By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 3 October, 2008
-The tree is trimmed…capitalism without creative destruction…does anyone pay attention to the Constitution anymore? -When will the Fed need a bailout?…the price of gold is low - but it won't stay there forever! -Deflation rears its ugly head…the delusions people will allow themselves to believe…and more! Full Story
By: Peter Schiff, Euro Pacific Capital, Inc. - 3 October, 2008
The government tells us that if these assets are held to maturity their full value will eventually be realized, and that it is only because of a lack of current liquidity that their value is not reflected in the market. However, as many private transactions have shown us in recent months, these assets will find buyers at the right price. These are not overly exotic assets but relatively straight forward mortgage obligations. The inability to find buyers is not a function of liquidity but simply of price. The government is seeking to “create liquidity” by overpaying. Full Story
By: Julian D. W. Phillips, Gold/Silver Forecaster - Global Watch - 3 October, 2008
In the week ending 26th September 2008, the final week of the fourth year of the Central Bank Gold Agreement, two Eurosystem central banks sold less than 1 tonne of gold to complete the fourth year’s sales. This makes a total for the year at around 345.5 tonnes of gold sold by the signatories. Full Story
To achieve Protection and Profit from the Ongoing Crises requires a bit of Courage for the Truth, as well as an examination of what might be a legitimate Refuge with Profit Potential, and what is not. Since the price prospects for Commodities and Commercial Securities of many kinds are worsening, one must consider the ostensible “Refuge” of Cash. Full Story
By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC - 3 October, 2008
In December 1998 the Select Sector SPDRs were born. And this proved to be a groundbreaking and historic event that has forever altered the way people invest in the stock markets. These nine exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are a core group of ETFs that allow investors to customize their portfolios with focus on individual sectors that collectively make up the S&P 500. Full Story
Before delving into the nuts-and-bolts of how usury has been utilized in deceitful and harmful ways to perpetrate economic abuses upon mankind we should also grasp the historic relationship between GOLD and INTEREST RATES: Full Story
Dollar Death Ray, powered by the U.S. Treasury and the Federal Reserve, is aimed at the heart of the U.S. dollar. Forget the U.S. Congress debate of the Bank Bail Out and Congressional Reelection Bill of 2008. The Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury, without a vote of Congress and support of the voters, has given $253 billion to banks in the past week. Full Story
Platinum is a precious metal more rare than gold, little product and very useful. Investors too often forget it, at 1000 dollars, 800 euros and 600 pounds an ounce of platinum deserves much more attention. Full Story
People are feeling as though a macro rug has been pulled out from under their feet. It is with good reason; all the while that America's true macro-economic fundamentals were deteriorating alarmingly, the pied pipers of Wall Street merrily played their tune, enabled by the 'don't ask, don't tell' mentality of financial television, other major media and the government itself. The public has been let down in a big way. Okay, we all know this now. But what to do about it? Full Story
Years from now conspiracy theorists will no doubt contend that the historic $700 billion 2008 bailout package came about because the Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury wanted to further cement their control over the U.S. economy and government. Full Story
By: Jason Hommel, Silver Stock Report - 3 October, 2008
The most important and most neglected news item of the last week is the increasing premiums for 100 oz. silver bars. There are several reasons why this is the most important news item: 1. The profit opportunity, as mentioned in the title above. 2. The potential to destroy the silver manipulation once and for all, by bankrupting COMEX of silver. 3. This reveals the "two tier" structure of a US dollar exchange rate. Full Story
The 0.7 trillion dollar bailout plan of Treasury Secretary Paulson must be seen for what it is: a scheme to privatize profits while socializing losses. The scare tactics with which he was trying to railroad it through Congress has failed and the world is better for it. The malady has to be diagnosed properly. I summarize the popular diagnosis in five points. Full Story
Decisions are about to be made that reach far into the future. The destiny of the little ones, here, and not yet come, lay in the balance. We must choose wisely or suffer the consequences, both to ourselves and to the innocent who know not from whence this comes. On the right hand path walks freedom and liberty; on the left hand path walks slavery and fascism. The choice should be easy; it has been made to appear hard and confusing. Full Story
