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Weekly Archive

By: Daniel R. Amerman, CFA - 10 October, 2019

We are in a different place with home prices than where we have ever been before - the fundamentals are working differently. We may be on the verge of a very quick trip to somewhere that is even more different, with results that may seem unexpected and improbable for those are not following the underlying causality. This could lead to swift and major changes in home prices across America like we have never seen before. Hopefully this analysis was helpful to you in understanding why that could be the case. Full Story

By: Dave Kranzler - 10 October, 2019

If you’re curious as why the price of gold has risen 37% since the end of May, look to the events unfolding at the Fed and in the banking system. Just like in late October 2008, the price-action in gold is sending a loud alarm that is no longer containable with manipulative efforts in the paper derivative gold market. Eventually the Government’s Working Group on Financial Markets will be helpless in coaxing the hedge fund trading robots to help hold up the stock market. Full Story

By: SRSrocco - 10 October, 2019

The rate at which black swans are showing up in the world should scare the hell out of people. But, unfortunately, everyone seems to be lost in the highly complex technology of I-phones, computers, social media, and the telly to notice that something is definitely wrong. The current situation reminds me of a famous scene in the Monty Python movie, The Holy Grail, where a guy is banging a bell and saying, “Bring out your dead.” Let me explain.. Full Story

By: Craig Hemke - 9 October, 2019

What will work is physical precious metal as a hedge against this madness. Already, the price of gold has reached new all-time highs in over seventy currencies. New all-time highs in dollar-priced gold are a near certainty in the months ahead. Thus NOW is the time to begin acquiring physical gold (and silver). If you already own some at a higher price, NOW is also a good time to stack even more and lower your cost basis through dollar-cost averaging.

Either way, only physical precious metal can protect you against the foolish delusions of the central bankers. These charlatans will attempt to preserve their power through all means necessary, and if that means total destruction of their fiat currency and its purchasing power in the months ahead, then so be it. Take heed and prepare accordingly.
Full Story

By: Gary Christenson, Deviant Investor - 9 October, 2019

Government and The Fed will devalue the dollar, as they have for over a century. Prices will rise.

Stocks are over-valued. Gold and silver are under-valued and will make new highs in 2020-2021.

Accept what you can’t change, and buy gold and silver, like central banks have been doing for a decade. Full Story

By: Michael J. Kosares - 8 October, 2019

It is led by institutions and funds, not private investors. Global quantitative easing created a huge and mobile pool of capital in constant need of a place to call home. As the need for a safe haven became apparent among the stewards of that capital, the demand for gold flourished. The consistent presence of funds and institutions as buyers in this rally, as represented by the growth in ETF stockpiles, is one of its hallmarks and represents one of the major differences between this gold rally and rallies of the past. Though private investors have been late to the game, the rapid development of the physical market for gold coins and bullion in the United Kingdom is testament to the fact that sentiment can change quickly.
Full Story

By: Keith Weiner, Monetary Metals - 8 October, 2019

So how does a wealth tax work? The politicians quibble among themselves, as if the little implementation details that differ between them are important. But they share the key idea. The wealth taxman is to go to the people who have wealth, and take some. And next year, come back and take more. And so on.

It should be obvious that this is morally wrong. But we want to focus on the economics. To do that, we need to drill down into the nature of wealth. What is wealth?
Full Story

By: Stefan Gleason - 8 October, 2019

Despite the gravity of an impeachment inquiry that threatens to bring down the presidency of Donald J. Trump, markets have largely shrugged it off.

The reason? Odds of a two-thirds majority in the Republican-controlled Senate voting to remove Trump from office are slim.

What has Wall Street more concerned are the rising odds of Elizabeth Warren becoming the Democrat nominee for president... Full Story

By: Avi Gilburt - 8 October, 2019

Yes, my friends. If you are going to be truly honest about all the cases cited by these manipulation theorists, then you are going to have to recognize that all the manipulation was done in both directions in the market. Since that does not fit their narrative, this is not something they will ever point out or address. Full Story

By: David Chapman - 7 October, 2019

The Trump put! The Powell (Fed) Put! Trump may be in the process of being impeached but he could cut a deal with China over trade and save himself. Or at least save the stock market. The Fed continues its repo operations and its balance sheet grows. QE4? But Fed intervention in the repo market is highly unusual. Is there a problem somewhere?

Weak economic numbers gyrated the markets lower this past week but they rebounded by week`s end as the unemployment rate (official U3) hit a 50-year low. The recession spreads are still weak but they are not signaling a recession any time soon. Maybe next year sometime? Still the S&P 500 fell from what appears as an ascending wedge triangle (bearish). Gold fell then bounced back but the correction that started a few weeks ago still seems to be in play. Our Chart of the Week focuses on the employment numbers. As usual what is officially reported and digging a bit under the numbers tell two different stories. Full Story

By: Dave Kranzler - 7 October, 2019

The Fed’s QE Light program will likely transition into outright permanent money printing before the end of 2019. The November meeting is scheduled for the end of this month (Oct 29-30). But I doubt the Fed will turn its repo money printing into permanent money printing – aka “POMO” or “balance sheet growth” – until the December FOMC meeting (Dec 10-11).

Full Story

By: Andy Hecht - 7 October, 2019

Markets rarely move in a straight line, and corrections can be healthy for bull markets. A price retracement cleans out stale long positions and creates an environment that brings in new buyers. Some market analysts and traders believe that the two precious metals will experience a deeper correction, and lower prices are on the horizon. I believe that any price weakness in the gold and silver markets will turn out to be a buying opportunity. I remain bullish on the two metals that are the world’s oldest forms of currency. Gold and silver are means of exchange that have been around a lot longer than any of the legal tender in circulation around the world today. Full Story

By: Chris Powell, GATA - 7 October, 2019

"After reading recent commentaries noting that the U.S. Justice Department and Commodity Futures Trading Commission are overlooking the long-term suppression of the gold price while indicting individual traders for spoofing the gold and silver futures markets, I wondered why the authors did not acknowledge a simple likely explanation.

"That is, one or two bullion banks may be trading on behalf of the U.S. government to suppress gold and silver prices, either at a profit or at the lowest possible loss. Such trading by or at the behest of the U.S. government appears to be legal, so the Justice Department and CFTC do not pursue it. Full Story

By: John Mauldin, Thoughts from the Frontline - 7 October, 2019

Off the Rails

Your Social Security Return on Investment

The Next Quadrillion

Missing Opportunities

The Best Birthday Present Full Story

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