Casey Research - 11 September, 2007

In all our publications, we have recently taken a good, hard look at several facets of the unfolding crisis. Over the last week, the Casey Research team has continued doing a forensic analysis of where this all might lead, and especially how it will affect our collective investments. Full Story

By: Steven Saville, Speculative Investor - 11 September, 2007

If the October contract closes at $715 or higher then our short-term outlook will change to either "neutral" or "bullish" because a decisive break above $710 will create a technical objective of $775. If an upside breakout occurs immediately (within the next few days) then the risk of a quick breakout failure will be quite high and we will only move our short-term view to "neutral". However, if gold can consolidate below $710 for at least a few days (preferably 1-2 weeks) before breaking above $710 then the upside breakout will have a greater chance of being sustained and we will move our short-term view to "bullish" in anticipation of a rise to $775. Full Story

By: Adrian Ash - 11 September, 2007

ADAM LEYLAND, editor of The Grocer – the food & drink industry's favorite weekly reading here in the United Kingdom – says the cost of the average Briton's weekly shopping bill could rise 30% by December. Full Story

By: Richard Daughty, The MOGAMBO GURU - 11 September, 2007

Dr. Kurt Richebächer, a legendary luminary in the Austrian school of economics vein, has, I am very sorry to say, died. I will miss him, although I never met him, but I have always been very impressed with him, and what he thought, and what he wrote. Full Story

By: Roy Martens - 11 September, 2007

In the last update I mentioned that the settings for a breakout were there and Gold hasn’t disappointed us. After testing the red line 2 it shot up, broke above the moving averages (MA), and on through the double top formation. Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 11 September, 2007

With a full-blown real estate crash perhaps no more than five or six months away, and the black clouds of recession-or-worse massing on the horizon, you have to wonder what kind of dolt would be buying stocks at these levels. The simple answer is that it is not dolts, but bears covering shorts, who are providing nearly all of the buoyancy these days. For, even the reckless bozos who manage OPM are not so genuinely bullish that they can come up with passable excuses for adding stocks to clients’ portfolios. Full Story

By: Radio - 10 September, 2007

Special Radio interview with Jim Sinclair. Full Story

By: - 10 September, 2007

1st Hour:
Headline news & market forecast.
Spotlight Picks with big dividends.
The International Forecaster and Chris Waltzek answer listener questions.

2nd Hour:
John Williams Full Story

By: Bob Chapman, The International Forecaster - 10 September, 2007

The first truly global bubble in asset pricing has broken and unfortunately it is accompanied by a credit crisis. Full Story

By: Antal E. Fekete - 10 September, 2007

In earlier papers I have explained that virtually all activities of gold mines that go under the name „hedging” are fraudulent. To the extent hedges go out into the future more than one year, or they exceed the quantity of one year’s production, they are naked forward sales, carrying unlimited risk (the risk that the gold price goes to infinity, as it has in the wake of every hyperinflation). Full Story

By: Gary Tanashian - 10 September, 2007

All is not fundamentally well in the global casino. We cannot be sure the current deflation scare will not somehow get papered over with appearances being kept up yet again and the Dow's nominal 'price' at 15K or 20K somewhere out on the horizon. But it is never a bad idea to try to hone a clear vision about what this is in the big picture and take sensible steps to a) not get blown up by it whether long or short and b) take advantage of it. Full Story

By: Merv Burak, CMT - 10 September, 2007

Global markets weakening, U.S. dollar weakening, gold zooming higher – is this what is sometimes called a “perfect storm” for gold? Full Story

By: Douglas V. Gnazzo - 10 September, 2007

Watch the yen, as almost all other markets are keying off it – in an inverse manner. If the yen goes up, they go down. If the yen goes down, they go up. So far US Treasuries have bucked the trend (as when the yen goes up they go up), and now gold seems to be doing the same. Full Story

By: Sol Palha, Tactical Investor - 10 September, 2007

Remember that the overall supply of Uranium is not increasing. We cannot meet current demands so what’s going to happen in the future when all these plants start to come online. China is adding one new nuclear plant almost on a monthly basis, Russia has just announced plans to build another 42 plants and they have also announced that they are going to build portable floating nuclear power plants that they plan to sell to almost anyone that can pay for them. Full Story

By: John Mauldin, Millenium Wave Advisors - 9 September, 2007

The unemployment numbers came in today, and if you look under the hood of the data, it is worse than the headline loss of 4,000 jobs. Should the Fed cut the interest rates in two weeks? Will it make a difference? Are we headed into recession (as predicted here in my January 2007 forecast issue)? When do we see a bottom in the housing market? Are we there yet? We look at all this and more. It should make for an interesting letter, if I can get my jet-lagged body to cooperate. Full Story

By: Greg Silberman CA(SA), CFA - 9 September, 2007

The sell-off in August is but a distant memory. Gold stocks reversed sharply higher in September culminating in a 6.6% 1-day gain. Is there anyway to cope with this volatility? Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 9 September, 2007

Nailing swing highs and lows can be challenging when Gold is stuck in a range, but because it has been trending strongly in recent weeks we’ve been able to do some profitable joy-riding with very little stress. In this case, with a quite bullish forecast for the next week or so, we watched as selling pressure abated in thin trading early Thursday evening. Full Story

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