Gordon Brown confirms that to all intents and purposes all UK savings are guaranteed to £50,000 per depositor per financial group. This is a reaction to the the Irish governments decision to guarantee all depositor savings at 100% for 2 years which has ignited a flood of scared monies seeking refuge within Irish banks that have operations within the UK. This has resulted in increasing calls from media commentators and politicians for the UK government to follow suit with a similar 100% blanket guarantee. Full Story
Perhaps the hedge fund managers should take their cue from the central banks which are not going to be selling gold over the next 12 months as they have been over the past four previous years. Supply is coming out of the market at a time of rising demand for a hedge against inflation. So is that not what the hedge funds should be buying next? Full Story
By: Richard Daughty, The Mogambo Guru - 3 October, 2008
My voice trembles as I read aloud that now, for the first time ever, the Fed has created over a trillion dollars' worth of new credit, $1,134,942,000,000.00 to be exact, in the banks, which comes to $3,783 for every man, woman and child in America. Full Story
Congress has once again come up with a new way to leapfrog the President in unpopularity. For inspiring the unmitigated scorn and derision of Americans, how could Mr. Bush ever hope to top the $150 billion of pork that lawmakers on Capitol Hill have added to the $700 billion bailout package soon to be enacted chiefly for the benefit of bankers, hedge fund managers and other favored patrons of Big Government? Full Story
The banking system breakdown is very far along, but still early. Remember USFed Chairman Bernanke stated over a year ago that the mortgage problem was contained. Try not to laugh. The bond crisis is absolute, broad, deep, and all-inclusive, enough to kill the USTreasurys after it kills the US banking system. Full Story
By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 2 October, 2008
-Surprise, surprise - the hacks came through…the Senate votes to burden the entire nation with Wall Street's mistakes… -Breaking the 'psychological cycle'?…Addison and Short Fuse send copies of I.O.U.S.A. to every member of Congress… -What do wooden arrows have to do with a certain 'rescue' plan?…does this mark the end of the American Empire?…and more! Full Story
Buried in the bailout bill under consideration has a provision that would accelerate the Relief Act of 2006 effect date of October 1, 2011 which will allow banks to have a Zero Deposit Requirement, should the Federal Reserve Board find it suitable. The bailout bill up for vote would move the effective date to October 1, 2008. Full Story
By: Roy Martens, Resource Fortunes LLC - 2 October, 2008
The world is on fire, with the financial sector in great turmoil not only in the States but in Europe as well. This global fire was caused by the greed of the white collars on Wall Street and their mortgage lending to people who really couldn’t afford it. The only thing that was important for the investment bankers were their bonuses, which grew bigger by the year. Now their world is crumbling down, and the bill for their escapades has been handed to the American taxpayers. Full Story
The upcoming release of the September non-farm payrolls report by the Bureau of Labor Statistics will not provide much comfort to the market or the public. Our forecast implies that payrolls will decline -105K and that the rate of unemployment will increase to 6.2% for the month. Full Story
By: Richard Daughty, The Mogambo Guru - 2 October, 2008
In final preparation, I quickly calculated the price of bread 4 years into the future after suffering a 15.3% monthly inflation, and found that, in four years, a loaf of bread that costs $2 today will then cost $1,857.11! Full Story
A few days away from Rick’s Picks has helped clear my head, the better to focus on big issues as opposed to merely tradable ideas. On Monday, when Congress voted down the bailout bill, it felt like a run on U.S. banks was imminently possible. I conferred with my trading partners about shifting our surplus balances into T-bills. Not to sound alarmist, but a run on banks is still possible, since any bailout package that passes Congress will do absolutely nothing to shore up “the system.” Full Story
I think we have to assume that Governments of the world are going to act to end this crisis….now! In the process, they will figure out ways to inflate. Inflation is way easier to deal with than deflation. Therefore, over time, I expect Silver to move higher. Possibly sharply higher over time. The problem is today is not that time. Full Story
The greatest transfer of wealth from those that store their wealth in paper to those that don't is unfolding. ALL markets will have to price in the reality that the G7 in general and the financial and banking industries in particular (there are exceptions to this) are INSOLVENT. Rather than default through the normal process they will default through the printing press. Full Story
