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Weekly Archive

By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence - 24 December, 2015

The stock-market outlook in 2016 is riddled with great uncertainty following the Fed ending its 7-year-old zero-interest-rate policy. With the first rate-hike cycle in nearly a decade just getting underway, traders are anxiously wondering how it will impact the stock markets. While raising rates out of ZIRP is radically unprecedented, stock-market reactions during past rate-hike cycles still offer some interesting insights. Full Story

By: Bill Holter - 24 December, 2015

Merry Christmas, Happy Hanukah, happy holidays whatever your faith or no faith may be! We have become a "politically correct" society where people get offended for the most ridiculous, or should I say "we are told" to be careful what we say or do because we might offend someone. A reader sent me the below regarding "political correctness". Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 24 December, 2015

Although the Dow feels like it could waft blithely all the way up to 20,000, the long-term charts put this week’s gaseous short-squeeze rally in perspective. It’s just a pisher, at least so far, and unless DaBoyz activate the afterburner as the final trading week of 2015 unfolds, the blue chip average is going to end the year stuck in the middle of a massive supply zone that has been accreting layers since November 2014. Alternatively, if the Masters of the Universe can squeeze the Indoos above the 18137 peak recorded back in July, that would leave bears on the ropes as 2016 begins, presumably eager to stampede themselves into a short-covering frenzy. Full Story

By: Gary Savage - 23 December, 2015

I explain how and why I think the gold bear market is artificial, and due to manipulation by a few big banks in the paper market. I discuss the market reaction that will confirm I’m correct. The analysts that for a couple of years have been trying to deny manipulation are ultimately going to look like idiots, and the Sinclairs of the world are going to have the last laugh, and will be proven correct in the end. Full Story

By: Avi Gilburt - 23 December, 2015

Since before we even topped in 2011, I had been warning that this correction could take us back down towards the $1,000 level, and can even drop as deeply as the $700 region before it is over. As it stands right now, I am having a hard time seeing any set up which will break the $1,000 level based upon the patterns as they are currently structured. However, there is a strong Fibonacci retracement target region between the $875-900 region should we break the $1,000 region, with the one below it in the $700 region. Full Story

By: Chris Powell, Secretary/Treasurer, GATA - 23 December, 2015

Though the bullion banks are almost certainly agents and intimate customers of central banks, the lawsuit makes no accusations against central banks, probably because gold market rigging by Western central banks is specifically authorized by law -- in the United States by the Gold Reserve Act of 1934, as amended -- and possibly because rigging of the gold market by central banks is an officially prohibited subject among Western financial news organizations and thus any mention of central banks in the lawsuit would have disqualified the suit from any publicity at all. Full Story

By: Steve St. Angelo, SRSrocco Report - 23 December, 2015

We know that all of China’s gold mine supply stays in the country, so does the majority of Russia’s. However, Australia and the United States exports the majority of their domestic mine supply. Which means, the East continues to trade worthless fiat money or U.S. Treasuries for gold while the West manufactures more paper derivatives and debt. Unfortunately, this is not a sustainable financial or economic business model for the West. While precious metal investors are frustrated by the low paper price of gold and silver, there is light at the end of the tunnel. Full Story

By: Rambus - 23 December, 2015

I was just going over some old charts and came across this one which is a ratio chart that compares the HUI to gold going all the way back to the bear market low that was made back in 2000. I use to show this chart quite a bit when the blue triangle on the right side of the chart broke down. This chart shows you a good example of how weak the HUI has been vs gold. The initial impulse move out of the 2000 bear market low shows the HUI really kicking gold’s butt until late 2003. The ratio then declined into the 2005 low which ended creating a double top hump. Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 23 December, 2015

Bears endured Mr. Market’s version of the Chinese water torture yesterday — a steady drip drip drip rally that never allowed them a respite. Through it all, including Monday’s cheesy little short-squeeze in the final hour, it’s hard not to notice that Santa, even with gale-force seasonality helping him, has been unable to achieve anything notable this December, let alone memorable. By failing to demonstrate any real strength in the last few weeks of 2015, is the stock market hinting that serious weakness will surface early in the new year? Full Story

