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Weekly Archive

By: David Chapman, Union Securities - 12 September, 2008

The financial panic and collapse of the first decade of the century continues. We have never seen anything like this and most of us will never see anything like this again. Except for the boomer generation it is coming at a time when many of us are set to retire. This is our generations financial collapse just like the Great Depression and War was for our parents. Full Story

By: Jason Hommel, Silver Stock Report - 12 September, 2008

We just need a better trading site for silver and gold, much better than COMEX, where people cannot sell what they don't have which would eliminate the fraud of unbacked futures contracts. Such a site should have lower fees than ebay, and where people can place bids for fungible metals products, unlike what ebay offers. Full Story

By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 12 September, 2008

-Is there no limit to how much the government can borrow? How much it can spend? Won't there come a point when the dollar loses value…and when creditors get scared?
-A leak in the Bubble System…the U.S. trade deficit is unexpectedly large…
-The days of laissez-faire are over…we don't know how low gold can go - but we do know how low stocks and bonds can…and more! Full Story

By: Peter Schiff, Euro Pacific Capital, Inc. - 12 September, 2008

In the latest example of financial market madness, the recent government “bailout” of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae has perversely resulted in a sharp rise in the value of the U.S. dollar. If the markets were functioning rationally, the transference of staggering new liabilities to the U.S. Treasury would have been immediately seen as catastrophic for the dollar. Full Story

By: David Galland, Managing Director, Casey Research, LLC - 12 September, 2008

As we take a longer view on the precious metals here at Casey Research, I’m not much for commenting on current market gyrations or the various subthemes that regularly emerge in the blogs. That said, because I know the topic of gold’s latest moves is of interest to many – and to myself as well, though my longer-term perspective lessens the heat around day-to-day, week-to-week, or even month-to-month gyrations – a couple of quick observations are in order. Full Story

By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC - 12 September, 2008

After starting to recover a bit in mid-August, commodities have just been crushed in September. Selling is overwhelming and universal, shattering countless technical support lines. Investors’ capital is being destroyed at a breathtaking rate. Fears are running very high and the financial media is gleefully declaring that “the commodities bubble has burst”. Full Story

By: Charleston Voice - 12 September, 2008

Back in its infancy of this gold bull run seven or eight years ago, the HUI gold index was something like 45, and gold nuts were screaming for their friends and families to buy-in. Few did. It was considered impolite at the time, and besides momentum hadn't taken hold. Investors didn't peer over the edge of the box they were living in. Earlier this year the HUI went over 500. Rudimentary math says that's a 10X gain. The HUI is now back down to 250. Ouch! Junior miners down even more. Why? Full Story

By: Deepcaster - 12 September, 2008

Recent U.S. Taxpayer Bailouts of private or quasi-private entities, culminating in The Nationalization (read: Bailout) of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is only the beginning of the Impending Perfect Storm in the Economy and Financial System, and far from the end. Full Story

By: Adrian Ash, BullionVault - 12 September, 2008

So U.S. Treasury Secretary HANK PAULSON – if the source gabbing to Reuters this week wasn't fibbing – remains "adamant" that he won't help fund the fire-sale of Lehman Bros. Maybe he's just keeping tax-payers' safe cash in reserve, ready for the next meltdown on Wall Street. Perhaps the fourth-largest US bank is small enough to fail. Or maybe he's genuinely trying to avoid an inflationary collapse in the Dollar, capping his big bail-out splurge with Fannie & Freddie and drawing a line in the sawdust. Full Story

By: Eric Hommelberg - 12 September, 2008

What about you? Thrilled about the latest sell-off of your beloved gold shares? Thrilled about your junior mining stocks trading at rock bottom bear market levels? Thrilled about governments/media magic to spin an endless chain of bankruptcies into hyper bullish (dollar) events? Full Story

By: Gary Tanashian - 12 September, 2008

Is the solution in the Euro? How about oil? 'Got to own those resources' say the inflation traders. But this is economic contraction and in this environment, cash is king and the other alternative, gold, is going to rise from court jester to crowned prince as most nations face increasing pressure to "burn their currencies" in the name of economic survival. Full Story