Seven-hundred billion here, $560 billion there, and pretty soon you're talking deposit-bank warfare in the battle to recapitalize financial firms... Full Story
By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 1 October, 2008
-The first reported victim of the credit crisis…confusing feebleminded claptrap with economic brilliance… -In desperate need of Churchill's magic…Need money? Here's a bank that can't say no… -Attracted not to the beastly subject, but to the strange beast himself…and more! Full Story
By: Bob Chapman, The International Forecaster - 1 October, 2008
Note first, how the Paulson Plan, which we will hereinafter refer to as PP (which is also a good acronym for Preposterous Poppycock), is a perfect example of Illuminist extortion aimed at stuffing a very rotten apple down the collective throats of our elitist marionettes in Congress, who, for the first-time in what must be over half a century, displayed some backbone in their denial of the initial proposal for the PP, albeit that their nixing of the PP was most likely motivated by political opportunism more so than by any true patriotism. Full Story
My story begins, like most monetary stories, in 1913 with the creation of the Federal Reserve Bank in the United States and when gold and silver were still the most valued monetary assets in the world. I’ll leave out all the prior bank monetary manipulations although there had been many minor ones prior to 1913. Full Story
By: Chris Powell, Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc. - 1 October, 2008
The threat that an actual market price, rather than a government-approved price, might develop somewhere in the fantastic, overarching illusion that crony capitalism and central banking have made of what used to be markets. These days, if you want a market, you're stuck with Ebay -- at least until that too is nationalized. Full Story
In every economic boom and bust, there are winners and losers. Never before in American history, or any other history, have the winners won so much. The big winners were in the financial industry. They profited enormously from the expansion of the money supply from August 1982 until March 2000. They rose in the corporate ranks during this period. Full Story
This week the entire financial community and most investors are focused on the American bailout plan. No matter that $1.2 trillion was wiped off the value of shares on Monday compared with the $700 billion of the controversial plan. Then again the Fed created another $630 billion in emergency bank facilities this week. You almost wonder why Capitol Hill is bothering with such a small sum, except to enjoy being the centre of attention. Full Story
iTulip has since 1999 warned that in a protracted financial crisis the US, a net debtor, is vulnerable to withdrawal of foreign capital and capital flight, producing inflation and a severe economic contraction known in the economics literature as a Sudden Stop. Full Story
Thinking clearly about this is powerful. For instance, consider China. They hold something like 1.3 trillion dollars worth of dollar denominated financial instruments, about 400 billion of that in US treasuries I believe. Do you think that China is in a position to destroy the US financially? Don't make me laugh. 1.3 trillion is now chump change. Full Story
“Money is the lifeblood of the economy.” This famous saying is easy enough to remember, yet how much easier is it to forget it when asset prices are pushed to unreasonable extremities. Consumers and investors alike are now being reminded of the veracity of this statement in a big way as the money panic rages on. Full Story
At the end of WWII, the US owned most of the world’s gold supply (then valued at about $25 billion at the $35 per ounce peg). At that time, the US dollar was as good as gold. Today, that picture has totally changed. To appreciate what has been happening to the use of gold to back money, it is imperative to first look at the Swiss Franc. Full Story
Market action will focus on moves in Washington D.C. to salvage in some form the rescue plan and information provided by the ADP estimate of the employment situation and the ISM survey of manufacturing conditions nationwide. Full Story
By: Richard Daughty, The MOGAMBO GURU - 1 October, 2008
The next thing I know, my stupid boss is at my door, glaring at me, and I can see in her eyes that she is really pissed about something important. But since I often scream like that about the horrors of inflation in prices, I know it can't be about that… Full Story
By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 30 September, 2008
-The House rejects the bailout…Dow suffers the worst point-loss of all time…the Fed pumps $630 billion into the markets… -Banks are taking it hard worldwide…the correction is taking our breath away… -Gold's looking pretty good right now, huh…the Oracle of Omaha shows Wall Street a thing or two…and more! Full Story
