By: Gordon T. Long and Christopher P. Casey - 1 April, 2016
Cost push inflation is a Keynesian concept that was developed to explain inflation during inflation; if any important commodity’s price rises, all other prices of goods and services rise. As we pay more, the standard of living would go down and inflation would creep in. But this actually puts downward pressure on other goods and services, so in the end the price level itself is largely unchanged. Full Story
Gold Stocks enjoyed a fabulous, near vertical rebound into March yet were in extreme overbought territory. We and many others called for a correction. In recent weeks those other voices have worried excessively about the alleged bearish construction of the CoT. Although Gold and Silver have essentially consolidated with a little weakness, the gold stocks have continued to hold above even initial support. Over the past month they have corrected through time rather than price. The longer gold stocks hold above initial support, the greater the chance they are building a bullish flag consolidation. Full Story
The title of this article is not an assumption that you, astute reader, are little more than a robot following the direct and implied commands of other robots when trying to make logical sense of the state of modern financial markets. Personally, I have found that I need to stay on a path of post-deprogramming maintenance in order to stay right with a complex market backdrop. Full Story
By: Peter Schiff, CEO of Euro Pacific Capital - 1 April, 2016
It may be almost impossible to underestimate the gullibility of professional Fed watchers. At least Lucy van Pelt needed to place an actual football on the ground to fool poor Charlie Brown. But in today's high stakes game of Federal Reserve mind reading, the Fed doesn't even have to make a halfway convincing bluff to make the markets look foolish. Full Story
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence - 1 April, 2016
Silver’s reluctant, sluggish participation in early 2016’s powerful gold rally has been glaringly obvious. Instead of amplifying the yellow metal’s big gains as in the past, silver largely failed to even keep pace. The lack of silver confirmation for gold’s big move has certainly raised concerns. But despite silver’s vexing torpidity in recent months, it is a coiled spring ready to explode higher to catch and surpass gold. Full Story
Gold and silver prices rose slightly over the course of this week, with the gold price up $15 to $1235, and silver up 20c to $15.38. London having been closed for Easter Monday, trading in the physical market was subdued. Futures' volumes were normal, with the exception of a spike on Tuesday when Janet Yellen delivered a widely anticipated speech to the Economic Club of New York, outlining the Fed's thinking about economic prospects. Full Story
This week's Gong Show in the global financial markets reminds me of the early 1980s before the advent of the Internet or online trading or blogs and especially before 30-something financial "advisors" were allowed to go on the national (and international) airwaves or Internet websites and babble on for what seem like days how "The Fed has our back!" as an excuse for buying stocks at 23 times forward earnings. Full Story
GoldMoney Inc. (TSX-V: XAU), a full-reserve and gold-based financial service and technology group, is pleased to announce Key Performance Indicators (KPI’s) for its two operating platforms for the period ended March 31, 2016. Full Story
Perhaps it is not too late and real change can be achieved in the system. If Trump sticks to what he says and is able to survive long enough in office to make radical changes, then there may yet be hope for the United States. Regardless of what is to come, real change is on the horizon for better or for worse. Pain will be had no matter which avenue the world travels down. The only difference is, one path leads to light, and one to darkness. Only time will tell if we are smart enough to pick the right one – let’s hope we are. Full Story
The weapon of choice is money, and central bankers utilize this weapon merciless to rain misery on the unknowing masses by purposely creating boom and bust cycles. Since Fiat was created, bankers have fed off the misery they have wrecked on humanity. How do they feed off this misery? They no longer take from Peter and give to Paul; they make sure that Peter and Paul try to rob each other and everyone else to survive. Full Story
Economist John Williams of Shadowstats.com returns to the show with a characteristically non-sanguine stance on the economy. Global QE operations are detrimental, meant only for temporary banking system support, as a result long-term QE operations have caused economic dependence. Full Story
