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Weekly Archive

By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence - 11 November, 2011

Gold has just entered its strongest time of the year, embarking on a major seasonal rally. Naturally this is very bullish for not only this metal, but the companies that wrest it from the bowels of the Earth. Gold’s well-established seasonality is important for speculators and investors to understand, as it offers many great insights to help fine-tune the timing of precious-metals-related trades. Full Story

By: Ron Hera - 11 November, 2011

The United States is increasingly similar to a 3rd world county in several ways and is accelerating towards 3rd world status. Economic data indicate a harsh reality that obviates mainstream political debate. The evidence suggests that, without fundamental reforms, the U.S. will become a post industrial neo-3rd-world country by 2032. Full Story

By: Deepcaster - 11 November, 2011

Chinese Gold Mine Output has finally flattened, with growth estimates for 2012 at only 2.7%. But Chinese Gold imports exploded in September 2011, with September purchases (56.9 tonnes reported via Hong Kong alone) equaling the entire first 6 months of 2011 put together – a dramatic increase even considering the upcoming holiday season. Full Story

By: Przemyslaw Radomski - 11 November, 2011

This week’s events are like theater, with shades of a Greek tragedy. In a play the audience knows that if there is a gun in the first act, it will be fired in the third. Now we’re in the second act and so far, the plot is predictable. The script was written back in 2008 when the subprime crisis hit. Full Story

By: Andy Sutton - 11 November, 2011

Early last December, I wrote a piece entitled ‘Crisis or Coup?’ in which the anatomy of the 2008 financial crisis was analyzed in further detail and some conclusions drawn. These conclusions were drawn based on facts and actions, not opinions. It was obvious at the time that the USFed and our own government were acting not in the best interests of the people, but rather in the best interests of banks and large corporations. Full Story

By: Frank Holmes - 11 November, 2011

With money markets and Treasuries yielding next to nothing these days, investors are finding income in new places. One area those investors should consider is gold mining. With gold rising in value, mining companies are reaping record profit margins, yet the stock prices are depressed due to lack of investor interest. A solution for both gold companies and investors may be dividends, specifically gold-linked dividends. Full Story

By: Theodore Butler - 11 November, 2011

Oftentimes, the significance of truly historic events is not fully appreciated at the time they occur. I think we are at one of those times with the bankruptcy of MF Global. There’s no question that the news and overall circumstances of the demise of the large commodities brokerage is widely known, but the significance of the event is not yet fully understood. While I would classify the event as an unmitigated disaster on many levels, I have hope that it might result in some long-overdue and necessary changes in the commodities regulatory structure. Full Story

By: John Browne, Senior Market Strategist at Euro Pacific Capital - 11 November, 2011

Last week, the G-20 meetings did not produce an expanded bailout fund for the eurozone. While this may bode well for the long-term solvency of the member-states (moral hazard and all), it has also triggered a market reaction that I expect to help destabilize the common currency. Yesterday's market moves suggested that this development is good for the dollar and bad for gold. Allow me to step back from the stampeding herd to evaluate whether they are, in fact, moving in the right direction. Full Story

By: Peter Cooper - 11 November, 2011

Gold is the trade of choice as the eurozone flounders with 21 out of 22 traders surveyed by Bloomberg bullish about next week. That said gold and silver prices have fluctuated over the past week. November 8th saw gold cross the $1,800 barrier before sinking $50. Silver prices around $35 have been strong, miles away from the pessimism of the summer months. Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 11 November, 2011

Groupon’s $700 million IPO last week proved that thieves and lunatics, working hand in hand and impelled by naked greed, remain a dominant force in today’s markets. With America rapidly on its way to becoming Nickel-and-Dime Nation, perhaps those who snapped up 35 million Groupon shares at huge premiums on opening day knew what they were doing? Full Story

By: Warren Bevan - 11 November, 2011

Since I’m doing this report early I have no idea how the precious metals will close out the week but thus far gold is holding up as it should be and remains within its uptrend channel nicely here. Gold is holding above the moving averages and tested and held the 50 day moving average which coincides with the lower end of the uptrend channel now. Full Story

By: Julian D. W. Phillips, Gold/Silver Forecaster - Global Watch - 10 November, 2011

In recent days we have heard that several G20 leaders of the world's major economies discuss the possibility of Eurozone countries pooling their borrowing rights at the International Monetary Fund to provide greater leverage for the EFSF. The Bundesbank holds Germany's Special Drawing Rights, secured by its gold reserves. Apparently, the proposal had caused tension between Bundesbank President, Jens Weidmann, and Finance Minister, Schaeuble, as well as between Weidmann and the ECB. Full Story