By: The Gold Report and Louis James - 30 September, 2008
In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Louis James, Senior Editor of Doug Casey’s International Speculator, describes a currency crisis of historic proportions that is dragging our economy down a dark and treacherous path lit only by the shining star of gold. James expects twists and turns in the precious metals sector and maintains his focus on the long-term bull trend. What stuns him, though, is the fact that Americans aren't "shouting in the streets" in panic now that the dollar is on death row with no pardon in sight. Full Story
By: James West, The Midas Letter - 30 September, 2008
The ongoing chaos we’re experiencing is just another cycle playing itself out against the backdrop of human fear and greed. These financial collapses constitute cathartic episodes typical of natural systems that need to correct themselves of any excesses as a matter of survival. Full Story
The House of Representatives voted ‘no’ on a $700 billion bailout yesterday and investors reacted by punishing U.S. equities for an estimated $1.2 trillion loss. If you were to ask the average person this morning if purchasing $700 billion in toxic securities to immediately generate $1.2 trillion in stock market wealth sounded like a good idea, many would probably respond ‘yes’. This hypothetical aptly demonstrates the mass myth that has been engrained in nearly everyone’s psyche over the last two decades - that something, at least on paper, can be produced from nothing… Full Story
By: Jeff Clark, BIG GOLD – Casey Research - 30 September, 2008
What’s more valuable than one ounce of gold? How about the news release I brought back with me from the future that reveals the price of gold then? It’s with nothing but unabashed excitement that I republish an article that I saw cross the AP wires on January 21, 2012... Full Story
By: Llewellyn H. Rockwell, Jr. - 30 September, 2008
I'm fully aware that Paulson and Bernanke have some nefarious scheme in mind to reverse the thrilling defeat of their criminal bailout package, a package shot down by independent members of Congress on both sides. But reflect for a few minutes on what it means that the House did this. It was a revolutionary act in the best sense of that term. Full Story
We are witness to the end of an empire, an empire built on debased currencies, the substitution of debt and credit for gold and silver, and human greed. In the approaching end, the dying and damaged system built by bankers in collusion with governments will fall by its own hand. Full Story
That is not a miss-quote it is the price of gold in Aussie dollars as I turn on my computer this morning. The worst of our fears have emerged for the financial system and it is too late for blame and I see no point in that anyway. It is not a constructive state of mind and more than ever people need to be constructive in this climate. Full Story
So, according to Welch if not for the upcoming elections Congressmen could be counted on to ignore the desires of their constituency that they have supposedly been elected to “represent” and rollover for their masters at the expense of the American people. Whatever happened to the concept that the Congressmen were supposed to be representing the beliefs and rights of the people in their district and presenting that opinion up the line? If you just pay close attention to what speakers like Welch say you get the clues that something has gone dramatically wrong with the political system in the United States. Full Story
Warrants have been frequently mentioned in the main stream news the last couple of weeks. Most recently warrants were being mentioned as a component in the failed $700 billion bailout plan. It is unlikely that most investors even know what warrants are, much less understand the financial implications and the benefits associated with warrants. So give us a few minutes and let us bring you up to speed. Full Story
The big gainer in all this will be precious metals which advanced modestly on Black Monday against falls in every other asset class except treasury bonds. And who knows how long treasuries will hold up - the US government is heading for bankruptcy and it is very easy to obtain much better interest rates by putting your cash with a major financial institution. Full Story
The global financial markets are in an uproar this week over the so-called failure of the president’s proposed $700 billion bail out of the fat cats on Wall Street. The first big reaction was a huge collapse in prices in both stocks and commodities (excepting gold, silver and the US dollar). Some analysts are making a lot to do about liquidity, the hedge funds and on and on. Yet, these suppositions don’t seem to offer answers. Full Story
By: Joseph Brusuelas, Merk Investments - 30 September, 2008
