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Weekly Archive

By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 11 July, 2008

-Struggling to live in an Aspen mansion…Fannie and Freddie - the Julius Caesars of Wall Street…
-The imposing force of economic delusion…nothing is as cheap as it used to be - even exotic sports cars…
-The croaking of nostalgic old frogs…we have a small favor to ask of you…and more! Full Story

By: Jim Sinclair - 11 July, 2008

I respectfully ask all of our readers to either take delivery of your paper certificates or become book entries on the book of the non-financial entity transfer agent for all of your junior mineral industry company shares. The latter is best for anyone who has a somewhat difficult time keeping track of things. Full Story

By: Peter Schiff, Euro Pacific Capital, Inc. - 11 July, 2008

Here lies the source of our problems. When the dollar was king, demand here was strong. American consumers, armed with the mighty greenback, flexed their muscle and priced foreign consumers out of the market. Now that the dollar is a 98 pound weakling, foreign consumers are returning the favor, and are kicking sand in our faces. Full Story

By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC - 11 July, 2008

Earlier this week, the flagship S&P 500 stock index (SPX) officially entered bear-market territory. As it edged past a 20% loss since its all-time high of October 2007, all debate about whether or not a bear really exists was instantly rendered irrelevant. Beyond any doubt we now sojourn in a full-on bear market! Full Story

By: Deepcaster - 11 July, 2008

Denial of Unpleasant Realities can cause extraordinary Portfolio and Personal Pain. Unfortunately, there are some Seriously Unpleasant Realities developing in the Markets and Economy--considerably more Unpleasant than those we have seen to date. Full Story

By: Adrian Ash, BullionVault - 11 July, 2008

In the 100 years ending Dec. 1999, the proportion of annual corporate profits going to stockholders averaged 59 cents in the dollar. It held above 50% during the five decades starting 1950 as well. But during the Decade of No Returns – that miserable 10-year period running from July '98 to last month – the share of corporate earnings passing to stockholders fell sharply to average an all-time 10-year low beneath 38%. Full Story

By: Roland Watson, The Silver Analyst - 11 July, 2008

It could not have escaped your attention that the financial sector is undergoing a crisis of confidence just now as the sub-prime loan debacle continues to ripple out to what was once thought as impervious sectors of the banking world. Full Story

By: Peter Zihlmann, Zihlmann Investment Management AG - 11 July, 2008

The AMEX Gold BUGS Index is comprised of 15 of the nation's largest “unhedged” gold mining stocks. It is a “modified equal-dollar weighted” index. As a result, most of the index's component stocks are equally weighted, yet the largest stocks still carry a greater weight than the smallest. Full Story

By: Jim Willie CB - 11 July, 2008

My personal observation of the entire inflation debate is one of awe, for the ignorance is beyond description. Neither the public nor the financial community has a clue what inflation is, how it affects the USEconomy, how it should price bonds, how it produces imbalances. A smirk comes when an email hits my inbox asking about inflation versus deflation. My answer usually covers a few key economic items and how each is subject to rising prices or falling prices. Full Story

By: Jason Hommel, Silver Stock Report - 11 July, 2008

It's good to review the basics. This time, I made some charts, which can be useful to see the comparison of size. The concept of relative size is often lost when we discuss millions, billions and trillions, but the concepts of relative size is extremely important when considering growing your money. Full Story

By: Richard Daughty, The MOGAMBO GURU - 11 July, 2008

The Implacable Screaming Mogambo (ISM) goes freaking berserk at the economic insanity of it all as he watches, horrified, as asset prices get bid higher and higher in a boiling frenzy of speculation with all of this new Federal Reserve money and credit, and which will end badly when the Ponzi game falls apart… Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 11 July, 2008

Hope sprang eternal in the Rick’s Picks chat room yesterday that crude oil’s big surge would somehow send stocks plummeting. Alas, it was not to be. Short-covering persisted throughout the day, pushing the Dow Industrials to a yet another undeserved gain – in this case, 82 points. Bearish hopes had doubtless been inspired by a 1218.00 target we’d proffered for the E-mini S&P. Full Story

By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 10 July, 2008

-Some financial advice from General Sherman…a razor-thin margin of safety in U.S. Treasuries…
-A quote for future historians…an old man can't become a young man just by acting like one…
-Why a good cook is indispensable…a suggestion as to how to combat rising food prices…and more! Full Story