By: Doug Casey and Louis James - 10 November, 2011

I'm sitting in Doug Casey's living room, in Cafayate, Argentina, far, far from Wall Street, which is being "occupied" by protesters with a very clear message. Doug, as a prime cut of meat on the "eat the rich" menu, would you like to respond? Full Story

By: The Silver Institute - 10 November, 2011

The Silver Institute released a report today titled "The Silver Investment Market -- An Update," which forecasts world silver investment will reach a record high total of $10 billion in 2011, representing a 66 percent increase over the $6 billion posted in 2010. Full Story

By: - 10 November, 2011 Radio Gold Nugget: Peter Schiff & Chris Waltzek Full Story

By: Ira Epstein, The Linn Group - 10 November, 2011

Today I recommended that subscribers to my research probe the long side of gold by buying against the $1770 level. In part because gold has reached an 11% gain since July 31st, I don’t recommend using full sized gold contracts. Cut the risk down until more can be told as to whether or not this price correction has further to run. What I don’t want to see is a price break under 1749.8. If that price is broken the current chart pattern will no longer be as bullish as it is. Full Story

By: Adrian Ash, BullionVault - 10 November, 2011

SO a DOLLAR is still a Dollar, just as Richard Nixon told US citizens it was 40 years ago this summer. Whether the Euro will be worth anything next week, who can say? But since then, 15 August 1971, that's all the Dollar has been – one dollar alone, rather than a quantity of rare, indestructible gold bullion, that "barbarous relic" of pre-Industrial superstition, and beloved of the 21st century's fastest-growing, wealth-accumulating societies today. Full Story

By: The Gold Report and Michael O'Brian - 9 November, 2011

Michael O'Brian has learned to apply some philosophies as an avid art collector to his successful investment career: an investor should always be in it for the long term. O'Brian's principles have led him to look beyond gold to copper and some special projects for long-term gains. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, O'Brian, president of private investment firm Nairbo Investments, talks about why he's just as likely to sink his resources into a copper project as he is into gold. Full Story

By: Chris Powell, Secretary/Treasurer, GATA - 9 November, 2011

The Financial Times Deutschland confirms, as GATA has reported, that most of the German gold is stored outside the country, partly for international security reasons but more so now for ease of trading and general subservience to the United States. The FTD story is notable mainly for extracting from the German central bank, the Bundesbank, a statement that no German gold is being leased at the moment. Full Story

By: James Turk and Adam Fergusson - 9 November, 2011

GoldMoney founder James Turk interviews When Money Dies author Adam Fergusson, who discusses the parallels and differences between the Weimar inflation and the situation in the US and Europe today. "I don't see how any of these [Western] economies can grow their way out of the extraordinary debts that they have." Full Story

By: - 9 November, 2011 Radio Gold Nugget: Dr. Stephen Leeb & Chris Waltzek Full Story

By: Bob Chapman, The International Forecaster - 9 November, 2011

We have been in or associated with gold and silver related assets and commodities for well over 50 years and we find we are not convinced that the failure of MF Global was just that, a failure. John Corzine’s background makes us wonder if something else may have been afoot. He had been a former CO-chief operating officer of Goldman Sachs, a high-level, political operator and a Senator and governor from New Jersey. From our viewpoint this is cause for questioning. Full Story

By: Gary North - 9 November, 2011

Think of Europe's finances as a gigantic liquor supply system. There is a system of profit-seeking taverns (commercial banks). There is a clientele (sovereign states). Finally, there is a distiller (the European Central Bank). Full Story

By: Clif Droke - 9 November, 2011

Gold has come into its own since October as traders continue to hang on every word coming out of Europe. Investors have breathed a collective sign of relief in recent days as Europe’s financial ministers plan to unveil a new rescue fund next month. In the meanwhile Italy and Greece are left to deal with their own debt crises until then. Greece must provide written acceptance of bailout terms before it receives its next 8 billion euro loan installment. Full Story

By: Peter Cooper - 9 November, 2011

Gold and silver prices hit six-week highs as the eurozone sovereign debt crisis took more twists and turns with the Greek elite unable to decide on a new prime minister and the Italians seeing theirs resign. Italian bond yields are now perilously close to the seven per cent danger level at which national debt becomes unserviceable, as has already happened in Greece. Full Story

By: Dr. Jeffrey Lewis - 9 November, 2011

The European Debt Crisis seems to have found resolution. Those holding Greek securities will have to tolerate a one-half reduction in the value of their securities, essentially allowing Greece to halve its current debt overnight. Questions linger about Greece’s ability to pay, and some are suggesting that the change might not produce immediate benefits; a write down will just encourage investors to demand greater returns when new securities come on the market. Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman and Chuck Cohen - 9 November, 2011

Mining stocks got you down? Do you shake your fist at the sky whenever a $100 rally in gold causes nary a ripple in exploration shares? If so, get ready for a major mood change, because precious-metal stocks that have languished for years are about to blast off. That’s the prediction of our savvy friend Chuck Cohen, a NYC-based financial consultant who specializes in mining issues. He spells out the reasons for his strong optimism below. Full Story