The failure of the TARP on the floor of the House of Representatives has moved action towards overnight trading in Asia and early morning action in Europe. With the credit markets currently jammed up, volatility should be expected to shape the overnight action and the direction of US markets in early morning trading Tuesday. Full Story
By: Richard Daughty, The MOGAMBO GURU - 30 September, 2008
In short, those crafty Chinese, a fifth of the world's population, may be getting ready to issue a gold-standard money, which will instantly make their currency the strongest in the world… Full Story
NOTHING has been solved! Public serpents —er, servants, have FAILED to address the issues and continue to avoid them. The “economic stabilization act of 2008” is NOTHING of the sort. It’s a sham. The public servants did not take this seriously and have chosen to do what they have always done – write a document that serves their supporters and destroys the public at large. Full Story
By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 29 September, 2008
-The Europeans are getting in on the act…it doesn't take a genius to see there was going to be Hell to pay… -The end of euphoria…if Warren Buffett's warning Congress that they need to take action - you know we're in trouble… -Bush urges Congress to take action…what's bad for the dollar is good for gold…and more! Full Story
Because market manipulation is the number one priority of the CFTC, any revelation that they might be investigating a manipulation in any commodity is big news. So big, in fact, that such investigations are almost always kept strictly confidential while the facts are determined. This is usually so as not to disturb the market. That the CFTC has chosen to openly reveal this silver investigation is almost unprecedented. Full Story
My two semi-grown children were asking me the other day about the Wall Street mess. I told them that some silly men made some silly loans and some more silly men bundled them all up and found some knaves to rate them AAA and then found some fools to purchase them. So my beautiful daughter then asked me but what does this have to do with us. Simple I said, “The silly men get to keep all their profits and you and your children my dear will have to pay for it all.” “Why that is the silliest thing I ever heard of Daddy. Why can’t the silly men accept the consequences of their foul deeds and pay for their own mistakes? Why must we rescue the fools?” Why indeed? Full Story
How many people out there can remember Hank Paulson’s rants less than a year ago of how this is the strongest economy he has ever seen or how the US economy is the envy of the world? There is something that should be overwhelmingly obvious at this point with his desperate pleas to allow the very same financial powers that got us into this mess to be issued a blank check from the US people that will go directly and only to bailing out his fat cat buddies and their failing firms. Full Story
Even some of the most brilliant guys in the business don’t get what’s happening to the commodity markets right now. They don’t get the fact it’s not manipulation and government intervention that are causing prices to CONTINUE falling (although a push was provided via intervention), but a genuine lack of liquidity combined with intensifying gambling practices by the general investing population (dip buying is not providing the sentiment washout required to sponsor an enduring rally), that when added together, is producing this ‘lethal move’ lower in anything that is commodity related, including precious metals. Full Story
At this writing, the nation is embroiled in a financial “crisis.” All of the newspapers and TV are screaming that the economy is on the edge of “systemic risk.” By this is meant that, if the people of American do not give $700 billion to certain Wall Street firms, our entire economic system will collapse. The source of this dire prediction is one man, Secretary of the Treasury Henry Paulson. Full Story
We wanted to write you a letter on this historic day, BAILOUT DAY. Because Mummy and Daddy have acted very irresponsibly over the last 8 years, and we have now left you with many big problems for your future. I will explain. Full Story
An old college friend just wrote and asked me where I thought share prices were going. To my mind it is a clear bear market and stocks have far further to fall - at least back to the 2003 lows of 7,000 for the DJI and 3,300 for the FTSE. Full Story
By: David N. Vaughn, Gold Letter, Inc. - 29 September, 2008
We witnessed a few years ago Enron, WorldCom, and other CEOs with failed companies. But those fellows were small potatoes to AIG, Meryl Lynch, Lehman Brothers. These large banking and insurance institutions understood the measure of the risk they were taking on these past 5 years. Or are we to understand that these Ivy League whores are just stupid? Full Story
By: David Chapman, Union Securities - 29 September, 2008