By: Marin Katusa, Casey Energy Speculator - 10 July, 2008

Calls for national security to the contrary, America's appetite for energy is stronger than its caution. In the last 15 years, the United States has steadily increased its dependence on imported crude oil by some 60%. Part of the reason is declining production, as displayed in the chart below. Full Story

By: Ty Andros, TraderView - 10 July, 2008

As the next chapter in the unfolding insolvency of the G7 financial and banking system progresses, the next round of balance sheet destruction is at hand. Look no further than gold and silver, which it appears is about to embark on their next leg higher in confirmation of the next round of monetary debasement that looms directly ahead. Full Story

By: GoldSeek.com - 10 July, 2008

Jim Rogers: The Dollar is Doomed and the Fed's Days are Numbered [video] Full Story

By: Gary Dorsch, Editor, Global Money Trends - 10 July, 2008

In today’s lightning fast and violent markets, where a constant barrage of news and noise flows into the marketplace each day, it’s easy to forget a vital piece of information that was released just a few hours or days earlier. Trader sentiment is often swayed by the price action of the moment, and it’s easy to lose sight of the core issues and mega-trends, that move the markets over the longer-term. Full Story

By: Warren Bevan - 10 July, 2008

In previous articles I have mentioned that the top will be near as the money honeys are lurking in the Gold pits and Gold is talked about as much as oil is today. Gold being mentioned today may be the slow and long overdue start of the end for this Gold bull market, but seeing as it was an obvious and quite comical mistake, maybe not. Full Story

By: Gary Tanashian - 10 July, 2008

I am not a gold bug. I would much rather be a sound US Economy bug. In fact there are productive segments of the US economy that are fairing relatively well and benefiting from inflationary policy even as the US financial sector, arguably the former beneficiary of the greatest bubble (in confidence) of all time, continues its collapse. This is a confusing time. This is not a drill. It is time to get this right. Full Story

By: Gary North, Mises on Money - 10 July, 2008

Every time I read a Bernanke speech, I cannot screen out my memory of Ron Moody as Fagin in Oliver! "I'm reviewing the situation." Fagin was boxed in, facing tough decisions. Every option was a looming disaster. Full Story

By: Richard Daughty, The MOGAMBO GURU - 10 July, 2008

Some morons suggest that they should peg their currencies against a basket of other currencies! Hahaha! I may be drunk out of my Freaking Mogambo Mind (FMM) on some really cheap hooch, but even so, I am sure that this is a Particularly Bad Idea (PBI), as those other countries are pegging their currencies to the dollar, too! Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 10 July, 2008

Bulls and bears went another bloody round yesterday, setting the stage for a rubber match when the opening bell sounds. Since the beginning of July, gratuitous swings have averaged about 250 points -- all of it for naught, since the dominant, bearish trend has made almost no headway. Will this be the day stocks finally break down? Full Story

By: Ira Epstein - 9 July, 2008

Did you see the cast of characters speaking on TV yesterday attempting to bolster up the US Dollar? All that was missing was Ronald Regan. Because of the G-8 Meeting, the US is putting its best foot forward in talking up the US economy and with it, the US Dollar. Full Story

By: Peter A. Grant, USAGOLD - 9 July, 2008

Gold continues to shine as one of the best performing asset classes through the first half of 2008, according to the USAGOLD Annual Survey of Investments. Only the CRB index, which of course includes a gold component, outperformed gold itself over the past year. Arguably it was the latest surge in oil prices that allowed the broad measure of commodities to supplant gold from the number one position over the last month of the second quarter. Full Story

By: Bix Weir - 9 July, 2008

Once a “non-gold bug” understands the 3 Gold Camps they will be able to discuss the gold markets on many different levels, and they can start building a knowledge base about gold. Once they fully understand the motivation of the market participants they will get the “WHY” part of the equation and want to participate in what could conceivably turn out to be the largest bull market in financial history. Full Story

By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 9 July, 2008

-Getting shot to pieces from both directions…abandoned shopping malls to follow abandoned houses…
-Failing to revive the 'animal spirits' of the boom…a consumer economy suffers from 'turning Japanese'…
-Europe: designed for the machine age…Ron Paul explains how we got into this mess…and more! Full Story

