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Weekly Archive

By: David Brady, CFA - 4 January, 2019

Many take credit for anticipating Gold’s ascent from the lows in August, and yet they cite all of the wrong reasons for its appreciation: peak DXY, peak USD/JPY, falling real yields, speculative buying, and so on. The truth is that Gold is doing its own thing and taking matters into its own hands. We know this because Gold isn’t just rising against the dollar or the euro or the yuan, it is soaring against ALL major currencies. Full Story

By: Adam Hamilton, CPA - 4 January, 2019

The gold stocks’ young upleg is really growing, on a trajectory to become major. This contrarian sector is breaking out to the upside on multiple fronts technically, which is really improving sentiment. Traders’ extreme bearishness of late summer has mostly abated, with bullish shoots taking root. Fundamentals certainly justify the mounting gold-stock buying, with earnings set to surge on higher gold prices in coming quarters. Full Story

By: Jeff Desjardins - 4 January, 2019

We’re only a few days into 2019, but it appears markets have picked up exactly where they left off. There is growing uncertainty and volatility almost everywhere, and individual events are starting to become catalysts for sell-offs or rallies. Whether it’s Apple’s recent profit warning or Fed chair Jerome Powell saying that he is “listening closely” to the markets, investors are taking cues from current events to figure out where the herd is grazing. Full Story

By: Harris Kupperman - 4 January, 2019

Naturally, the question is, “If I sell the dollar, what do I sell it against?” I don’t have a good answer for you. I’ve done a few global tours of the world’s currencies while sitting at my trading desk. Technically speaking, they all suck, but some suck a bit less than others. In any case, I have increased the non-Dollar weighting of my basket in the past few days. I don’t want to name them all as I suspect I’ll get laughed at. All global currencies have flaws, but so does the Dollar. Full Story

By: Mike Gleason - 4 January, 2019

Before the debt crisis turns into a currency crisis, precious metals markets will reflect the gathering threats. There are already enough threats from a gyrating stock market, a dysfunctional political system, and an unconstrained monetary system to potentially help make 2019 a big year in the gold and silver markets. Full Story

By: Marin Katusa - 4 January, 2019

On Wednesday, January 2nd, CEO Tim Cook halted Apple stock and stated that the company’s earnings would fall well short of analysts’ expectations. A key reason behind the revenue miss was slowing Chinese demand. Tim Cook made the shortfall about the “trade wall” but he forgot to mention that iPhones aren’t even a top 5 phone in China. Full Story

By: - 4 January, 2019

Michael Pento, President and Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies LLC returns to Radio with comprehensive economic analysis.
While his Autumn economic / market downturn came to pass as predicted on this show, market rallies may be merely selling opportunities.
Investors are encouraged to prepare for "... a global depression, the likes of which we've never seen..." Full Story

By: Gary Tanashian - 4 January, 2019

I was going to look around to see if I could find a media article out there (complete with a TA trying to sound really important) that would be appropriate to be made fun of in our little Men Who Stare at Charts series. But then I decided to create my own chart, stare at it a little, post it and talk about it (hopefully not too self-importantly). Full Story

By: Arkadiusz Sieron - 4 January, 2019

The extreme bearish CoT positions necessarily imply the turning point in the gold market. Myth or fact? We invite you to read our today’s article about Comex positioning and find out whether futures will save gold. Full Story

By: Ira Epstein - 3 January, 2019

Gold continues to work higher. Full Story

By: - 3 January, 2019

Season 14 kicks off with part II of the discussion with Bob Hoye of Institutional Advisors, with stellar news for gold shares aficionado.
"PM's stocks will go to the equivalent of $10,000 gold," in the nascent bull market advance.
The dialogue includes the "citizen uprising" occurring throughout Europe and North America. Full Story

By: Frank Holmes - 3 January, 2019

Global uncertainty made gold a holiday winner for investors seeking a relatively safe haven. U.S. stocks just logged their worst year since 2008—their worst December since 1931—as fears over global trade, ballooning debt, the end of accommodative central bank policy and a U.S. government shutdown unsettled investors. Against this backdrop, the price of gold rallied late in 2018, reversing a trend of negative returns and weak investor demand that prevailed for most of the year. Full Story

By: Chris Martenson - 3 January, 2019

What’s the plan here? Continue to pile up debt at a faster pace than economic growth forever? What about the idea that economic growth has slowed of late and cannot grow forever for resource related reasons? Is anybody in power paying even the slightest bit of attention? Most importantly, what happens when ~40 years of excessive debt accumulation comes to an end? Do financial systems and institutions even function anymore? Full Story

