Yes, there's a certain amount of absurdity to all of this, and that's the point! Guggenheim Partners is just one tiny cog in the global asset management machine. However, if they took even a small portion of their assets under management and applied it to the precious metals, they could almost corner the entire freaking sector! So what happens when Goldman, Blackrock, BoA, Vanguard, Fidelity, State Street, Allianz, Northern Trust—all with TRILLIONS under management—begin to shift some client cash into the precious metals in all their various forms? Do you think that gold will remain below $1600/ounce and the GDX under $30? Not a chance. The world is awash in cash, and the precious metals sector is too small to absorb even a tiny fraction.
So, in summary, understand that the macroeconomic conditions that drove the precious metals to their best gains in a decade last year will continue in 2020. Once the global investment community begins to understand this too, things will move pretty quickly. Thus, don't delay. Take action today. Full Story
By: Keith Weiner, PhD, Monetary Metals - 5 February, 2020
We circled the date of our Outlook 2018 (we skipped last year). At that time, we called for the price to hit $1,450 by the end of the year. We were right about the fundamentals, and the price did eventually meet and exceed our call. Though about six months late.
Of course, the market price can diverge from the fundamental price, sometimes by a sizeable percentage and sometimes for a long period of time. And it tends to converge again sooner or later. As of year’s end 2019, the market and the fundamental prices were less than ten bucks apart. How far can they deviate? In the last decade, the peak discount has been over 25%.
Predicting the price farther out is much harder. The fundamental shows the relative pressures in the spot and futures markets, but only shows a snapshot. It does not predict how those pressures might change. For that, one looks at the dollar of course, credit, interest rates, other currencies, the economy, and even wild cards like bitcoin. Full Story
Surely Japan looted Asia during its operation of what it called the Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere, which briefly replaced Western colonialism with Japanese colonialism. And surely there is more monetary gold in the world than officially reported.
For starters, the true location and disposition of government gold reserves long have been secrets more sensitive than the location and disposition of nuclear weapons. Official gold reserve data is commonly falsified under International Monetary Fund policy.. Full Story
Let me turn to the January 31 historic passage of the new proposed position limit regime as voted on by the CFTC. As I believe most regular readers are aware, the issue of position limits has been a singular concern of mine for decades, one to which I have devoted more attention and effort than I can describe. How could it not be, since the establishment and enforcement of legitimate speculative position limits is the one sure preventive measure against undue concentration and manipulation in silver? In terms of the issue of legitimate position limits, suffice it to say that not only have I been there and done that, I got every postcard and tee shirt possible. Full Story
The “narrative” architects and fairytale spinners are desperately looking for evidence to fit their “consumer is still healthy / economy still fine” propaganda. The hype over strong holiday sales was premature if not fraudulent, as data-manipulators appear to have taken the growth in online holiday sales and projected it across the entire retail sales spectrum. I guess they overlooked the fact that online sales took market share from brick/mortar stores. Full Story
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