By: Gary Tanashian - 22 December, 2015

While routinely following the precious metals as one of many sectors in NFTRH, we have mostly left it alone with respect to public writing over the last few years. That is because it is in a bear market and since I am not a slick short-term trader, I have felt it is best to mostly just let it play out to the bear’s will without overly active involvement. Full Story

By: Sol Palha - 22 December, 2015

Much the same way many experts felt that the NYSE was issuing a series of death signals, there are just as many who share the same sentiment towards the signals the Global BBC 30 Index is supposedly issuing. This index is thought to provide a more accurate reflection of what is going on in the markets as it is based on the economic data of 30 of the world’s largest companies. In today’s world where manipulation is the order of the day, over-reliance on such an index might not be the most prudent of actions. It has, however, confirmed that volatility levels have surged to the moon, but of course, we already knew this would occur as this was predicted well in advance by the Market volatility indicator (V-indicator). Full Story

By: Stewart Thomson - 22 December, 2015

The year of 2016, for a veritable myriad of reasons, looks very good for gold and related assets. First, while gold bullion recently traded below its summer low, about 75% of GDX component stocks are trading higher. That’s a classic technical bullish non-confirmation, it is significant. Barrick has reduced debt levels significantly, and is trading sideways during tax season. That carries bullish implications for the entire precious metals sector. Full Story

By: Roland Watson - 22 December, 2015

Based on 48 years of historical data, We believe this indicator is useful in determining silver and gold tops. However, the next major top in silver seems a long way off, but at the other business end of the chart, we see that the indicator is at a low which has only been seen twice before in 1972 and 1984. One of these triggered before the greatest silver bull market ever and the other triggered at the other side of it as silver was obliterated during the disinflation of the 1980s. Full Story

By: Keith Weiner - 22 December, 2015

On Wednesday Dec 16, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen announced that the Fed was raising the federal funds rate by 25 basis points. Let’s get one thing out of the way. This is not a move towards free markets. Whether the Fed sets interest lower, or whether it sets interest higher, we still have central planning. We still have price fixing of interest rates. Full Story

By: Frank Holmes - 22 December, 2015

What were you doing in June 2006? That’s when the Federal Reserve last raised interest rates, just a year after the last Star Wars flick hit theaters. The biggest movie at the time was Adam Sandler’s “Click,” the hottest song, Shakira’s “Hips Don’t Lie.” The best-performing SPX 500 Index stock for the month was C.H. Robinson Worldwide. And as for Janet Yellen, she was president of the Federal Reserve Bank—of San Francisco. Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 22 December, 2015

Bulls retained possession on Monday, extending Friday’s sharp rally with another. Subscribers reported getting aboard ahead of the move using the ‘mechanical’ bid I’d suggested on a pullback to 1068.25. I subsequently advised exiting half of the position at 1073.25 via an update to the tout; then, cashing out a third contract at 1078.90, the ‘secondary’ pivot shown in the chart. This has left us with a tracking position of one contract and an effective cost basis of 1047.60. Bulls were no worse than an even-odds bet to hit 1089.60 by Wednesday, but night owls may need to craft their own bid to get aboard if they aren’t already, since there was no ‘mechanical’ set-up to use for this purpose when we went to press. Full Story

By: Koos Jansen - 21 December, 2015

While withdrawals from the vaults of the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) continue at an unprecedented pace – 46 tonnes in week 48, year to date 2,541 tonnes – our job here at BullionStar is to track where this gold is coming from. The short answer would be it’s mainly supplied by gold imports. But, more important is the question how much is imported and from what country or warehouse? Partially, the gold is being sourced from Australia. Full Story