But bailout or no bailout, gold and gold stocks are going a lot higher. No matter how one looks at this crisis, the conditions have never been more bullish for gold. The current pause is merely a bull consolidation. If the bailout goes ahead it has the potential to be inflationary, which is positive for gold. If it fails, the deflationary cycle that will follow will also be positive for gold, as it was in the 1930’s (gold was fixed at $20 at that time but gold stocks soared). Full Story
By: Bob Chapman, The International Forecaster - 29 September, 2008
You had best buy gold and silver quickly to protect yourself from the coming catastrophe. While the ancient Israeli's had lamb's blood to put on their door posts to protect them from the Destroyer, you will have to settle for gold and silver. We also note that God is still available as well, and we suggest you call on His services for the ultimate in bailout protection. Full Story
Bradford and Bingley's slow 12 month death march towards the same fate as Northern Rock finally looks set to have come to an end with expectations on Sunday that the beleaguered bank will be nationalised with a view to a break of the bank and liquidation of assets so as to cover in part the estimated £20 billion bailout cost that is required to fill the gap between assets and liabilities. Full Story
Under the best of circumstances, perhaps 90% of outstanding over the counter derivative contracts could be settled. That would leave 100 trillion dollars worth. So ultimately, under the best of circumstances, the US Treasury will have to monetize 100 trillion dollars worth of bad debt. Full Story
By: Mark O’Byrne, Director, Gold and Silver Investments Limited - 29 September, 2008
Bullion shortages and the confluence of unprecedented supply and limited demand in conjunction with macroeconomic, inflation and systemic factors is leading to extremely bullish conditions for the gold market - probably even more bullish than in the 1970s when gold rose some 3,000% from $35 to over $850 in just 9 years. Full Story
After a sharp move on Monday it seemed that gold bugs just threw in the towel and stepped to the sidelines. The rest of the week was basically a lateral move with a downside bias. Everyone is now waiting for this week to see what the politicians will do. Full Story
I am not a prophet of doom and gloom. As an advocate for investing in gold I try to shed light and offer factual advice to help people secure their future. But the key to avoiding future shock – economic calamity – is to be realistic about what we face and make the best of it. Full Story
By: Olivier Garret, CEO Casey Research - 28 September, 2008
The Fed’s recent attempts at quick fixes have not worked, and current events are reinforcing what Bud Conrad prognosticated almost two years ago: that this is much more than a normal cyclical correction. This is a disaster of biblical proportions. Full Story
By: John Mauldin, Millennium Wave Advisors - 28 September, 2008
This week, Thoughts from the Frontline will be an open letter to Joe, and through him to Congress, telling him what the real financial problem is and how it affects his district, helping explain the problem to his constituents, and explaining why he has to hold his nose with one hand and vote for a bailout with the other. Full Story
Arthur Laffer [Laffer Investments] debates Peter Schiff on CNBC, August 28, 2006 allowing history to judge who was really off base. We would like to know why CNBC continues to provide Mr. Arthur Laffer prime exposure while Mr. Peter Schiff has not been invited back since late 2007?
We would also like to know if Mr. Schiff has received his penny... Full Story
So, how the hell did we end up in such a mess? Does anyone have the answer? Yes, there are those that have the answer: they are the same visionaries that have been saying for years that this is the final destination that a road of paper money leads a nation down – any nation, even one as great as ours. Full Story
By: Richard Daughty, The Mogambo Guru - 28 September, 2008
Right now we have greedy, lying, thieving, staggeringly stupid weenies owning the banks, and tomorrow there will just be two more big banks owned by greedy, lying, thieving, staggeringly stupid weenies! Hahaha! Full Story
By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 28 September, 2008
There’s a neighborhood in Baltimore where quaint old row-homes were recently offered for sale at $1,000 apiece. At that price they needed some fixing up, to be sure, but there were still no takers. The homes have since been boarded up and sit vacant. What turned buyers off was that the homes contained asbestos and lead paint, and anyone who wanted to move in would have to deal with a laundry list of EPA hazmat requirements. Full Story
By: Joseph Brusuelas, Merk Investments - 28 September, 2008
The week of September 29-October 3 will see very important data that will provide information on the condition of the consumer and the labor sector. The major data risk for the week will occur with the Monday release of the August personal and income statement and the Friday publication of the September estimate of non-farm payrolls. Full Story
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