By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence - 23 June, 2017
Gold has spent most of June grinding lower on balance, damaging sentiment and vexing traders. Usual selling leading into the Fed’s latest rate hike contributed, but the summer doldrums are also in play. Gold has typically suffered a seasonal lull this time of year, on waning investment demand as vacations divert attention from markets. But these summer doldrums offer the best seasonal buying opportunities of the year. Full Story
It is my great privilege to be joined now by James Rickards. Mr. Rickards is editor of Strategic Intelligence, a monthly newsletter, and Director of the James Rickards Project, an inquiry into the complex dynamics of geopolitics and global capital. He's also the author of several bestselling books including The Death of Money, Currency Wars, The New Case for Gold, and now his latest book The Road to Ruin. Full Story
If the economic recovery were real, then the Baltic Dry index would not be trading over 90% below its highs, and copper would not be trading at a price that is slightly above its multi-year lows. Additionally, the real unemployment would be low and not north of 20%. The manufactured data the BLS issues purposely omits a large section of the population and paints a false picture of opulence. Individuals usually stop looking for a job because they have been rejected so many times that they have come to believe they are worthless. There are stories of people submitting 100’s upon 100’s of resumes and not receiving even one response. Full Story
Every time we pick up some article on the stock market of late, all we read is the stock market is on the verge of a devastating wipeout, or that the next collapse is just around the corner. One of the best headlines we saw recently was from a famed market guru with a headline of “2017 Is Going to Be Worse than the Great Depression!” It is enough to make you run home, pour a long hot bath, slit your wrists, and climb in to the tub. Full Story
We argued many times that the yellow metal behaves as a currency rather than as a commodity. Hence, macroeconomic factors and currency exchange rates affect the price of gold. In previous editions of the Market Overview, we analyzed the impact of the U.S. dollar and its exchange rate with the Euro and the Yen on the gold market. We pointed out that gold is negatively correlated with the greenback, so it moves in tandem with the Japanese or European common currency, as they are the major rivals of the U.S. dollar. Full Story
Bob Hoye of Institutional Advisors rejoins the show with a fresh perspective on the financial markets / cryptocurrencies. His proprietary indicators suggest US shares are reaching bubble territory as speculative euphoria is approaching year 2000 dot.bomb levels. The host / guest discuss Bob's excellent technical chart. Full Story
Bubbles always pop, whether they exist in stocks, gold, confidence in the media, belief in central bank omnipotence, real estate, or debt. Yes, it could happen anywhere, and based on history, is likely. This time is not different, unless it will be worse… Full Story
In line with our bullish forward view on USD, behold the very bearish state of the Commercial Hedger positions in the Euro (courtesy of Sentimentrader). Recent historical data speaks for itself. It appears a decline in the Euro is imminent (which, in market terms means ‘relax, it could be a while yet’ ). Full Story
An asymmetric trade is a situation where investing a relatively small amount of money holds the potential of yielding a profit many times the amount of the original sum at risk. In other words, where the risk to reward is skewed massively in the direction of reward. This took place recently with Bitcoin (BTC). Is this conceptually different from bets made years ago on Microsoft, Cisco, Amazon, or Facebook, which yielded hundreds of percent profit to intrepid investors? Full Story
Overall, four very famous investors, and four names that should at least be vaguely familiar to almost anyone who has a passing interest in financial markets and investing. For each of the 4 billionaires, the Sprott infographic provides a few quotes about their views on gold and then moves on to record their recent ‘Moves’ into ‘gold’, or in some cases their recent readjustments of existing ‘gold’ exposures. Full Story
By: Steve Saville, The Speculative Investor - 23 June, 2017
To paraphrase Jim Grant, gold’s perceived value in US$ terms is the reciprocal of confidence in the Fed and/or the US economy. Consequently, what I refer to as gold’s true fundamentals are measures of confidence in the Fed and/or the US economy. I’ve been covering these fundamental drivers of the gold price in TSI commentaries for almost 17 years. It doesn’t seem that long, but time flies when you’re having fun. Full Story
My suggestion is still that McDonald privately order JPMorgan and a few other big silver shorts not to add new shorts ever again. This will break the perfect trading record and end the manipulation immediately. Will the agency and McDonald find the courage to do so? Time will tell, but the clock is ticking. Although he’s only been in office for a bit over two months, there have already been two incredibly blatant price takedowns in silver (as I just described above) on McDonald’s watch. The way to end a rigged game is to go after the riggers, not to pretend the game isn’t rigged. Full Story
