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Weekly Archive

By: Ira Epstein - 2 March, 2018

Will the President walk back hit tariff threat or not? Full Story

By: Visual Capitalist - 2 March, 2018

It’s said that in China, a new skyscraper is built every five days. China is building often, and they are building higher. In fact, just last year, China completed 77 of the world’s 144 new supertall buildings, spread through 36 different Chinese cities. These are structures with a minimum height of 656 feet (200 meters). Full Story

By: Mike Gleason - 2 March, 2018

It is my privilege now to welcome back Michael Pento, president and founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies, and author of the book The Coming Bond Market Collapse: How to Survive the Demise of the U.S. Debt Market. Michael is a well-known money manager and a fantastic market commentator, and over the past few years has been a wonderful guest and one of our favorite interviews here on the Money Metals Podcast and we always enjoy getting his Austrian economist viewpoint. Full Story

By: Adam Hamilton, CPA - 2 March, 2018

The US dollar has fallen rather sharply over the past year or so, despite ongoing Fed rate hikes. This persistent dollar weakness has really boosted gold. There’s a fascinating interplay between these two currencies and futures speculators’ expectations for Fed rate hikes. These traders hang on every word from top Fed officials, which greatly influences their trading. So these relationships are important to understand. Full Story

By: John Rubino - 2 March, 2018

Every few decades a new “command and control” economy emerges, puts up awesome initial numbers, and convinces people prone to dictator-worship that they’ve seen the future and it works. Between the 1920s and the 1970s, for instance, lots of influential people thought the Soviet Union would overtake the West, forcing the “free world” to embrace top-down economic planning. Full Story

By: radio.GoldSeek.com - 2 March, 2018

Lior Gantz of Wealth Research Group makes his show debut with his insights on Bitcoin, Altcoins and the PMs.
The former money manager / entrepreneur is an avid silver aficionado who survived the Dot Bomb crash like tens of millions of investors.
The ordeal taught him to adopt a Warren Buffett-like investing approach, which lead him to silver / commodities / China stocks and spectacular results. Full Story

By: Richard (Rick) Mills - 2 March, 2018

While there is disagreement over its causes – man-made versus natural – the reality of climate change is an incontrovertible fact. The planet is warming, affecting our weather, our oceans, our growing seasons, even our food, as crops fail, causing shortages and price hikes. Storms are becoming more frequent, and more intense, and droughts are lasting longer. Full Story

By: Gordon Long - 2 March, 2018

In this 38 minute video which includes over 38 slides, Gordon T Long and Charles Hugh Smith discuss the world of Risk Transfer. Full Story

By: Gary Christenson - 2 March, 2018

To keep this obviously flawed system working, total debt must increase every year, debt service increases forever, and people must pretend a mathematically flawed system will survive. Central banks assist the delusion. They buy sovereign debt (by the trillions), push interest rates lower to reduce debt service expenditures (lowered to multi-decade or multi-century lows) and increase their balance sheets (code for “money printing”) to “stimulate” the economy. Full Story

By: Alasdair Macleod - 2 March, 2018

In a recent article[i] I postulated that the dollar could lose all its purchasing power with a rapidity that will come as an unpleasant bombshell, even to those who already see inflation as society’s greatest problem in the future. The key to understanding why this may be so lies in human reactions to the monetary consequences of the next credit crisis. The undermining of the dollar as a currency affects all other fiat currencies, because it is the reserve currency and all financial markets use it as the pricing medium for commodities and for much of international trade. Full Story

By: Arkadiusz Sieron - 2 March, 2018

One month after the February stock market rout is an excellent time to step back and review all the facts – and their implications for the gold market. Here’s exactly what happened – and what it implies for your capital allocation. Full Story

By: Steve St. Angelo - 2 March, 2018

The situation in Mexico’s oil industry continues to rapidly disintegrate as falling oil production and rising costs resulted in an $18 billion fourth-quarter loss for the state-run oil company, PEMEX. Part of the reason for the huge financial loss at PEMEX was the fall in the value of the Mexican Peso. While PEMEX’s costs are in Pesos, it sells crude oil and purchases petroleum products in Dollars. Because the Mexican Peso declined 8% versus the Dollar, it put a huge strain on the company’s year-end financials. Full Story

By: Ira Epstein - 1 March, 2018

News of tariffs against China sends the US Dollar down and causes a late day rally in gold. Full Story

By: David Haggith - 1 March, 2018

The Federal Reserve is now hacking its own zombie recovery to death and eating it by reversing the actions it employed to create this artificially supported recovery. Each time the Fed unwinds its balance sheet, 10-year bond rates recoil, and the stock market dances along in countermoves and wild swings. The main theme of my blog has always been that the Fed’s centrally planned economic recovery dies as soon as the artificial life-support is removed. Full Story