In my opinion, silver reached a bottom back in December 2015. The silver to gold ratio and the silver to SPX ratio support that conclusion. The RSI turned up in December. Anything can happen in “managed” markets, but 26 years of history indicate that silver bottomed in December. Full Story
The Fed failed to hike interest rates in March despite the “data” hitting levels at which the Fed said it would hike. Indeed, the Fed even lowered its expected number of rate hikes for this year from four to two! This confirms for us that the Fed does indeed want inflation. Full Story
We are going to take a look using a number of visual images at what has been happening recently with the Federal Reserve, how this integrates with the federal government and the national debt, and the just extraordinary implications when it comes to retirement and other long-term investment decisions. Full Story
Extending the Fed's good cop/bad cop routine, Chairwoman Yellen brought the sugar in her speech to the Economic Club of New York Tuesday and tamped down last week’s more hawkish tone brought on by comments from a few of the Fed’s regional bank presidents – namely, Dennis Lockhart from the Atlanta Fed, who speculated that the strength of the most recent US economic data could justify a rate increase as early as April. Full Story
We have entered a new and unprecedented phase in monetary policy. Central banks in Europe and Japan have now implemented Negative Interest Rate Policies (NIRP) to counteract deflationary pressures and, in some cases, currency appreciation. Amid higher market uncertainty, the price of gold is up by 16% year-to-date – in part due to NIRP.* Full Story
By: Gordon T. Long and Martin Armstrong - 30 March, 2016
The Chinese are trying to maintain a controlled economy but they are losing the grip of it. Many people misunderstood the economic statistics because they do not understand what is happening. You had many companies in Hong Kong borrowing in dollars, converting it back in and paying 1% then funneling it into China and collecting 5%-8%. People perceived this as the Chinese getting lots of capital inflow, and the economy doing good, but it had nothing to do with the economy. Following this, shadow banking was shut down and then it was perceived that the economy was going down, but it’s been going down since 2007. Full Story
The start of baseball season is still several days away, but a recent survey conducted by Bank of America Merrill Lynch found that 59 percent of U.S. fund managers believe the current stretch of economic growth is in its “final innings.” This is the highest reading since the financial crisis in 2008. Full Story
Last week began the blackout period for companies buying back their own shares, as we are nearing the end of a quarter, when stock buybacks are put on hold. It also began the bust of the stock market’s recent rally. If you followed my last article, you’d see that this is exactly what I expected the stock market to do because nearly all of the buoyancy in the recent market rally has been created by companies buying back stocks and sometimes focusing the buybacks on specific major shareholders. Full Story
The simple and easy to understand chart shown below quite clearly illustrates why the Fed has no option but to lower interest rates. Central bankers worldwide have already embraced negative rates, so it is just a matter of time before our central bankers are forced to walk down the same path. The Fed is trying to put on a brave act, but you can already see them backtracking from the strong stance they took last year. Full Story
Gold continues to track the sideways action of the US dollar against the Japanese yen, ahead of Friday’s important US jobs report. Investors who focus only on the USDX are focusing mainly on the action of one risk-on currency (the dollar) against another (the euro). That’s a mistake, because gold is the world’s premier risk-off asset. Gold’s price action against the dollar is highly correlated to the dollar’s price action against the Japanese yen. Full Story
With a major hat tip to our buddy, Ned Naylor-Leyland, you simply must watch this video from The Financial Times and their astute financial reporter, Izabella Kaminska. I don't want to add too much here for fear of spoiling the fun. However, I'll just share these quotes and then let you sit back and enjoy...you evil, selfish recluse. Full Story
Gold is up over 15% this year so far, while the gold stocks (per XAU index) have risen over 50%. But investors are skeptical about this year's gold rally, and that's a good thing. For the past several years, we have seen strong rallies in gold and gold stocks early in the year, only to see the market reverse and end the year down. Investors are reluctant to jump on board this year's rally. Full Story