By: David Morgan, Silver Investor - 12 September, 2008

To state it has been rough in the precious metals sector the past month is a gross understatement. Many in this sector, including this writer, have experienced losses that just a few short weeks ago would have seemed nearly impossible. Full Story

By: Richard Daughty, The MOGAMBO GURU - 12 September, 2008

Man, oh man! 'Nothing is off the table'! Wow! How come I never have anyone covering my Mogambo Incompetent Butt (MIB) like that, saying, 'Let's protect Mogambo from the results of his own stupidity and stick somebody else with the bill?' Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 12 September, 2008

With the publication of the first-place essay below, by John McIntyre, we conclude our competition on the theme “What Will Save America?” As grim as the outlook is for the U.S. and global economies over the next five to ten years, we cannot afford as a nation to wallow in despair. McIntyre is as pessimistic as we are looking ahead just a few years, and like us, he sees no way to avoid a deflationary depression. Full Story

By: Richard J. Greene - 11 September, 2008

The relentless selling we have seen over the past month in precious metals was kicked off by the manipulative interventions occurring right around the time of the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac implosions in mid-July. Unprecedented short selling by two major banks in the futures market along with waves of naked short selling of resource stocks pushed indices and stocks through technical support on charts. Full Story

By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 11 September, 2008

-The fog of the 'flationary war is lifting…what does it mean when the world's most free-market government nationalizes its largest finance industry?
-No more delaying or disguising this decline…inflation may be in retreat - but that's not good news…
-The Paulson Doctrine…a scary story to keep a sleepy cabdriver awake…and more! Full Story

By: Jim Willie CB - 11 September, 2008

More crucial than ever, observers must take the broader perspective that avoids overhearing the party on Wall Street. They know not what they celebrate. It is their demise. They rejoice over the collapse of mortgage bonds and now the mortgage centrifuge with a big fat fanny. They rejoice over collapse of Lehman Brothers. They rejoice over the disaster du jour offered at the financial lunch table. In the past two months, a remarkable sequence of events has taken place regarding US$-based bonds. They have been called home, a demand to be brought back to US shores. Full Story

By: Chris Powell, Secretary/Treasurer, GATA - 11 September, 2008

The gold price suppression scheme made it on to worldwide television today thanks to CNBC and Martin Hennecke, senior manager of private clients at Tyche Group in Hong Kong. At about the seven-minute mark of an 8 1/2-minute interview, Hennecke began to talk about precious metals, remarking that their recent decline resulted in part from the general deleveraging of commodity and dollar-short positions and in part from central bank efforts to suppress the gold price. Full Story

By: Charleston Voice - 11 September, 2008

There was an old Chinese torture called Ling chi, a death by a thousand cuts. The cuts are all small, but in the end the person dies. This is what's happening to America's prestige and admiration throughout the world. Full Story

By: Bob Chapman, The International Forecaster - 11 September, 2008

When we broke over $850 gold we pierced the old 1980 high of $850 an ounce, we began stage 2 of a 3 or perhaps 4 stage bull market. Gold attained $1,033 in March and due to government intervention we have tested the $775-$800 range three times putting in what we see as a trading bottom. At these levels it is probably the best time to invest because you should be able to buy cheaper than in this current zone. This could be the last inexpensive train out of the station. Full Story

By: Richard Daughty, The MOGAMBO GURU - 11 September, 2008

The latest report of employment showed that the U.S. unemployment rate is now at 6.1%, which is up from 5.7% a month ago. Worse, of the 7 sectors tracked in the report, only in government and education/healthcare is employment rising! Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 11 September, 2008

Should the Government simply have allowed FannieFreddie to die? That’s the free-market, libertarian point of view, and it was expressed most persuasively in the latest monograph from the Mises Institute, How to Avoid Another Depression. Some might argue that avoiding a depression was exactly what Paulson did when he announced on Friday that the U.S. had seized control of the two mortgage giants. News stories out over the weekend said that he had no choice – that foreign investors were threatening to cut and run if he didn’t do something. Full Story