By: radio.GoldSeek.com - 1 March, 2018

CEO Thomas Coughlin the founder of Kinesis as well as, Andrew Maguire, return with part two of this epic-exclusive Goldseek conference call, simultaneously on three continents.
The Allocated Bullion Exchange (ABX) is gold / silver bullion platform poised to disrupt the entire gold suppression scheme via Kinesis, exposing the opaque, gold paper money scheme.
The unique gold-backed cryptocurrency arrangement intends to usher in an entirely new global monetary system. Full Story

By: Arkadiusz Sieron - 1 March, 2018

It may be just a short-term move. But after the first Powell’s public appearance as the Fed Chair, investors now are more certain what to expect from the new FOMC, namely that the Fed will be more hawkish this year. It should be supportive for the greenback and negative for gold. The question now is whether it will be enough to outweigh the impact of unsound fiscal and trade policy of the U.S. government (the support for the dollar from higher interest rates has weakened recently, as investors shift their focus on the U.S. twin deficit). And Powell will testify today before the Senate, so he will have a chance to modify his stance. Stay tuned! Full Story

By: Chris Powell - 1 March, 2018

Oh, for a journalist who would put a few serious questions to Franco-Nevada Chairman Pierre Lassonde, former chairman of the World Gold Council, when he says, as he told Daniela Cambone of Kitco News this week, that "gold is well-priced" and "where it should be." Full Story

By: Steve St. Angelo - 1 March, 2018

While official sources forecast U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to surpass $20 trillion this year, the real figure is probably much less. So how much less is real U.S. GDP? Well, that depends on how it is measured. If we factor in energy consumption and the increase in total public debt, U.S. GDP is likely less than half of the current figure. Full Story

By: Ira Epstein - 28 February, 2018

Metals still show no inflationary pressures. Full Story

By: Jeff Clark - 28 February, 2018

If you believe that…
The excesses from politicians around the world aren’t a free lunch and will have consequences
Silver is undervalued when compared to stocks, real estate, and gold
The gold/silver ratio will fall to historical levels, meaning it will outperform gold going forward
…then buy silver now. Full Story

By: Jordan Roy-Byrne CMT, MFTA - 28 February, 2018

Gold was well bid during the equity correction but it could not breakout then and has retreated as equities have roared back. As a result, the Gold to stocks ratio has retraced most of its recent surge. Meanwhile, the US Dollar has rebounded and the oversold and overhated bond market could be starting a rally. The recent rise in long-term bond yields which has benefitted Gold appears due for a pause or correction. Meanwhile, Gold could also correct and consolidate as it waits for a breakout in long-term bond yields which should in turn benefit Gold. Full Story

By: Daniel R. Amerman, CFA - 28 February, 2018

The United States national debt is currently about $20 trillion, and the federal government is paying some of the lowest interest rates in history on that debt. The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates five times now, and is publicly considering another seven increases between 2018 and 2020, for a total increase of 3%. Full Story

By: James Anderson - 28 February, 2018

Here I will discuss physical gold reality as well as current gold supply and gold demand factors today. Let's begin with the gold’s supply chain. Not just from the ground, and no gold is not a mere entry into a bookkeeping ledger or a digital liability. Physical gold is born from the most violent phenomenon we human beings have ever witnessed… exploding stars. Full Story

By: John Rubino - 28 February, 2018

Note that this article’s first sentence — “A decade after the global financial crisis, household debts are considered by many to be a problem of the past after having come down in the U.S., U.K. and many parts of the euro area.” — was outdated before it was written. As the chart below illustrates, US consumers are back to borrowing like it’s 2006. November was a credit card orgy and December was about twice the year ago level. Full Story

By: Gary Savage - 28 February, 2018

Gold's daily cycle is becoming left translated as the US Dollar now appears to have formed an intermediate cycle low. This has significant implications for how gold is likely to perform over the next several weeks. Full Story

By: Rambus - 28 February, 2018

What we know for sure is that the HUI rallied strongly out of its January 2016 low to the August 2016 high which was very impressive. At the time it looked like the initial impulse move in a brand new bull market which was a welcomed sight after 5 years of bear market price action. At the 2016 top is where we should have expected some type of consolidation pattern to start building out to consolidate that massive gain, but what we got is not what we wanted to see. Full Story

By: Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA - 28 February, 2018

The HUI Index just closed below both 2017 and 2018 lows. The interpretations of many developments in the market are vague and subjective. But not major breakdowns. Gold miners just showed exceptional weakness by closing at new lows even though gold is still above $1,300 and the SPX corrected more than half of its recent sharp decline. Can anything save the precious metals sector from falling further? Full Story