By: Ross Norman - 3 January, 2019

Firstly, let’s just accept that gold does go into very extended periods of hibernation and these can be very lengthy - who can forget the 19 year stretch between 1980 and 1999 with prices and volatility eroding together? And the seven-year period from the all-time high in September 2011 has been no less painful, with gold variously described in the media as ‘unloved’ at best, or ‘disdained’ at worst. Full Story

By: Craig Hemke - 3 January, 2019

The rallies have proceeded almost entirely as projected and, as the new year begins, several of our short-term price goals have been achieved. In Comex gold, we anticipated that a break of the 200-day moving average would serve to accelerate price toward the psychologically-important $1300 level. This is occurring as I type and, once $1300 falls, the final short-term objective becomes $1310. Full Story

By: Ryan Wilday - 3 January, 2019

Some time has passed since I wrote a more lengthy article, but not nearly as long a time as this grueling bear market in cryptos - now 12 months long, and counting. So, in this article I’d like to rewind the clock a bit. Full Story

By: Bloomberg Markets and Finance - 2 January, 2019

Dec.18 -- Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller discusses the outlook for the U.S. economy, his investment strategy for stocks and bonds, President Donald Trump's attempts to sway Federal Reserve policy and the prospects for a solution to the U.S.-China trade dispute. He talks with Bloomberg's Erik Schatzker. Full Story

By: Stefan Gleason - 2 January, 2019

Precious metals markets enter 2019 with an opportunity to shine. Several major bullish drivers are lining up to start the New Year – including technical, fundamental, monetary, and political drivers. Before delving into each of them, let’s consider where we’ve been over the past 12 months. To be frank, 2018 wasn’t a particularly bright year for gold and silver prices. Gold will finish with a slight loss; silver with a larger loss just shy of 10%. Full Story

By: Gary Christenson - 2 January, 2019

Silver prices move up and down farther than gold prices. That pushes the gold-silver ratio too high, like now, when silver is inexpensive. Or it pushes the ratio too low, as in January 1980, when silver prices zoomed upward too far and too fast. When the gold to silver ratio exceeds 80, it is often a good time to buy silver. Full Story

By: John Rubino - 2 January, 2019

Like a life-long dieter who finally gives up and decides to eat himself to death, the US is now committed to trillion-dollar deficits for as far as the eye can see. And that’s – get this – assuming no recession in the coming decade. During the next downturn that trillion will become two or more, but in 2019 another trillion-plus is guaranteed. Full Story

By: Chris Powell - 2 January, 2019

When GATA got started in January 1999 we figured that the rigging we saw in the gold and silver markets was the work of the big investment banks that heavily traded the monetary metals on the futures exchanges. Our idea was to gather evidence of their collusion and then sue them for triple damages under the Sherman Act, the Clayton Act, and the anti-trust laws of the 50 states. Full Story

By: Stewart Thomson - 2 January, 2019

On this GDX chart, I’d like investors to note the bullish action, the enormous volume, and also take a close look at the $21.67 resistance area that GDX has already closed above repeatedly since arriving there. All the price action is positive, and it’s poised to become much more positive as January trading gets underway. Perhaps I should let “Queen Gold” and “King Silver” have the final word as 2019 begins, which is: Happy New Year to the entire world gold community! Full Story

By: Steve St. Angelo - 2 January, 2019

If history is our guide, we are on track for a severe market meltdown in 2019. While the U.S. broader indexes remained in record territory for most of 2018, December turned out to be a complete disaster for stocks. So, even though the markets have reversed higher from their Christmas Eve lows, this is nothing more than a bear market rally. Full Story

By: David Haggith - 31 December, 2018

Aside from the abysmal writing, El-Erian seems to rightly identify that the REST OF THE WORLD’S problems are happening because the Fed is reducing liquidity in the world’s global currency, but then he thinks the nation that is totally dependent on that currency (the US, in case you are an El-Erian fan who is slow to follow along) will continue to see a strong economy! Why would that nation not suffer the same settlement the rest of the world is experiencing? Full Story

By: Andy Sutton and Graham Mehl - 31 December, 2018

In summation, probably the most important takeaway from this article should be that a portfolio doesn’t need 100 components to be adequately diversified in terms of non-systematic risk. 30-40 will do just fine as the math above demonstrates. A second important point is that by using your economic themes and how they relate to systematic risks in your selection of an appropriate number of assets, you can mitigate a good deal of the systematic risk to your portfolio as well. Full Story

By: Clint Siegner - 31 December, 2018

It’s amazing what passes as a market these days. Stocks rallied during the Christmas week, and the mainstream financial press would like you to believe bargain hunters swooped in after the weeks of heavy selling to grab some deals. The truth is there are very few actual people still evaluating the merits of publicly traded companies. Full Story

