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Weekly Archive

By: David Morgan, Silver Investor - 30 May, 2008

In 2001 I was asked to write the “Ten Rules of Silver Investing” for the investing rules book published in Great Britain in 2001. The complete title of this book is The Global-Investor Book of Investing Rules—Invaluable Advice from 150 Master Investors. My portion is available for free to anyone on the Internet willing to sign up here. In this week’s article, let us examine Silver Investing Rule Number Six. Full Story

By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 30 May, 2008

-A typical financial tale - where nothing goes as hoped for, and everything goes as it should…
-The rise of speculative capital…pumping up a bubble with a chip on its shoulder…
-The three vicious cycles we must face…an interesting TIME cover…and more! Full Story

By: Peter Schiff, Euro Pacific Capital, Inc. - 30 May, 2008

While fear may from time to time play a role in creating price spikes in gold, the underlying bull market has been driven by solid fundamentals. Those who have been too afraid to buy simply do not understand the underlying dynamics and have instead decided that the market is irrational. As a result, gold continues to climb the classic wall of worry as any dip in its otherwise upward trajectory causes the speculative investors to jump ship. Full Story

By: Scott Wright, Zeal Intelligence LLC - 30 May, 2008

This secular silver bull likely still has a long way to go. And I believe we will eventually see silver prices much higher than the highs experienced in March. But even if silver retreats for a spell, silver mining should still be highly profitable. Even at $10 the elite miners can still turn incredible profits as they produce their silver at costs half this amount, with some operating at costs near nil when byproduct credits are thrown into the mix. Full Story

By: Adrian Ash, BullionVault - 30 May, 2008

Buying a swimming on instalment, in short, starts to look very expensive. Because it costs more – in terms of poor Bumstead's outgoings – than simply the new raise he brings home each month. Now he and the family must adjust their spending on all those other things (such as food, clothes, entertainment, meals out) which they'd previously enjoyed regardless. Full Story

By: Clif Droke - 30 May, 2008

The bottoming of the 120-year Master Cycle always brings about revolution. The first revolution since the founding of our nation in the 1770s was political in nature. The second revolution, when the last 120-year cycle bottomed in the 1890s, was industrial. The third revolution when the current 120-year cycle bottoms next decade will probably be a social one. Full Story

By: Bix Weir - 30 May, 2008

In my opinion the CFTC made no attempt to investigate the potential that the commentators and investors claiming silver manipulation could actually be correct. There was no analysis of the silver market fundamentals, no investigation (or audits) into physical silver available for delivery against the short positions, no investigation of potential collusion between the 8 largest shorts, no analysis of silver leasing, swapping or lending, no interviews with market analysts or commentators, no analysis of silver market slam events and no attempt to explain the COMEX silver crime committed on May 17-20, 2008. Full Story

By: Jim Otis - 30 May, 2008

To paraphrase a song, the hills are alive with the sounds of pundits shouting that the price of crude oil is up, up, and away primarily because the dollar is way down upon a swany river. Well, this Optimist wants to sing a slightly different refrain. Full Story

By: Nadeem Walayat - 30 May, 2008

We may be witnessing a possible solution to the Peak Oil dilemma in the formation of an unsustainable speculation driven crude oil price super spike. The impact of which will be to shock corporate and private consumers into making the necessary changes in the near future to be able to better adapt to the real impact of Peak Oil which will mean the reduction of crude oil supply and hence fuel shortages. Full Story

By: Richard Daughty, The MOGAMBO GURU - 30 May, 2008

And in case you want to know if the dollar is aligned with the dollar, then - Hahaha! - yes, the dollar is most certainly aligned with the dollar, and therefore, as the Economist magazine says, we well see 'the biggest price rises.' Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 30 May, 2008

We argued here yesterday that although hyperinflation is remotely possible, it will not be the result of a political decision, since the consequences would be too grave, devastating the savers who are the life’s blood of credit markets. If hyperinflation does come, we believe it can do so only via a mortgage bailout effort that mushrooms out of control, eventually encompassing all debtor households. Full Story

By: Ira Epstein - 29 May, 2008

It’s been two weeks since my last report. In that period of time, energy markets have hit new all time highs but gold and silver prices have struggled to hold on. In fact, gold is in a downtrend and silver may enter one shortly. Full Story

By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 29 May, 2008

-The vigilantes are back…putting the screws to the consumers…the confusing Big Picture in the oil market…
-Could the key to understanding the oil market be as simple as grasping the theory of supply and demand?
-The latest news for U.S. housing is worse than ever…Byron King recreates the infamous meeting at Bretton Woods in 1944…and more! Full Story