And yet Kaminska concludes her parody of financial journalism by declaring that "gold is most valuable to society when it becomes a currency" -- as if gold isn't already a currency and as if governments and central banks aren't doing their damnedest to prevent the monetary metal from becoming even more of a currency competing with their own currencies. Full Story
Besides basic supply and demand fundamentals, there are many other inputs that directly affect the oil price. They include: the health of the world’s economy; influence of the OPEC cartel and especially, Saudi Arabia on swing supply; geopolitical events mainly in the Middle East but also in Eastern Europe and Asia; advent of new technologies for exploration, development, and recovery; and recently, global environmental and economic policies designed to curb use of fossil fuels. Full Story
Looks like The Donald’s balloon is gaining escape velocity, where a win in Florida this week would pretty much cement the deal (his candidacy). The surprise last week was Bernie Sanders in Michigan however, which is not good news for status quo plunderers et al. Because according to him – he’s going after these people if he’s elected. That’s how he’s going to pay for all the free stuff he plans to give away – the education, health care, and free balloons. Full Story
No Ponzi scheme can unwind slowly. When the current Ponzi scheme breaks you will have NO WARNING whatsoever. In our opinion, it will be completely over within 48 hours and the markets will be locked up and you "locked in" to whatever you have ... and "locked out" of whatever you don't have but would like to! Technical analysis will be worthless and of no help. In a world where ALL ASSETS are nothing more than promises, gold and silver will do what have for 5,000 years. Full Story
Suppose the U.S. national debt in 2032 exceeds $80 trillion and the system has not yet imploded … what will be a fair price for an ounce of gold or an average house? What will that 30 year T-bond you bought in 2016 be worth in purchasing power in 2032? What will be the purchasing power of your saving account or retirement account or Social Security check? Debt, desperation and delusional thinking do not buy groceries, shelter, and health, or create a vibrant economy. Full Story
Germany announced this week that it wants half of its gold reserves back by the year 2020, reports Bloomberg. Bundesbank, the country’s central bank (which has gold in London and New York), has repatriated 1,400 metric tons, or 41.5 percent, of Germany’s gold reserves to Frankfurt. Full Story
If you are long term investor or someone with patience that can see the big picture, then the outlook is all but obvious. China is going to dominate the world for the next 100 years, and its markets will soar to heights that will appear insane by today’s standards. At this point, it makes sense to compile a list of strong companies and slowly establish long term positions. Every emerging power ran into obstacles but in the long run, they prevailed. The trend is in place, long term China is destined to be the next superpower; it's not a question of if but when.
The Chinese also have a fondness for Gold, and as they also have the world’s largest Middle class, expect demand for Gold to soar in the years to come. Full Story
Gold went down (as the muggles would measure it, in dollars). It dropped almost 40 bucks. Silver fell almost 60 cents. Since silver fell proportionally farther than gold, the gold-silver ratio went up. Full Story
Today we continue my series of open letters to the presidential candidates. In the meantime, we’ve drawn a little closer to knowing whom the two major parties will nominate. A few people are vowing to consider minor parties, too. In any case, whoever replaces Barack Obama will face a world of challenges. The good news is that most (not all) of the challenges are manageable – given the willingness to make very difficult choices. Full Story
Gold has been adrift for six weeks, a time period that corresponds almost exactly to the stock market’s bear rally from mid-February’s lows. I view the rally as doomed, implying that we will see gold resume its upward course when stocks yield to gravity, as they eventually must. The precise timing of this is unknowable, but with the broad averages hovering within a few percentage points of presumably unattainable new-record highs, we may not have long to wait. More immediately, the April contract will have an opportunity to hold the line with some pushback from a Hidden Pivot support at 1210.10 that contained sellers on Thursday. Full Story
Chris welcomes back Bob Hoye, senior investment strategist at Institutional Advisors. Our guest says a new cyclical PMs bull market is underway - he favors the PMs shares. US dollar weakness may indicate a top is in place. Harry S. Dent Jr., says gold is far more appealing that US stocks on a valuation basis, noting: "I would buy gold over US shares any day of the week." Thanks to Fed rate tapering, funds have been redirected into commodities, especially gold. Full Story