Today's article is one of my scariest yet; as, after watching events unfold in the world's most notorious geopolitical hotspot in recent weeks, it's difficult to come up, using my best Spock-like logic, with an alternative conclusion to the potentially catastrophic one I'll discuss today. Which, if it occurs, may catalyze not only the financial "big one" we all know is coming, but an era of political, geopolitical, economic, and monetary destabilization unlike; and potentially, unparalleled in its destructive value; anything yet witnessed. Full Story
In general, we prefer the term correction (mild, strong or back breaking) because a crash is meant to indicate the end of something, but almost every crash has proven to be the beginning of a new bull run. The best time to buy a stock is when the crowd is scared to death. This bull market will experience one very strong correction, but it will not mark the end of the bull, but the last leg of a very spectacular run. This spectacular run will end, and then we will experience meltdown that will eventually create another once in a “lifetime buying moment”. Full Story
Millienials look for instant gratification Spend half of their income on leisure Instant gratification doesn’t work if need to save for the future Savings rates falling, few have retirement funds Important to understand marginal difference between spending and pleasure Future wealth depends on what you decide to keep and invest in now Full Story
Commodity prices have lately underperformed equities mostly on subdued oil demand growth, with the S&P GSCI commodity index falling about 4 percent over the last month. If we separate the index components, however, we see that precious metals have posted positive gains year-to-date along with industrial metals. Full Story
IHS Markit index shows UK households pessimistic about finances for 2017-208 UK household finances remain under intense pressure from rising living costs 58 percent of respondents expected higher interest rates in 12 months time Inflation in the United Kingdom currently at near four-year high Prices up prices by 2.9pc year-on-year, biggest annual increase since June 2013 In May consumer spending in the UK fell for the first time in almost four years Full Story
The best performing precious metal for the week was gold, off just 1.02 percent despite a Fed rate hike. The Fed may not be in a position to continue with multiple rate hikes. Mike McGlone, BI Commodity Strategist, points out the current situation that both crude oil futures and Treasury bond yields are falling. Since 1983, the Fed has never sustained a rate hike cycle while both crude and Treasuries are falling. Full Story
The target for TLT continues to be around 129. Treasury bonds are in bull trends (remember back a few months ago to all the bond hatred in the media). How does an eventual decline in bonds square with what we just noted above regarding Q4 2008? [work done in the preceding Precious Metals segment] Treasury bonds were a wonderfully bullish asset during Armageddon ’08 and who’s to say that an upside blow off may not be coming sooner rather than later amid massively over bullish sentiment? Full Story
While investors pile into Tech Stocks based on endless promotion from the financial media, the US economy is rolling over. Last week the NY Fed downgraded its economic forecast for 2Q17 to just 1.9%. Even worse, it is now forecasting 2017 total growth to be a measly 1.5%. Yes, 1.5%. There is a clear trend to this chart… and it’s NOT up. Full Story
- Bill Murphy of GATA.org returns with insights into this week's FOMC rate hike decision. - Fed policymakers raised the overnight lending rate by a quarter point from 1% to 1.25%. - Billionaire VC, Tim Draper is calling for $10,000 Bitcoin in 2018. Just as the PTB have lost control of the cryptocurrency tulip mania-like market. - Dr. Stephen Leeb presents a compelling case for China as the center of the global economy. Full Story
By: Steve St. Angelo, SRSrocco Report - 18 June, 2017
The U.S. PetroDollar system is in serious trouble as the Middle East’s largest oil producer continues to suffer as the low oil price devastates its financial bottom line. Saudi Arabia, the key player in the PetroDollar system, continues to liquidate its foreign exchange reserves as the current price of oil is not covering the cost to produce oil as well as finance its national budget. Full Story
Finally, it is important because you might just stop to think that, if someone predicted the catastrophe that is unfolding right now a year before the first actual signs of failure began, then you might want to pay attention to rest of what he was predicting. And I beat that drum again and again because so few people are listening, and it is far past time that they did. It is time for this nation to wake up to its own economic stupidity.
Carmageddon was a completely foreseeable and, so, completely avoidable pile-up! Full Story
The Next Minsky Moment Natural Instability Learning the Rules Chinese Minsky The Swiss Central Bank Is Doing What? Getting Married on St. Thomas, Omaha, San Francisco, and Freedom Fest in Las Vegas Full Story
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