By: Ty Andros, TraderView - 29 May, 2008

Last summer, Tedbits did a series outlining the unfolding “Crack Up Boom” written about by Ludvig Von Mises. It was well received, to say the least. Now we return to it as the “Crack Up Boom” is front and center to analyzing unfolding economic and political events. The collapse of income and living standards in the G7 (trough misstated inflation) is combining with the “something for nothing” broad social trend to push the “Crack Up Boom” into a higher gear. Full Story

By: James West - 29 May, 2008

Gold has been in a corrective slump since spiking to $1023 on March 17, and watching the price on a day to day basis since then is enough to make you sea sick. Judging by the last few times gold set a new record after a prolonged corrective phase in the current bull market, the fact that its lurched towards $1,000 again a few times is strongly indicative of a bolder move upward past the previous record. Full Story

By: John Browne, Euro Pacific Capital - Senior Market Advisor - 29 May, 2008

Economic and financial statistics are the battleground over which the war of perception is fought. But as the saying goes: “Figures lie, and liars figure.” Politicians are masters of the selected use of statistics to lend credibility to their statements. In reality, the numbers often mask the truth. Full Story

By: David N. Vaughn, Gold Letter, Inc. - 29 May, 2008

It looks like we may be paying 5 dollars a gallon for gasoline before the end of the summer. There seems to be a great deal of speculation as to why the oil price is rising. Are the oil companies simply gouging American citizens? Perhaps OPEC is doing the gouging. Or maybe it would help things if the United States allowed for refineries to be built and oil to be drilled here in our own country. Full Story

By: Gary Dorsch, Editor, Global Money Trends newsletter - 29 May, 2008

“A trend in motion, will stay in motion, until some outside force, knocks it off its course!” After watching the parabolic rise in crude oil prices, doubling from a year ago, to above $130 a barrel last week, central bankers who under-estimated the power and resiliency of the “crude oil vigilantes”, are now praying for a “Bubble” that is destined to burst under its own weight, and at a moment’s notice. Full Story

By: Bob Chapman, The International Forecaster - 29 May, 2008

The ongoing destruction of our economy and the free trade agenda were energized during the period of the Bush-Clinton-Bush triple whammy of Presidential Administrations, and all of their nefarious dealings were assisted by Reagan's Executive Order creating the President's Working Group on Financial Markets, also known as the PPT. Full Story

By: Jim Willie CB - 29 May, 2008

An important swing in the pendulum is due to manifest itself in the near future. Leverage with gold mining stocks and silver mining stocks depends upon containment of costs. Whether of energy costs (primarily diesel), or materials (like steel & lumber), or labor itself (also in shortage), even equipment (rigs in dire shortage with long waiting periods), the mining firms need to contain costs in order to make their stocks effective investments from which to exploit the rising gold & silver prices. Full Story

By: Richard Daughty, The MOGAMBO GURU - 29 May, 2008

As the solid foundation of your True Mogambo Enlightenment (TME), you have the fact that not once in the 4,000-year history of man and money has this 'fiat money' crap NOT led to total ruination. Not once. Not even close. Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 29 May, 2008

Is the dollar in the initial stages of a hyperinflation? We very strongly doubt it, although we would no longer assert categorically that such an outcome is impossible. Even so, there is only one course of political action we can conceive of that would put the U.S. economy on a hyperinflationary path, and it is not one that we have heard discussed. Full Story

By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 28 May, 2008

-Finally seeing proof of consumer cutback…$3,000 a week is simply too much to spend on gas…
-Consumer or investor: who's the better financial weatherman…on the usefulness of guns while driving…
-If you give advice, be prepared to get some, too…giving up on London…and more! Full Story

By: Julian D. W. Phillips, Gold/Silver Forecaster - Global Watch - 28 May, 2008

The chairman of a Senate oversight committee, Joseph Lieberman, has said he is considering legislation to place limits on large institutional investors in commodities markets, which have posted record prices this year in agricultural products and oil. The chairman of the Senate Homeland Security and Government Affairs Committee said that the legislation would be aimed at speculators and other investors who use commodities as a way to hedge against swings in other investment instruments like stocks and the dollar. Full Story

By: Eric Hommelberg - 28 May, 2008

Now that gold finds itself in a new up-leg again we can finally be looking forward to some excitement in the junior gold shares coming months. As pointed out in part I the technical set-up leaves plenty of room for a giant up-move for the juniors that could last for more than a year. Full Story

By: Adrian Ash, BullionVault - 28 May, 2008

Summarizing the world's early experiments with inflation targeting as "no panacea [but] highly successful in helping...maintain low inflation rates," Posen and Mishkin – now Ben Bernanke's stand-in whenever the Fed chief can't make a luncheon or dinner – clearly liked the idea. They knew Joe Public would go for it, too. Full Story