By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 10 September, 2008

-Big tumble, followed by a rally, followed by a tumble - anyone seeing a pattern here?…the smart money knows where it should go…
-We were right all along - or at least for today…one day, U.S. T-bonds will be looked at like shares of Fannie Mae…
-Apparently, the Treasury Secretary hasn't figured out the cost of this bailout on a calculator yet - that's reassuring…Lehman Bros: following in the footsteps of Bear Stearns?…and more! Full Story

By: Frank Holmes, CEO and Chief Investment Officer, U.S. Global Investors - 10 September, 2008

We do care about fundamentals, and the long-term fundamentals for the commodities sector stocks look healthy. These stocks are trading at very low price-to-earnings ratios and at large discounts to cash flow. As we have published in the past and featured in these special commentaries, different commodities rotate in leadership each year; however, long-term supply constraints have not disappeared, and demand from global infrastructure spending continues to remain robust. Full Story

By: Gary Dorsch, Editor, Global Money Trends - 10 September, 2008

“As soon as you think you’ve got the key to the stock market, they change the lock,” lamented Joe Granville, who is mostly remembered for his bearish calls on the US stock market during the 1970’s, 1980’s, and the 1990’s. Nowadays, many currency traders are scratching their heads, trying to figure out what’s behind the sudden resurrection of the US-dollar, which is flexing its muscles for the first time in two-years, and defying conventional logic, by climbing sharply higher against most foreign currencies, including those that offer much higher rates of interest. Full Story

By: James West, The Midas Letter - 10 September, 2008

Instead of clear and level-headed financial stewardship by the country’s “leaders”, we have a situation where the government, at an ever increasingly transparent level, seeks to enrich itself at the cost of its citizenry, a situation they at the same time claim to be in the position of defending against. Its George Orwell’s doublespeak enshrined in a political system. Full Story

By: Adrian Ash, BullionVault - 10 September, 2008

So today we're back where we started, with a collapse in retail investments (then stocks, now housing) and the collapse of the very biggest institutional bets. The US administration's response...? Full Story

By: Daniel R. Amerman - 10 September, 2008

Something extraordinary happened on Monday, September the 8th, 2008. The government takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac triggered the pending settlement of $1.4 trillion in credit-default swaps. This single event could have led to a cascading series of failures that might have bankrupted Wall Street – and much of the rest of the financial world – by the end of the week. Full Story

By: The Casey Report - 10 September, 2008

This is the biggest bailout ever. If 10% of the $5 trillion of guarantees must be made good by the government, the payments would be $500 billion. That is the size of the annual U.S. defense budget. The outstanding debt of the U.S. held by the public is the size of the guaranteed mortgages. It is huge. Full Story

By: Jason Hommel, Silver Stock Report - 10 September, 2008

What will happen next? It's anyone's guess. I have one. Maybe the paper sellers will never cover. Maybe they plan to default, while maintaining a low price. After all, if you have to give out a "cash settlement" because there is no silver, then it's far better to default at $10 than at $100, right? Full Story

By: Roland Watson, The Silver Analyst - 10 September, 2008

Silver investors out there are chewing their fingers to the bone; they want something solid to put their feet on. The ultimate comfort is the confidence Elliott wave theory gives to see this coming and also point further ahead to events not only beyond this first bull leg but beyond to a glorious finale for silver, gold and any other asset that rallies itself against the loose foundation of fiat money. Full Story

By: Vincent Bressler - 10 September, 2008

Watch the price of gold carefully. Gold is the only viable alternative to the fiat currencies for storing large amounts of wealth in a generic form. Once gold starts to accelerate away from previous highs, it will become attractive as an alternative to the depreciating dollar, even for large holders of dollars. Full Story

By: Clif Droke - 10 September, 2008

For a good part of the summer, trading volume was exceptionally light on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). This was largely influenced by the typical summer vacation season this year. For the better part of July and August, the absence of heavy trading activity coincided with a more or less listless stock market and even a mild interim rally in the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average. Full Story