By: Sol Palha - 21 December, 2015

More Americans drink coffee than invest in the markets and yet many of these individuals are stunned that the market is going higher when good jobs are not as easy to find, rents and cost of everyday necessities keep rising. 61% of Americans drink coffee on a daily basis compared to the only 48% that invest in the markets. These stunning facts were published in a recent article; the article states that if the $1200 that the average American spends on coffee were invested in the market in 2009, it would have grown to $3600. Full Story

By: Captain Hook - 21 December, 2015

So it looks like administered interest rates in the States are going higher – hell or high water. That’s the conclusion ‘informed commentators’ have come to, and they are probably right, but not for the reasons most site. Mainstream media would have you believe it’s the strong economy, but we all know that’s baloney. Others would have you believe it’s the Fed attempting to bring normalcy back into the market, along with attempting to restore credibility. But that’s not it either, because the Fed is scared stiff of pricking its precious bubbles. No, assuming the stock market hangs in until next week, if the Fed tightens it won’t be because it wants to, it will be because it has to. Full Story

By: Gary Christenson - 21 December, 2015

Crude oil and silver prices are historically low compared to national debt, the DOW, the SPX (not shown) and most paper investments. Eventually people will realize that “paper” investments can return to their intrinsic value – much lower. Or relatively speaking, silver and crude oil will be priced much higher in devaluing currencies. Full Story

By: Graham Summers - 21 December, 2015

Earlier this year, we posited that the markets were reaching the point at which a significant percentage of investors no longer had faith in Central Banks’ abilities to put off the business cycle. This now appears to be the case. In the last month, three Central Banks have announced policy changes. All three of these changes were alleged to be bullish in nature. Full Story

By: Craig Hemke - 21 December, 2015

"Gradual rally into year end", along with "sell the rumor, buy the news" regarding the Fed rate hike, has been our mantra since we saw that November price smash coming back in October. So far, its sure seems like it's all coming along as planned. Metals prices are UP again today and gold is now HIGHER than it was when the FOMC rate decision was announced back on Wednesday. Uh-oh. This has to be making some of the big Spec shorts more than a little nervous. Full Story

By: David Haggith - 21 December, 2015

When I predicted the economic apocalypse would begin for the US this month, I said the stock market would rise euphorically after the Fed raised its interest target. Rise it did. Steeply, too. I also said it would fall shortly after. Fall it did. Quickly, too. Now I’m saying the Epocalypse is here. Just as I stated that “the rate at which the market goes up now is a measurement of pure euphoria,” by the same token, how quickly that euphoria falls off indicates just how far down the downside is. If you have ever floated in the ocean and felt yourself unexpectedly drop way down with the water, you know that means a huge wave is coming up right behind you. Full Story

By: Ron Paul - 21 December, 2015

Stocks rose Wednesday following the Federal Reserve’s announcement of the first interest rate increase since 2006. However, stocks fell just two days later. One reason the positive reaction to the Fed’s announcement did not last long is that the Fed seems to lack confidence in the economy and is unsure what policies it should adopt in the future. Full Story

By: Frank Holmes - 21 December, 2015

Palladium followed by platinum was the best performing precious metals this week, up 2.87 percent and 2.23 percent, respectively. The platinum group metals responded positively to news that automobile demand continues to be strong globally, boosting platinum and palladium prices. The European Automobile Manufacturers Association reported over 1 million more car listings in November. The number of vehicle sales in China rose nearly 20 percent. Full Story

By: Keith Weiner - 21 December, 2015

Unlike in gold, the price of silver spiked. We don’t know what motivated the buying frenzy on Friday morning for the second time this week. But we can tell you it began with buyers of metals but was extended by speculators. The fundamental price of silver fell this week, by 8 cents. It’s still over the market, but not by a whole lot. Full Story

By: Jeff Berwick - 21 December, 2015

Jeff is interviewed by Dave of the X22 Report, topics include: the geopolitical situation in the middle east, a new Pearl Harbor, USA started ISIS, proxy wars, the petrodollar system, global domination toward a one world government, the wholesale removal of individual rights and freedoms, the US is now more communist than Russia and China, the role of central banking, the world is moving away from the US dollar, hyperinflation vs gold and silver, sharp rise in capital and travel controls, the Shemitah unfolding pretty much as predicted, ever increasing debt and money printing, the US is highly vulnerable to interest rate rises, US the most bankrupt and indebted country in history! Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 21 December, 2015