By: Ira Epstein - 27 February, 2018

Soaring US Dollar sinks metals. Full Story

By: John Rubino - 27 February, 2018

It’s absolutely to be expected that the Fed responds to market instability with something. Starting in the mid-1990s that’s been the standing policy. When a developing country defaults the Fed cuts rates and guarantees bank loans. When a hedge fund implodes, the Fed cuts rates and engineers a bailout. When the housing bubble bursts the Fed cuts rates to zero and dumps $4+ trillion into the banking system. Full Story

By: Craig Hemke - 27 February, 2018

After rising together through 2012, the past five years have seen a massive divergence between the total amount of accumulated U.S. government debt and the price of COMEX gold. When, if ever, will we see this correlation reappear? After falling together through the late 1990s, the price of COMEX god and the total accumulated U.S. debt began to rise together since 2002. Full Story

By: Dave Kranzler - 27 February, 2018

With Government, corporate and household debt at all time highs, and with delinquency rates and defaults escalating quickly – especially in auto and credit card debt – the only reason the Fed would continue along the path of tightening monetary policy as laid out – but not remotely adhered to – over two years ago, is if for some reason it wanted blow-up the financial system. Au contraire, hiking rates and shrinking the Fed’s balance sheet is not in the best interests of the Too Big To Fail Banks or the net worth of Jerome Powell. Full Story

By: Frank Holmes - 27 February, 2018

Disney’s Black Panther is in theaters right now, breaking all kinds of box office records and wowing audiences. The film features a fictional, highly-advanced African country known as Wakanda, whose vast wealth and prosperity are derived almost exclusively from the mining of a rare, fantastical metal called vibranium. Full Story

By: Stewart Thomson - 27 February, 2018

There have been three clear attempts to push through the $1370 area since November of 2016. The first two failed miserably, but the current move looks much more positive. During the latest pullback from $1370, the bears have only managed to push the price modestly lower, to my key buy zone at $1310. The gold price promptly leaped higher as soon as it touched that area. This is very positive technical action. If the bulls fail a third time (unlikely), investors should be aggressive buyers at my $1270 and $1240 buy zones. Full Story

By: Gordon Long - 27 February, 2018

Going into last year we were tracking close to 33 Tipping Points. We thought 33 to be high, but somewhat expected the overall number to fall off going into 2018, with fewer but those ones likely being more elevated. What we have identified however going into 2018 are 44 Tipping Points with 11 categorized as "High Risk". High Risk has traditionally been approximately 5-7 in size but is presently now the largest we have had going back to the Pre-Dotcom Era when we first started tracking Tipping Points on a site specifically called "Tipping Points". Full Story

By: Ira Epstein - 26 February, 2018

Gold gains a bit but still stuck in no man’s land. Full Story

By: Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA - 26 February, 2018

The previous week was quite rich in important events. Silver rallied significantly on Wednesday and mining stocks underperformed significantly on Thursday. Gold declined significantly after moving to the previous high, but without a breakdown to new 2018 lows the situation remains tense, especially that the USD Index is fighting to break above an important support / resistance line. These signals may seem random, but if you’ve seen similar cases many times before, it all becomes coherent. Especially, when it’s confirmed by very long-term charts of utmost importance and by little-known but remarkably effective techniques. In today’s analysis, we discuss all of the above. Full Story

By: Dave Kranzler - 26 February, 2018

In a story buried in the business section of the February 18th NY Times, it was reported that the spending budget passed by Congress included a provision that creates a 16-member bipartisan congressional committee to craft legislation that would provide for the potential bailout of as many as 200 multi-employer” pension plans. Like most State public pension plans most of these multi-employer plans are about to hit the wall of insolvency. A multi-employer plan is a union pension plan that covers employees of union working at different companies. This minor little detail was not reported anywhere else. Full Story

By: Clint Siegner - 26 February, 2018

Bullion investors buy gold and silver as a matter of self-reliance. Physical metals aren’t dependent upon the promises of financial institutions, governments, or other third parties. This lack of counterparty risk makes precious metals quite different from most conventional assets. There is no possibility of a default or mismanagement which renders them worthless. That is a lot more than can be said of securities such as stocks and bonds. Full Story

By: Jack Chan - 26 February, 2018

The precious metals sector is on a long-term buy signal. Short term is on sell signals. A pullback is in progress. The cycle is down. COT data is supportive for overall higher metal prices. We are holding gold-related ETFs for long-term gain. Full Story

By: Frank Holmes - 26 February, 2018

The best performing metal this week was palladium, up 0.11 percent as hedge funds boosted their net bullish in the metal. Gold traders are split between bullish and bearish on the yellow metal after the U.S. dollar rose this week. In the prior week traders were bullish and positive sentiment sent $529 million into the VanEck Gold Miners ETF. Full Story