By: Ceri Shepherd, Trend Investor - 10 September, 2008

Nobody forced Wall Street to make the decisions, write the contracts and take the risks they did, they were all taken on in the name of profit. Unfortunately if you make the wrong decisions within a free market, profit has a twin sister she is called loss. Full Story

By: R. D. Bradshaw - 10 September, 2008

The previous article on the Goldsmiths discussed at some length the incredible devotion of the plutocratic market manipulators to the practice of secrecy and the use of deceit, treachery and deception to fool the ignorant and uninformed masses. This reality prompts the following remarks on offering a “possible” direction that the plutocratic rulers may follow in the coming days. Full Story

By: Peter J. Cooper - 10 September, 2008

There is almost hysteria among gold bugs about the recent drop in gold prices and silver bugs have had an even harder time. But time and again financial markets have shown that the best way to succeed is by keeping your head (and strategy) while all others are losing their’s. Full Story

By: Richard Daughty, The MOGAMBO GURU - 10 September, 2008

Because the government (in our case, through its proxy the Federal Reserve) creates excessive amounts of money and credit…the poor must consume less, and the money they spend flows to the rich guys who borrowed the money in the first place! Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 10 September, 2008

Houston, we’ve got a problem. Mere days after the U.S. government announced the biggest corporate bailout in human history, investors have already stopped acting relieved. The persnickety S.O.B.s sent the Dow Industrials tumbling 280 points yesterday, wiping out nearly all of the gains that initially had greeted the news. Full Story

By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 9 September, 2008

-Now the taxpayers get to take on the risk - and foot the bill for the mistakes of the mortgage giants…the Land of the Free just became a little less so…
-When will the mountain of fraud come a-tumbling down?…bear market nowhere near over yet…
-There is no joy in Mudville, after all…all signs point to sluggish economy…a new record high budget deficit…and more! Full Story

By: Theodore Butler & Israel Friedman - 9 September, 2008

Financial and market developments seem to be rushing by at unworldly speed. Government bailouts, unprecedented market turmoil, non-stop conflicting commentary. It’s hard to comprehend everything, much less write about it. At the same time, the turmoil creates opportunities like never before. I’m an old hand with silver, yet it is beyond extraordinary to see plummeting prices amid a shortage. I know full well the reason for this apparent impossibility, but witnessing it is still incredible. Full Story

By: Christopher G. Galakoutis - 9 September, 2008

Watching the US markets, including the dollar, rally of late in light of the stream of horrific economic news, including this past weekend’s announcement of a historic US government bailout of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, was sort of like watching Barry Bonds chase down Hank Aaron’s all-time baseball home run record last year. Full Story

By: Dr. Ron Paul, U.S. Congressman - 9 September, 2008

Last week I discussed how sound money contributes to peaceful relationships around the world. It is not gold, in and of itself, that excites me, but the many benefits of sound money. Another benefit is financial security. Full Story

By: Steven Saville, Speculative Investor - 9 September, 2008

In late 2002, when deflation fears were running rampant through the financial markets, a little known Fed governor by the name of Ben Bernanke thrust himself into the glare of publicity by giving a speech in which he explained what the Fed could do to ensure that deflation didn't happen in the US. Like most people, when Bernanke talks about deflation he is referring to falling prices; that is, he is talking about one of the effects of deflation as opposed to actual deflation (money supply contraction). Full Story

By: Nadeem Walayat - 9 September, 2008

The US governments takeover of the bankrupt Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac on Sunday is reminiscent of the UK governments nationalization of Northern Rock Bank, albeit the scale of Sundays takeover is of several orders of magnitude larger. Still the result is the same, total loss of capital for the shareholders. I won't repeat the dynamics of what has transpired on Sunday as the volume of similar articles speak for themselves. Full Story