By: David Knox Barker - 9 November, 2011

Price, time and sentiment represent a three dimensional approach to technical analysis of any market or security. The Fibonacci drill-down grid method is particularly instructive at the current price juncture in the UK FTSE 100. The key to this three-dimensional method is to identify the “hot” Level 1 grid, i.e. the high and low in a Fibonacci grid that produces an extended numbers of clear turns on Level 1 and Level 2 grid lines. Full Story

By: Jeff Clark, Casey Research - 8 November, 2011

While we're convinced that our gold and silver investments will pay off, they don't come without risk. What do you suppose is the biggest risk we face? Another 2008-style selloff? Gold stocks never breaking out of their funk? Maybe a depression that slams our standard of living? Full Story

By: Graham Summers - 8 November, 2011

Few if any commentators understand what is happening in the US today. The reason for this is that the vast majority of investment professionals believe that what they’ve experienced in their lifetimes is the norm. Full Story

By: Richard Benson, SFGroup - 8 November, 2011

The crux of any economic theory starts off with the magic words “first assume that” and then using dazzling logic follows an irrefutable happy conclusion. The real key to using economic theory and logic is in the assumptions. Assume the correct things about the world, and you have a chance of getting the outlook right. Assume the wrong things, and any model will generate totally unreliable garbage. Full Story

By: Stewart Thomson - 8 November, 2011

What chart currently looks better than gold? You’ll be hard pressed to find one. Click this gold chart now. KISS that chart. Keep it simple, and smart. The gold price has now moved almost $100 away from key HSR (horizontal support & resistance) around $1700, and is chewing at the $1800 round number price area. Full Story

By: Neeraj Chaudhary, Investment Consultant with Euro Pacific Capital - 8 November, 2011

With the US stock market's recent volatility, many investors may be wondering whether or not we are headed for another 2008-style crash where the market drops 30 to 40 percent within a few short weeks. Sensing that timing could be critical, many investors may be sitting on the sidelines waiting for a good entry point. But this dynamic misses that far bigger picture: Notwithstanding the bull and bear cycle over the past decade, the entire market has been slowly sinking. As a result, a well timed entry into US stocks may not be enough to deliver long term results. Full Story

By: Frank Holmes - 8 November, 2011

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke announced last week that the Federal funds rate will stay near zero for now. He reasoned that the “low rates of resource utilization and a subdued outlook for inflation over the medium run” would likely “warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through mid-2013.” This will likely translate to the real interest rate (which is the rate of interest an investor can receive on a U.S. Treasury bill after allowing for inflation) remaining negative for at least another year and a half. For gold investors, a low-to-negative interest rate has been associated with a powerful historical trend. Going back four decades, gold has experienced positive higher year-over-year returns whenever the real interest rate tipped below 2 percent. And the lower the rates drop, the stronger gold tends to perform. Full Story

By: George Smith - 8 November, 2011

In 2010, Federal Reserve officials celebrated the centennial founding of the Fed at Jekyll Island, Georgia. The institution that was finally passed into law in 1913 was supposed to make financial crises and bad money virtual impossibilities. It has instead made crises and bad money permanent conditions. If freedom is not allowed to work its curative powers, the Fed and its currency-on-demand machine will continue to harm us. Full Story

By: Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT - 8 November, 2011

Gold is in a bull market and so are the gold stocks despite their struggle as a group to outperform Gold. This is nothing new though. We’ve written about this in the past and Steve Saville has before us. Nevertheless, the miners are in a secular bull market and investors need to pick better stocks and ignore the hundreds of losers. The bull market is moving forward but is nowhere close to a bubble nor the speculative zeal we saw in 2006-2007. Thus, it begs the question of what lies ahead and when can we expect the initial stages of a bubble. Full Story

By: Julian D. W. Phillips, Gold/Silver Forecaster - Global Watch - 7 November, 2011

Since 1985 to 2007 the developed world has seen the sophisticated development of equity and fixed interest rate markets that has ensured that investments are aimed at a positive, growth future for the economies on the west side of the globe. All the skills and beliefs in markets have been consistent with that expectation. When the credit crunch came, the belief was that the powers that be would rectify matters and we would be back to the same rosy future once the hurdles had been surmounted. But here we are, ending 2011 and that rosy future has given way to an uncertain one where the very structures on which the rosy future had been built have stated to buckle and falter. Full Story

By: Peter Cooper - 7 November, 2011

If you could only invest in one asset class to hold until the next big bubble is fully inflated then it has to be silver. Gold is already increasingly popular for the same reason. It is a precious metal of fixed supply and proven monetary value in a world of electronic money creation. Just look at the staggering sums of money magicked out of thin air by the eurozone debt deal at the end of last month. Full Story