By: Gary Tanashian - 26 February, 2018

For Notes From the Rabbit Hole bonds are not just an asset class ‘throw-in’ but instead are a key indicator set to the entire modern macro. Insofar as it may be time to use them for portfolio balance (I am currently long SHV, SHY, IEI and IEF), so much the better. Many could not wait to buy bonds during US ZIRP global NIRP operations, but today they pay better interest and have a contrarian edge with the entire herd bracing for a bear market. Full Story

By: Rory Hall - 26 February, 2018

Silver has been money longer than gold and has created more wealth for individuals than gold. Silver translates, in many languages around the world to the word money. Silver is the very essence of the peoples money. It is beautiful, necessary and, above all else, money. Silver was part of our monetary system until the “crime of 1873“. Full Story

By: BullionStar - 26 February, 2018

The rapid emergence and commercialization of blockchain technology is undoubtedly one of the key technological trends at the moment, not just within crypto currencies, but as a disruptive technology across many industries and economic functions. At a high level, a blockchain is a distributed and public digital ledger of transactions that is updated across a peer-to-peer network, and that uses cryptography to record and update the chain of blocks that make up the ledger. Within a blockchain structure, there is no central authority. Full Story

By: Avi Gilburt - 26 February, 2018

Whenever I write a new article on the stock market, I usually try to highlight just how ridiculous much of the commentary about the market truly is. My ultimate goal is to force you to think on your own and adopt a more intellectually honest perspective of financial markets, rather than just buying into anything you read or hear. Full Story

By: John Rubino - 26 February, 2018

This is money borrowed by (usually individual or “retail”) investors against their existing stocks to buy more stocks. Investors tend to do this when markets are rising and using leverage seems like an effortless way turbocharge their gains. But eventually the market turns down, leaving stock portfolios insufficient to cover related margin debt and generating “margin calls” in which brokers demand more money and/or start liquidating customer portfolios. Full Story

By: Steven Saville - 26 February, 2018

For a market analyst there is an irresistible temptation to seek out one or more historical parallels to the current situation. The idea is that clues about what’s going to happen in the future can be found by looking at what happened following similar price action in the past. Sometimes this method works, sometimes it doesn’t. Full Story

By: Keith Weiner - 26 February, 2018

We have been promising to get back to the topic of capital destruction, which we put on hiatus for the last several weeks to make our case that the interest rate remains in a falling trend. Today, we have a different way of looking at capital destruction. Full Story

By: radio.GoldSeek.com - 25 February, 2018

Andy Schectman of Miles Franklin Institute is partnering with Sprott Asset Management on a physical gold backed, distributed ledger with bullion held at the Royal Canadian Mint.
Many pre-mined cryptos have early deep-pocket investors tend to own 80% or more of the tokens outstanding, diminishing the much touted decentralization aspects.
Bill Murphy of GATA.org, returns with his perspective on the PMs and Bitcoin.
After soaring to 20k and then plunging to less than 6k, investors are searching for safe haven assets with lower volatility, such as gold and silver. Full Story

By: John Mauldin - 25 February, 2018

On the surface, the film industry and central banking have little in common. Each does its own thing with little regard for the other. But in fact, they’re more alike than either cares to acknowledge. Film executives must analyze the vast, constantly shifting data surrounding public preferences, make long-term financial commitments that aren’t easy to reverse, and then live with the consequences. Central bankers must do the same. Hollywood execs dress more fashionably, but otherwise they have a lot in common with Fed governors. Full Story

By: Clive Maund - 25 February, 2018

Conclusion: the rally of the past couple of weeks is not a resumption of the bullmarket, as the government and Wall St would have you believe (“we just had a normal 10% correction”) – it is a countertrend relief rally within a bearmarket that promises to be severe, and it is believed to have run its course. This means that we are at a perfect or near perfect point to short the market for a downleg that could easily be worse than the 1st one, an ideal time to load up on Bear ETFs and Puts, which is what we did last week. Full Story

By: Gary Savage - 25 February, 2018

An analysis of the US Dollar and gold cycles suggests the upside potential for gold over the next month is rather limited, however a really great buying opportunity is revealed in the upcoming months. Full Story

By: Michael Ballanger - 25 February, 2018

Back in January, I discussed the likelihood that global equity markets were approaching simultaneous tipping points beyond which legions upon legions of GenX-ers and Millennials would be thrown to the wolves by failing to recognize the financial mania engulfing them. I alluded to it being "Time for the Beast to Exhale," and within a few days, my volatility trade (UVXY) exploded to the upside as the "beast," better known as the global stock market ascent, finally exhaled and fell 3,300 Dow Jones points in a week. Full Story




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