By: Mary Anne & Pamela Aden - 28 May, 2008

There seems to be no stopping the high flying oil price as it leaps above $130, a price that seemed unlikely just last December. The growth in oil demand will continue to be driven by China and Asia, in spite of the U.S. economic slowdown. Full Story

By: James Turk - 28 May, 2008

The Federal Reserve is following the footsteps of the central bank in Weimar Germany. It is the same path taken by many central banks that have issued countless fiat currencies based on nothing but government promises. It is the path to the fiat currency graveyard, and the once almighty US dollar – which long ago used to be “as good as gold”, just like the Reichsmark once held that same exalted title – is knocking at the graveyard’s gate. Full Story

By: Gary North, Mises on Money - 28 May, 2008

When governments want to expand power over the monetary system, they invoke the need to clamp down on money laundering by criminals. There is a problem here. After these laws and new rules are passed, crime never goes down, but our privacy does. That is a problem for us. It is not a problem for governments. Full Story

By: Richard Benson, SFGroup - 28 May, 2008

Unfortunately, the outlook looks grim. Inflation causes stagnation as people can afford to buy less and less. At the same time, a weak economy only encourages the Fed to print more money that will continue to rob me of my savings, and generate even more inflation. Bernanke may have been educated at Princeton but from what we have seen, he still knows very little. And in turn, this means we all get to learn firsthand what stagflation is all about. Full Story

By: Richard Daughty, The MOGAMBO GURU - 28 May, 2008

I can see by the look of horror on your face that you have heard enough today. We'll take it up again tomorrow, or whenever I sober up after hearing this Awful, Awful News (AAN) myself. Brrr! The blood runs cold! Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 28 May, 2008

We have no doubt that a dramatic fall in the price of oil would be bullish for stocks. But judging from yesterday’s price action in the latter, the decline would have to be sustained and significant in order to coax wary investors from their bomb shelters. A week during which oil futures have fallen by, say, $20-$25 would probably do the trick. But is this likely? Full Story

By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 27 May, 2008

-Why an 8th rate cut won't matter…remembering on the Great Moderation…
-A recession by the numbers…two things you don't dare criticize…
-Guilty by association and dropped under the campaign bus…a modern way to feel like a 16th-century heretic…and more! Full Story

By: Theodore Butler - 27 May, 2008

I had planned to skip writing an article this week, but today’s sudden drop in price persuaded me to pen some thoughts. Ironically, the short term prospects for silver looked pretty good going into today. The market structure, as defined by the Commitment of Traders Report (COT), appeared OK, and persistent reports of tight physical supplies should have supported the market. So why the sudden swoon? Full Story

By: Douglas V. Gnazzo - 27 May, 2008

The United States used to be the largest creditor nation. Now we are the largest debtor nation. One bread winner used to earn enough to support the entire family. This is no longer the case for most American households. It now takes two. Why? Full Story

By: Brady Willett - 27 May, 2008

In short, rather than incessantly romanticize about a dreamy anti-bubble handbook we all know doesn’t exist, why doesn’t Greenspan be honest and admit that he messed up? However hard he tries, Greenspan is not going to convince anyone that his tenure as Fed boss is to be adored by future generations like a Picasso. Rather, the appropriate portrait is that of a lazy regulator that loved to throw a party, and whose cantankerous contradictions after leaving the Fed dumbfounded all. Full Story

By: Captain Hook, Treasure Chests - 27 May, 2008

Buy gold and silver, and make the future easier for yourself. Successful investing is all about getting on a trend before it becomes popular, before buying interest increases, driving the price up. The fact an easily controlled public has not jumped on the precious metals bandwagon is not a negative then, but a positive for those who grasp the opportunity. Full Story

By: Darryl Robert Schoon - 27 May, 2008

Modern economics is not rocket science. In fact, it’s not science at all. It’s a game, a confidence game. Once paper passed for money, economics became an elaborate shell game designed to hide the fact paper had been substituted for silver and gold. Full Story

By: Steven Saville, Speculative Investor - 27 May, 2008

The almost total lack of understanding of the monetary problems underlying much of what is happening in the financial world is why gold is relatively cheap. But people will eventually catch on, so it is also why gold is destined to become much more expensive. Full Story

By: Howard S. Katz - 27 May, 2008

The establishment argues that gold does not pay interest and therefore is an inferior investment to stocks, real estate or bonds, which do pay interest. Why then should anyone be a gold bug? Full Story