By: Jason Hommel, Silver Stock Report - 7 November, 2011

Psychologists tell us that there are five stages of grief over loss of whatever kind, usually death, or breaking up with a loved one, which are: denial, anger, bargaining, depression, acceptance. I've applied these to the loss of the dollar, as I see most people today are still stuck in denial, and here's how to deal with that. Full Story

By: Clive Maund - 7 November, 2011

Gold did exactly as predicted in the update last weekend - it dropped back briefly to touch the bottom of our short-term reaction target range at $1680 before rebounding, as we can see on the 4-month chart below, and we were buyers around $1705 and below. The rebound on Tuesday left behind a clear bull hammer on the chart, which is positive. Full Story

By: Hubert Moolman - 7 November, 2011

The current economic conditions are, in substance, very similar to that of the Great Depression. I have recently highlighted some of these similarities in a video presentation . The pattern that is being followed, suggests that the next big event in this economic crisis, will be an acceleration of the increase in the price of gold, as well as a significant rally in gold stocks, despite economic decline. Full Story

By: Clif Droke - 7 November, 2011

At any given time the position of the weekly cycles must be taken into account when evaluating the stock market. These cycles have a greater impact on the near-term direction of the stock market than the yearly cycles unless the yearly cycles happen to be bottoming (as with the 6-year cycle bottom in late 2008). As the “hard down” phase of any cycle is the final 10% of the cycle’s duration, the 120-year cycle has been in its final “hard down” phase since 2002. Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman and Tom McCafferty - 7 November, 2011

In the guest editorial below, our good friend Tom McCafferty, a veteran commodity trader and author of numerous books about trading and the markets, recalls the challenges of boot camp in sizing up America’s economic predicament. The nation will need every ounce of strength, courage and Yankee know-how it can muster to avoid slipping into a deep economic coma, says Tom. Are we up to it? With Europe on the brink of collapse, we may find out sooner rather than later. Full Story

By: - 6 November, 2011

Chris Waltzek
Dr. Stephen Leeb, Leeb Capital Management
Robert Prechter, Elliott Wave International Full Story

By: Chris Powell, Secretary/Treasurer, GATA - 6 November, 2011

Under renewed pressure by Commissioner Bart Chilton to account for itself, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission today issued a statement about its 3-year-old investigation of manipulation of the silver market, asserting only that the investigation continues. Full Story

By: Bob Chapman, The International Forecaster - 6 November, 2011

t believe the European debt crisis is solved, but not so fast. In spite of being told by the German federal court that leverage could not be applied to bailout loans, but they approved leverage anyway. The court says they will redefine their position by the end of the year. Thus, there is no deal until the court says there is one and constitutionally it’s legal. The Bundestag must believe the court will change its mind. Now we will just have to see what transpires. In the meantime Mr. Juncker of the European Union said there would be concessions for financial aid. As a result of those disclosures early last Monday the “President’s Working Group on Financial Markets” was busy at work trying to keep the stock market indexes from crashing and viciously attacking gold and silver overnight. What else would one expect in a rigged market? Full Story

By: Gary North - 6 November, 2011

The Powers That Be are facing Problems That Won't Go Away. The heart of their control is fractional reserve banking and the market for government bonds (sovereign debt). Both are under siege. Both are showing signs of unprecedented vulnerability. The euro summit meetings are turning into reality shows. Which team will be The Survivors? Merkel-Sarkozy? Papandreou-Berlusconi? Full Story

By: John Mauldin, Millennium Wave Advisors - 6 November, 2011

I find myself in Liam's taxi on the beautiful drive to Kilkenny through the Irish countryside for a few hours this very early Friday morning, so what better time to begin writing about employment than in a country that is struggling, just as most of the developed world is, to find good jobs for its people. I'm on my way to a conference that will talk about the economics that is driving the world's leading governments to distraction in Cannes. Is Greece going to vote? Take the money? Will it be an orderly default? Should Ireland default? Whatever I write, the situation will change as soon as I hit the send button tonight. Full Story

By: The Gold Report and Vikas Ranjan - 6 November, 2011

Junior gold explorers from British Columbia to Colombia are poised to pounce. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Vikas Ranjan, managing director and principal, Ubika Research, reveals why some companies make a compelling case for success. Full Story

By: Warren Bevan - 6 November, 2011

The markets were wild this week and in the end ended up at least 2% lower in the US. Two huge down days, two large up days then Friday saw modest weakness into the weekend. To say the markets are schizophrenic is an understatement and we’re sitting on the side-lines in the swing trading portfolio, although these wild gyrations are setting up some pretty sweet charts that may give us a great chance to make some quick profits in the very near term. Full Story

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