By: Peter Grandich, Grandich Publications, LLC - 9 July, 2008

What you are about to read is the single most important commentary I’ve written since I first began publishing The Grandich Letter in 1984. Every American should read it, and those who do will likely wish they hadn’t. What I’m about to speak of is the hardest thing I ever had to do in my life. Full Story

By: Adrian Ash, BullionVault - 9 July, 2008

WHAT A DIFFERENCE a decade can make! Over the last 10 years of the 20th century, anyone buying and holding US stocks made a total return approaching 18% per year. Their initial stake, as a 2002 research paper noted, increased five times over. Now that's real money! But roll forward ten years, and the total return on the S&P500 was actually negative for the decade ending on 30th June 2008. Full Story

By: Bob Chapman, The International Forecaster - 9 July, 2008

Right on cue, as spot gold and gold futures twice took out 930 on both Monday and Tuesday, down came oil just as we predicted. Those with the oil shorts we suggested just made a handsome profit which they can add to the gargantuan pile they made from their protective derivatives such as stock index puts. The cartel has run out of bullets. The Fed is out of credible threats for rate hikes and the cartel is out of both gold and silver. Full Story

By: John Browne, Euro Pacific Capital - Senior Market Advisor - 9 July, 2008

If the ECB has thrown in the towel, stand by for lower rates, and intensified inflation throughout the world. In the United States, hyper-inflation is a distinct possibility. In such an environment investors should think not only of buying the financial ‘insurance’ of gold but of devising ways to hang on to it in the face of possible government confiscation, as happened in the 1930s. Given Bernanke’s reverence for FDR era policy, such a move is not beyond the realm of possibilities. Full Story

By: Richard Daughty, The MOGAMBO GURU - 9 July, 2008

I told you to buy gold… But did you? No! You called the police and had them come over here to make me shut up just because it was 2:00 AM and you wanted to sleep like a stupid little baby through the catastrophe that IS the damned economy! Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 9 July, 2008

We were looking for a collapse in oil prices to trigger off a big rally on Wall Street, but that’s not what happened yesterday, not exactly. It was more like a delayed reaction, and a muted one at that. When traders arrived at the New York Stock Exchange, crude was already off $4 a barrel, on its way to a $5.33 loss -- the biggest single-day drop in 17 years. Full Story

By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 8 July, 2008

-The East India Company of the 20th century…slowly putting two and three together…
-Mothers don't let your babies grow up to be CEO of GM…the Fed's not going down without a fight…
-Sticking with our Trade of the Decade…coming together, somewhere north of 3,000…and more! Full Story

By: Theodore Butler - 8 July, 2008

In a recent article, I likened the silver market to a multi-ringed circus, with various activities occurring on different levels. I’d like to draw on that analogy again, and describe the conflicting forces at work that are both pushing prices higher and pulling them lower. Full Story

By: Peter J. Cooper - 8 July, 2008

Investors are being won over to the case for precious metals on a daily basis, and the case against this asset class is also weakening by the day. Time then to consider how to gear up to achieve maximum returns in this asset class, albeit with higher risk. Full Story

By: Alf Field - 8 July, 2008

Pressures are mounting around the world that will probably result in a sharp decline in the exchange value of the US Dollar. The source of the problem is the US current account deficit that has destabilised both the world economy and the international monetary system. Full Story

By: Roy Martens, Resource Fortunes LLC - 8 July, 2008

It’s rather amazing that despite the firm rise in Gold and Silver these past few weeks, the mining stocks aren’t moving at all. Well, that’s not entirely true. The mining stocks do tend to move at times, only in the opposite direction! Needless to say, this is incredibly frustrating to all gold and silver bugs. Full Story

By: David N. Vaughn, Gold Letter, Inc. - 8 July, 2008

I’m tired of paying high gas prices. How about you? I anticipated this time for many years and knew it would be inevitable for the price of oil to rise some day. What is the reality we are experiencing today? Is this a temporary bubble or an indication that maybe demand is chasing supply? Full Story

By: Steven Saville, Speculative Investor - 8 July, 2008

There is almost universal agreement that as the economy continues to deteriorate the government should "do something" to help, with "something" being increase its own borrowing/spending to make up for the reduction in the borrowing/spending of the private sector. Full Story