We have the power and the weaponry to change every community, every state and the entire nation without ever firing a single bullet. How is this possible? Whenever a person, anywhere in the world, exchanges their fiat currency for gold or silver coins or bars, they are “firing a shot” at that currency. Gold is “the money of Kings” and silver is “the money of Gentlemen”. Gold and silver have been money for thousands of years and no amount of market rigging, made up rules or government intervention will change this law of man. Full Story
By: Steve St. Angelo, SRSrocco Report - 27 March, 2016
Since 2011, The United States exported the majority of its gold to only four countries. In the past five years, the U.S. exported a total of 1,961 metric tons (mt) of gold to these four countries which accounted for 68% of the total 2,876 mt. As we can see in the chart, the top four received 1,961 mt or 63 million oz (Moz), of the total 2,876 mt (92.4 Moz). That’s a lot of gold. How much gold is this? Full Story
Let’s simply state that inflation is coming. Well, it is here and its effects reside within many areas of the vast services economy. But the NFTRH theme has been evolving more and more toward 1999-2001 as a template for current events. Generally, that would entail gold bottoming vs. stock markets and leading the initial surge in inflation expectations. That part is now behind us as gold first trended up vs. commodities, has changed trend in nominal terms and moved up vs. stocks and currencies. Full Story
Gold and gold stocks finally showed a bit of weakness during the holiday shortened week. Gold had its biggest weekly loss in months, losing 3% to $1217/oz while the miners (GDX, GDXJ) declined about 5%. Silver lost 4%. If weakness in Gold and gold stocks continues then we should turn our attention to technical support and see if it will hold. Gold and gold stocks are trading above the 400-day moving average which has been key resistance since 2011. Holding that support in the days or weeks ahead would offer confirmation that a new bull has started. Full Story
By: Gordon T. Long and Michael Pento - 27 March, 2016
To have 20-25% of my portfolio in mining shares which is high as far as Wall Street is concerned. So have gold, short in the market, and the only place being long is with energy. being long with energy as of late has proven to show great results. Forget base metals and in terms of energy it’s a great hedge in being short in the market. Full Story
By: Richard (Rick) Mills, Ahead of the herd - 27 March, 2016
Serbian astrophysicist Milutin Milankovitch is best known for developing one of the most significant theories relating to Earths motions and long term climate change. Milankovitch developed a mathematical theory of climate change based on the seasonal and latitudinal variations in the solar radiation received by the Earth from our Sun - it was the first truly plausible theory for how minor shifts of sunlight could make the entire planet's temperature swing back and forth from cold to warm. Full Story
A bit of a rest week for markets as they are near resistance levels, but not falling, which so far, says we are setting up for a breakout higher, but that can change. Friday saw the SPX weak early but the market ended up closing on the highs of the day which is very positive and means this is so far just shaking out the weak hands, but again, that can change, and if we do see weakness, I’ll be locking in gains or getting our at cost in my stocks. Full Story
The content on this site is protected
by U.S. and international copyright laws and is the property of GoldSeek.com
and/or the providers of the content under license. By "content" we mean any
information, mode of expression, or other materials and services found on GoldSeek.com.
This includes editorials, news, our writings, graphics, and any and all other
features found on the site. Please contact
us for any further information.
Live GoldSeek Visitor Map | Disclaimer
The views contained here may not represent the views of GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC, its affiliates or advertisers. GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC makes no representation, warranty or guarantee as to the accuracy
or completeness of the information (including news, editorials, prices, statistics,
analyses and the like) provided through its service. Any copying, reproduction
and/or redistribution of any of the documents, data, content or materials contained
on or within this website, without the express written consent of GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC,
is strictly prohibited. In no event shall GoldSeek.com, Gold Seek LLC or its affiliates be
liable to any person for any decision made or action taken in reliance upon
the information provided herein.