By: Peter Schiff, Euro Pacific Capital, Inc. - 9 September, 2008

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, the man who said that subprime was contained and that the Bazooka in his pocket would never be used, now assures us that the bailout of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will be costless to taxpayers. Despite the near euphoria that the plan has sparked on Wall Street, the move will go down in history as the biggest policy blunder of all time, and will be credited as a pivotal point in the financial collapse of the American economy. The ultimate cost to Unites States citizens will be in the range of hundreds of billions of dollars, perhaps more. Full Story

By: James Turk - 9 September, 2008

It’s really very simple. Fiat currency is a scheme perpetrated by central banks. To make their scheme work, they intervene in the gold market to manipulate the gold price. By doing so they try to make their fiat currency look better. Thus, it’s not gold that is the barbarous relic. The barbarous relic is central banking. Full Story

By: Chris Vermeulen - 9 September, 2008

Today was another one of those great days for a spot gold trade using the free intraday charts by Kitco. I’m not sure if anyone watched the free Kitco 24 Hour Spot Gold Chart which is shown below but I watch it like a hawk. It doesn’t take long to get a feel for how gold moves through out the 24hr day. Once you get a feel for it and see the same things happen every week opportunities start to pop up on the radar. Full Story

By: R. D. Bradshaw - 9 September, 2008

People aware of how so-called human beings operate know perfectly well that all men (without exception) have a basic problem which is the first and primary cause of all evil in the world today. On this, some persons actually recognize it in the context of intangibles called human nature, carnality and the flesh. We all have the problem. There are no exceptions. Full Story

By: Richard Daughty, The Mogambo Guru - 9 September, 2008

Now I am curious to know how much an ounce of gold would be if the $829 billion in actual U.S. cash-and-coin that exists was netted against the 261 million ounces of gold that the Fed is supposed to have. Hmmm! Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 9 September, 2008

With this latest bailout, perhaps die-hard inflationists will begin to notice that higher grocery and fuel bills are small potatoes compared to the epic deflationary bust laying waste to the financial system. Americans may be throwing away $700 billion a year on foreign oil, but the economic impact of this waste pales in comparison to the de-leveraging of a global financial edifice aggregating into the hundreds of trillions of dollars. Full Story

By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 8 September, 2008

-Bill's back on the job…at first glance, the drop in oil prices seems like a good thing for the economy…
-The bailout that shook the nation…Hurricane Hank sweeps through the nation's capital…
-Take advantage of the dip in the price of gold…wise words from a former Fed Chairman…I.O.U.S.A. is still in theaters…and more! Full Story

By: Michael J. Kosares - 8 September, 2008

When IndyMac Bank collapsed in early July, USAGOLD-Centennial Precious Metals logged the largest single week volume in its 35 year history. And that was just the beginning. By mid-August gold coin demand had become so strong globally that U.S. Mint and South Africa's Rand Refinery announced they could no longer keep up with their orders and promptly shut down operations. Full Story

By: Captain Hook, Treasure Chests - 8 September, 2008

A coordinated effort on the part of the banking cartel / governments / media is attempting to push the $ higher in an intervention using the guise that magically, only now Euro-zone growth is slowing / weaker than expected (while the rest of the world has been coming unglued for some time), and for this reason Euros should be sold in favor of $’s. Full Story

By: Howard S. Katz - 8 September, 2008

The technical evidence is pouring in that gold is making a secondary test of its Aug. 15 low. This means that we are at an important buy point for gold, and people who have been watching from the sidelines now have an opportunity to enter the market. Full Story

By: Bob Moriarty - 8 September, 2008

March 17th was the best day this year to be selling gold. Any time now at all would be a great time to place another Anti-dollar bet. Don't think you need to wait. There is something really bad about to happen. I am not sure what it is. But it's going to rocket gold and kill the dollar. Full Story

By: Jason Hommel, Silver Stock Report - 8 September, 2008

This may be the most important article that I will ever write in my lifetime, and it may be the most important you will ever read. I don't know if things will ever be as crucial on the world stage as they are today. The world has a choice to head towards increased freedom and prosperity, or towards shortages and misery. Full Story