By: Frank Holmes - 31 December, 2018

The best performing metal this week was silver, up 5.15 percent, finally getting some respect as it approaches its 200-day moving average. Hitting six-month highs this week, money managers are the most bullish they’ve been on gold in months. Gold has been a beneficiary of the volatility experienced in global equities this week. Bloomberg reports that gold priced in the British pound has jumped back above 1,000 pounds an ounce and is trading at its highest level since September 2017. Full Story

By: John Rubino - 31 December, 2018

The past couple of years have been brutal for precious metals mining stocks. Gold and silver went down a little while the miners went down a lot – four times as much to be exact. That’s painful but not surprising. The miners, being in effect options on the underlying metals, tend to be a lot more volatile. Full Story

By: David Chapman - 31 December, 2018

Merry Crashmas! Or was it? Santa Claus came to town, but a day late. Boxing Day special. Everything was on deep discount. It was a wild and woolly week. Down, then up, up, up. On Monday, Christmas Eve, the Dow Jones Industrials (DJI) fell 653 points, marking a record sixth time in 2018 that the DJI has fallen 600 points or more. It was the worst Christmas Eve ever. Trump tweeting that the U.S. economy’s only problem was “the Fed,” coupled with rumours that that Trump was prepared to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell were amongst the catalysts. Full Story

By: Clive Maund - 31 December, 2018

The last update was wrong. Gold was expected to drop with the stockmarket, but instead it rose. Being wrong in this business is not a crime, but it is vital to recognize the error as soon as possible and make a course correction, and if possible discern the reason or reasons for the error. Failure to do this through pride, obstinacy or stupidity can lead to modest losses becoming ruinous. So what happened? Full Story

By: Keith Weiner - 31 December, 2018

The Fed cannot make a company more profitable, but it can reduce the discount rate so that market participants are willing to pay more for its shares. We noted that no one knows the right rate any better than the Fed. Thus, the only rate to use is the market rate. But we did not really make the case in favour of using the market rate. Full Story

By: - 30 December, 2018

Part II of the discussion with the head of The Morgan Report includes an update on gold.
The PMs sector remains at bargain levels, a relative value to virtually every competing asset class and core of every solid investment portfolio.
Bob Hoye of Institutional Advisors, and the host discuss the worst US stock market plunge in over 100 years, the "Mnuchin Massacre."
The Dow Jones Industrials plunged 1600 points last week, falling 650 further on Monday, recording the worst monthly decline its 122 year history. Full Story

By: Jordan Roy-Byrne CMT, MFTA - 30 December, 2018

As 2019 beckons, Gold is trading within an area of strong resistance ($1260-$1300) and gold stocks (GDX, GDXJ) are battling moving average resistance while the oversold stock market is ripe for a positive first quarter. Two things that could confirm a bull market in precious metals is fast approaching would be strong improvement in GDX’ advance decline line and the market pricing in no chance of a rate hike in 2019 and instead anticipating the potential for a rate cut in 2019. Full Story

By: Ed Steer - 30 December, 2018

The gold price was up five dollars or by shortly after the London open on their Friday morning. It was sold a bit lower at that juncture, but began to creep higher shortly after London closed -- and gold finished the Friday session in New York, close to its early-morning London high. Full Story

By: John Mauldin - 30 December, 2018

Yes, we have actually moved from Texas to a new location. I’ll explain why and where below. But first, we really do have to follow up last week’s letter. Today, we’ll address several things, so think of this as my year-end “Quick Shots from the Frontline.” It will be more like a personal, from the heart, fireside chat. (Trigger warning: I will be taking off my politically correct gloves. Naming names and pointing fingers. Just Uncle John telling it like it is.) Full Story

By: Daniel R. Amerman, CFA - 30 December, 2018

The "Plunge Protection Team" is the colloquial name for the Working Group on Financial Markets (WGFM). The Working Group was established by the executive order of President Reagan in 1988, in the aftermath of the stock market plunge of October, 1987. Full Story

By: David Haggith - 30 December, 2018

The market’s last chaotic day closed in a way that befit the entire year. Up, down, up harder, down harder, and done! It looked like the violence of the day may have come from the Plunge Protection Team attempting to push the market up in the middle of the afternoon, except that the middle of the afternoon doesn’t fit the PPT’s MO because the birthing-sized push didn’t come in the PPT’s usual obvious final-hour press. So, what was the push in the penultimate hours all about? Full Story

By: David Morgan - 30 December, 2018

The Morgan Report is all about YOU and how you can build and preserve Wealth for generations to come. We know it can sometimes seem a daunting task to protect your assets and preserve or grow your wealth. Over 15 years ago, a small group of us started The Morgan Report and formed an exclusive membership organization to promote personal freedom, an honest money system, free market wealth accumulation and asset protection. Full Story

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