Violent short squeezes are the only mechanism DaBoyz have left to sustain the illusion of a bull market before the clock runs out on their crooked game in 2015. A New Year’s mood change is surely coming on Wall Street, since investors will have to face the blunt reality that this is no time for the Fed to tighten. China’s bubble is imploding, and an out-of-control dollar is about to kill U.S. exports and the earnings U.S. multinationals. As you can see in the chart, DaBoyz’ best efforts to keep the game going have accomplished little more than creating a very un-bullish series of lower highs and lower lows. Seasonality should have made it easy for portfolio managers to push the broad averages to new record-highs in December; however, even with holiday tailwinds at gale force, they’ve failed at it. Full Story

By: - 20 December, 2015

Chris welcomes back Dr. Laurence Kotlikoff, author of the Inform Act signed by 17 Nobel Laureates (click to sign).
His latest NY Times Bestseller, Get What's Yours: The Secrets to Maxing Out Your Social Security, outlines must know tips on how the Social Security law has changed.
Approximately 4,000 paper / fiat currencies (99.9%) have failed in human history - the Greenback / Euro / Yen will follow suit.
The average length of a fiat currency is forty years; a crisis imminent.
David Morgan proposes a bi-metallic standard, where a simple mathematical algorithm would adjust the price of real money. Full Story

By: Clive Maund - 20 December, 2015

Gold’s technical picture is actually little changed from the last update posted on the 6th, apart from its having made marginal new lows late last week. What has changed is that we have since seen the Fed raise interest rates for the first time in many years, and the Junk Bond market has started to seriously fall apart. Full Story

By: Dan Norcini - 20 December, 2015

I am becoming increasingly concerned over the flattening yield curve. This curve enables us to get a first hand view of sentiment towards economic growth among bond investors and other large players in the interest rate markets, some of whom are among the most sophisticated observers of the financial scene anywhere. Full Story

By: Bill Holter - 20 December, 2015

Normally it's not a good idea to write about the same subject twice in a row because not much can be added and reader boredom sets in. What happened last Wednesday deserves another look because I believe it marked a huge pivot point and very few are even talking about it. Last Wednesday the Fed raised rates one quarter of a point but that was not the big story. The big story was the about face the U.S. did geopolitically! Full Story

By: Koos Jansen - 20 December, 2015

This post will guide you through all relevant articles that have been published on BullionStar Blogs over the years that elucidate the mechanics of the Chinese (domestic) gold market and genuine Chinese gold demand. If you are new to the Chinese gold market or like to refresh your memory, this post provides a staring point from where to navigate through all segments of the Chinese gold market you like to study. Full Story

By: Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT - 20 December, 2015

The Fed rate hike has come and gone while the precious metals sector has continued to whipsaw traders day after day. The initial reaction was very positive. However, that completely reversed course on Thursday with Gold threatening to move to a new low and gold miners threatening to test recent support. Friday’s strength continued the whipsaw pattern. In any event, the evidence continues to argue in favor of a rebound for the miners into Q1 2016. Full Story

By: Steve St. Angelo, SRSrocco Report - 20 December, 2015

After looking over all the figures, it seems as if something broke in the U.S. Silver Market this year. By that, I mean the normal supply and demand forces no longer make sense. I believe this stemmed from the massive amount of physical silver investment demand beginning in June as financial and geopolitical events pushed the retail silver market into severe shortages. Full Story

By: Warren Bevan - 20 December, 2015

Markets were choppy waiting for the expected Fed rate rise Wednesday which came and went and now we’re choppy again but looking as if we may move lower. Rising rate are generally strong for stocks so we’ve just got to see what comes. Volume will be lower now for the next two weeks so it may be best to continue to sit in cash and wait for traders to return into the new year. Full Story

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