By: Dudley Pierce Baker - 27 May, 2008

Investing in the junior mining shares over the last year or two has been considered risky at best and perhaps insanity by some investors. So, why would we be looking for leverage on the junior mining sector when the shares and the mining indices are hardly keeping up with the price of the bullion, gold or silver? Full Story

By: Jason Hommel, Silver Stock Report - 27 May, 2008

In my opinion, it is too early to say what mine supply will mean for silver prices in 2009, since silver prices could well be $30/oz. or higher by then, with between 2-5 times more investor demand than today, or up to 400 million ounces demanded by investors due to continued inflation, war, etc. Full Story

By: Nadeem Walayat - 27 May, 2008

The housing bear markets continue to bite into economic activity as the US heads for recession this year and the UK during 2009. The US is still showing no signs of a housing bottom having fallen by 3.1% in the first quarter of 2008 according to government statistics, and foreclosures rising to a all time high as borrowers walk away from homes sinking into negative equity. Full Story

By: Roland Watson, The Silver Analyst - 27 May, 2008

Gold is currently moving in volatile times and to me at least the debate on where it is going next looks increasingly polarized. While the hot money seems to have abandoned gold and silver to ride the crude oil bandwagon (which will certainly suffer the same drop soon), the old maxim “Sell in May and go away” seems to have been pinned to gold’s lapel. Full Story

By: Richard Daughty, The MOGAMBO GURU - 27 May, 2008

Consumers are suffering because the stupid European governments boosted spending for a decade or more, the money financed by debt, and it is all of this spending that has made the purchasing power of the euro to fall. Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 27 May, 2008

The Fed has been attempting to stimulate the economy like never before, but will it work? Some economists and pundits say it already has worked and that the U.S. has dodged the bullet of recession. These people are either dolts or publicity-seeking liars, or a combination of both, and we’d suggest tuning out their blather, since there is no factual basis whatsoever for their assertions that the economy has bottomed. Full Story

By: - 26 May, 2008

1st Hour:
Headline news & Market Weatherman Forecast.
Spotlight Stock Picks with big dividends.
The International Forecaster and Host Chris Waltzek answer listener questions.
2nd Hour:
- Peter Grandich Full Story

By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 26 May, 2008

-We've got a lot to remember and a lot to reckon with on this Memorial Day…the richest man in the world travels to Europe to seek out better investments…
-The Oracle of Omaha could write for The Daily Reckoning…putting the squeeze on the American family…
-Checking in on Cuba…advice from The Daily Reckoning: you get what you pay for…and more! Full Story

By: Bob Chapman, The International Forecaster - 26 May, 2008

The "sucker's rally" in the general stock markets took a big-time sucker punch from the cartel as the short-covering from the rolling over of gold futures from June 08 to August 08 kept upward pressure on the price of gold, which finished up $26.50 for the week, as silver joined the party by adding $1.31 per ounce. The cartel has now expended 550 Dow points of market-crashing power to drain liquidity from the specs to put pressure on precious metals. Full Story

By: Gary North, Mises on Money - 26 May, 2008

We do not have a free market in money. We have a self-interested cartel. This cartel will do whatever it can to protect its lucrative monopoly over money. You would be wise to assume, as in all other areas of the economy, that the following offer is suspect: "I'm from the government, and I'm here to help you." Full Story

By: John Mauldin, Millennium Wave Advisors - 26 May, 2008

Why has the price of oil risen so much in the past few months? Is it a supply and demand issue as some believe; or is it because of an out-of-control futures market driven by the proliferation of commodity index funds and rampant speculation, as everyone tries to get in on the rise in commodity prices? This is a very complex issue, with a lot of emotion attached to it. Full Story

By: Malcolm Bucholtz - 26 May, 2008

This past week-end I had a most unique experience when I had the chance to meet a visiting delegation of Chinese investors who had come to the Province of Saskatchewan in Canada to seek out resource based acquisitions. Full Story

By: Richard Daughty, The MOGAMBO GURU - 26 May, 2008

But maybe bondholders are so used to being screwed out of buying power that they don't even notice anymore. Or they are all taking drugs and don't realize that they are being screwed out of buying power. Full Story

By: Warren Bevan - 26 May, 2008

The metals had a strong week and the smaller stocks may be beginning to finally show some signs of life. With Oil flying, the gold to oil ratio remains at historic lows. Something’s got to give soon. Lots of bad financial news keeps coming out as usual and a nationalization threat from Brazil shocked, well, me at least. Full Story

By: Douglas V. Gnazzo - 26 May, 2008

The big news this week was the report by the National Association of Realtors that sales of previously owned homes fell 1% in April, while the supply of unsold properties reached a record level of 11.2 months as measured by the present sales rate. Full Story

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