By: Antal E. Fekete - 8 September, 2008

Gold mining executives would like to forget the hedging fiasco as you would the worst nightmare of your life. But the ghost of this greatest shareholder rip-off will not let them. It keeps haunting them, and for a very good reason, too. There are still more skeletons in the cupboard. Just take a look at gold mining share prices and their reaction, or rather the lack of it, to the unfolding banking crisis. Full Story

By: Peter Forth - 8 September, 2008

There is no question that precious metals have been pummeled lately and anyone who has been long the sector has seen their portfolios bleed red. As of Friday, Sep 5 2008 silver closed down nearly 5% at a new 12 month low. It has decisively broken through lows set earlier in the summer and is in a technically poor pattern. Full Story

By: Ned W. Schmidt, CFA, CEBS - 8 September, 2008

Gold Bugs, this week around the world, will be joining together to celebrate the greatest financial collapse in history, past or future. In bureaucrat-speak, a conservatorship for FNM & FRE is being created. However, Gold Bugs know a duck when they see one. Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 8 September, 2008

Like an inspired jazz musician, today’s featured essayist, second-place winner Doug Graham, gives us a cryptic riff in a minor key before cutting loose on the topic “What Will Save America?” For his effort, Graham will receive a $500 scholarship to the Hidden Pivot seminar. He ranks Energy, Fiscal Policy and Citizenship, in that order, as the key issues that we must tackle. Full Story

By: Douglas V. Gnazzo - 8 September, 2008

Gold and other commodities had a tough week – again. The selling has been relentless as cries of deleveraging circle the globe – liquidity now is the name of the game. Whatever will fetch a price is gone in a blink as the next item goes up for bid. A fever pitch has been raised and now all wait anxiously for the fever to break. A cold damp chill hangs in the air. Full Story

By: - 7 September, 2008

1st Hour:
Headline news & Market Weatherman Forecast.
Spotlight Stock Picks with big dividends.
The International Forecaster and Host Chris Waltzek answer listener questions.
2nd Hour:
Puru Saxena Full Story

By: Bob Chapman, The International Forecaster - 7 September, 2008

This past Thursday, when the Dow received a 344+ point haircut, or should we call it a brush-cut, some in the media wondered why this huge loss had occurred? Well, pardon us, but could the root cause be that the doomed US financial system has now moved past the event horizon of a super-massive financial black hole, which was recently created by the gravitational collapse of the Subprime Death-Star's constituent mass of fraud and deceit when its internal furnace, fueled by the fusion of toxic waste bond tranches into sucker-dupe real estate derivatives, finally burned out, thanks to the advice of analyst Meredith Whitney at Oppenheimer & Co.? Full Story

By: Jason Hommel, Silver Stock Report - 7 September, 2008

I asked my readers to go to their local coin shop on Tuesday, September 2, at 2PM. On September 3rd, I published the first 10 reports from my readers. Here are the rest, about 25 more. They are almost identical. No customers. No silver. Long delivery times, or unknown wait times. What little silver there is, is often selling at shockingly high premiums, and going higher. Full Story

By: Sol Palha, Tactical Investor - 7 September, 2008

This chart illustrates what we have been saying all along for a very long time. The housing market exploded to such heights that it must literally be destroyed before it finds a bottom; this is exactly the same thing that occurred during the internet mania which lasted from 1996-2000. Full Story

By: John Mauldin, Millennium Wave Advisors - 7 September, 2008

We are entering the next stage of the credit crisis, and one which is potentially more troubling than what we have seen over the past year, absent some policy reactions by the central banks and governments world wide. The crisis was started by an intense run-up in leverage by financial institutions and investors world wide, investing in increasingly risky assets such as subprime mortgages and then the realization that leverage could hurt. Full Story

By: Richard Daughty, The MOGAMBO GURU - 7 September, 2008

all the money 'invested' during the boom in stocks, bonds and houses is lost unless more money is created for another crop of 'greater fools' to buy the assets from the 'penultimate fools!' Hahaha! It's insane! Full Story

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