By: Tony Locantro - 8 July, 2008

The Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) experienced its worst financial year (FY) since 1981-1982. For overseas readers our FY’s start on July 1 and end on June 30. The press has had an absolute picnic, quoting the figures, sensationalising the figures all in the name of getting the big story out there. Those investors in companies with fragile earnings or dreams built on nothing more than debt have been decimated to say the least. Full Story

By: Richard Daughty, The Mogambo Guru - 8 July, 2008

'If the inflation introduced in the United States is excluded, a small miracle is revealed, namely something approaching price stability.' Hahahaha! Let me get this straight: If you take out inflation from the rise in prices, then prices did not rise? Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 8 July, 2008

Gold’s stumble yesterday is reason to turn mildly cautious over the near-term. On Sunday night, when actionable Touts for the next day went out to subscribers, we were looking to catch a swing low with the following advice: “A decisive breach of the 930.90 [Hidden Pivot] support would set up a bottom-fishing opportunity at 920.20…” Full Story

By: Douglas V. Gnazzo - 8 July, 2008

Summer is here and vacation starts for many with the Fourth of July weekend. The beach, the pool, and barbecues and family parties are the order of the day. This week’s report will thus be shorter than usual. Full Story

By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 7 July, 2008

-The importance of being nice…a currency without purchasing power OR staying power…
-America's reaction to the energy squeeze…the folly of an old American conceit…
-A long way from "capitulation territory"…an election question from a well-meaning friend…and more! Full Story

By: Captain Hook - 7 July, 2008

With a collapsing credit cycle unfolding before our very eyes, central planners believe they must paint a picture that what’s happening is ‘normal’ and ‘ordinary’, where in the end all will be well. And in spite of evidence this time around things are different, the media would like us to believe that the public thinks this is the case. Full Story

By: Frank Holmes - 7 July, 2008

There’s been plenty written about how well commodities have performed in recent years. But do you know which of these commodities have done the best between 1999 and 2007? Do you know which ones have been the brightest stars so far in 2008? Full Story

By: David Morgan, Silver Investor - 7 July, 2008

This buying frenzy will drive the price far higher than most people imagine at this point, since there are far more “poor” people than rich people and since there is far less silver than gold available in investment form. The percentage gain in silver and silver related investments will be noted in financial history, just as the silver “corner” by the Hunt Brothers was in 1980! Full Story

By: Peter J. Cooper - 7 July, 2008

If gold has bright prospects due to inflation over the next couple of years, then silver shines even brighter. For in previous periods of financial turmoil and high inflation silver has always out performed gold by a factor of more than two. It is only the volatility of silver prices which puts investors off. But that is increasingly seen as a small price to pay for out performance. Full Story

By: radio.GoldSeek.com - 7 July, 2008

1st Hour:
Headline news & Market Weatherman Forecast.
Spotlight Stock Picks with big dividends.
The International Forecaster and Host Chris Waltzek answer listener questions.
2nd Hour:
-John Williams, Shadow Stats Full Story

By: Bob Chapman, The International Forecaster - 7 July, 2008

The key to all market analysis is the bond market. It is the lynchpin to the elitists' power. It is the keystone to their arch of fraud whose stones consist of the various methods, which they use to pauperize the middle class and to extort and control the financial systems around the world. This market is worth over 45 trillion worldwide with the US share of that market being worth about 25 trillion. Full Story

By: Nadeem Walayat - 7 July, 2008

The recent week has seen crude oil soar through $140 onwards and upwards to a new record high of $146. Much of this gain has been attributed to the growing tension in the middle east with regards a possible Israeli strike on Iranian nuclear infrastructure and the drop in US oil stockpiles. Full Story

By: Olivia & Tatiana Van Vredenburch - 7 July, 2008

BACK IN 1969 the International Monetary Fund (IMF) created a new kind of money – the ultimate form of international money, it believed – called the Special Drawing Right. Full Story

By: Richard Daughty, The MOGAMBO GURU - 7 July, 2008

You will lose more in purchasing power (as central bank monetary inflation destroys the currency by printing enough to finance the higher stock prices) than you will ever net in gains… Full Story




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