By: Bill Bonner, The Daily Reckoning Crew - 20 March, 2009
Wham! For a while, investors didn’t seem to know what had hit them. They were dazed…dumbfounded…awe-struck… The Bernanke Fed announced a “stunning” plan to save the world from depression on Wednesday. The numbers were hard to follow, but they were big: Full Story
By: Peter Schiff, Euro Pacific Capital, Inc. - 20 March, 2009
There is an old adage on Wall Street that no one rings a bell at major market tops or bottoms. That may be true in normal times, but as many have noticed, we are now completely through the looking glass. In this parallel reality, Ben Bernanke has just rung the loudest bell ever heard in the foreign exchange and government debt markets. Investors who ignore the clanging do so at their own peril. The bell's reverberations will be felt by everyday Americans, whose lives are about to change in ways few can imagine. Full Story
By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC - 20 March, 2009
After gold’s breathtaking $38 surge in 15 minutes Wednesday, there is much renewed interest in the Ancient Metal of Kings. The Federal Reserve, which is clearly being run by lunatics, publicly announced it is going to create over a trillion dollars out of thin air to monetize US debt. This degree of pure monetary inflation is utterly unprecedented. Full Story
By: Daniel Aaronson and Lee Markowitz - 20 March, 2009
Last week, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao stirred markets when he said that he was worried about China’s holdings of Treasuries and wanted assurances that the investments are safe. President Obama responded by saying investors can have “absolute confidence” in Treasury bills and that “not just the Chinese government, but every investor can have absolute confidence in the soundness of investments in the U.S.” Full Story
Leading Members of The Financial and Economic Establishment were viciously attacking insurance giant AIG (primary purveyor of Credit Default Swaps) earlier this week for granting Millions in employee bonuses while taking nearly two hundred billion dollars in U.S. Taxpayer funded Bailout Money. Their attacks were echoed by Kept Politicians and Media Talking Heads. Full Story
The cat is out of the bag. The Federal Reserve is waging an all-out inflationary war on the economic contraction. Two days ago, Mr. Bernanke announced that the Federal Reserve would buy US$300 billion worth of US Treasuries and another US$700 billion worth of government-agency mortgage debt. In order to finance these purchases, the Federal Reserve would simply create this money out of thin air. Full Story
SO BEN BERNANKE SAYS the United States has plunged into a deflationary depression. Really, that's what Wednesday's Fed announcement said, shouting it loud and shouting it proud. Because Bernanke's deflation-prevention policies have failed. So he's gone to applying the cure instead. Full Story
The process of ending the fiat currency system, not just in the U.S. but worldwide, has officially begun with the past two weeks’ announcements by Switzerland, England, and the U.S. that they intend to pursue policies of outright “quantitative easing”, in other words hyperinflationary money printing as a means of retiring debt and pursuing the dangling carrot of prosperity. Full Story
By: David Morgan, Silver Investor - 20 March, 2009
While recently attending the Orlando Money Show and as one of the few who were advocating real money, if you know what I mean, the topic of the silver and gold shortage was discussed, as you’ll see in the attached video link. Before viewing it, keep in mind a few points: Full Story
Almost everyone in the seats of wealth and power wants to maintain the status quo, especially when it comes to their own wealth and power. In the end, aren’t most of us selfish beings? Some are so entwined in what used to be that they refuse to see what is taking place in relatively slow motion in front of their eyes. Full Story
Although economists are cheering this latest development, the Austrians know better. There is no way the economy can absorb this amount of new money without severe malinvestments and dislocation of the economic fundamentals, and that simply sets the stage for later and more virulent crises. Full Story
As with all government interventions, we should expect the unintended consequences to be just as big, if not bigger, than the initial action. In a way, economics works just like physics. So now is the time to get prepared for the “equal and opposite reaction” from the Fed’s latest move. Full Story
This Goldsmiths will look at the work of the financial market manipulators to crash the global economy in order to achieve various aims as discussed in previous Goldsmiths. One of the things that is happening is that international trade/commerce is grossly down; which in turn is creating problems in many nations around the world. In some quarters, there are cries for protectionism to try to save the economies in certain countries. Full Story
By: Richard Daughty, The MOGAMBO GURU - 20 March, 2009
In case Mr. Wen Jaibao wants to know how much of a rise in price inflation that will follow such a rise in the money supply, I will tell him, “I have no idea, but (in keeping with mixing up Eastern philosophies with religions), I have a riddle for you, Wen, baby: ‘What is the sound of one hand clapping when the hand is burned to a cinder with two red-hot pokers instead of just one red-hot poker?’“ Full Story
By: Rick Ackerman and Chuck Cohen - 20 March, 2009
Today we feature the work of our good friend Chuck Cohen, who combines technical savvy and horse sense better than nearly anyone else we know. He thinks Citigroup's meteoric rise in recent days bears eerie similaritites to the stock's spectacular bear rally last October, when it rose from 12.85 to 23.50 in just two weeks. Then, as now, he recalls, the hubris was deafening Here's Chuck: Full Story
By: Julian D. W. Phillips, Gold/Silver Forecaster - Global Watch - 19 March, 2009
It is clear now that central banks are buying gold for their reserves. Here is a brief history leading to today and the present position of central banks as they turn to buying gold. Full Story
By: Gary Dorsch, Editor, Global Money Trends - 19 March, 2009
Desperate times call for desperate measures. As the global “credit crunch” has grown increasingly severe, central bankers are examining the Great Depression of the 1930’s for possible parallels that are relevant to today’s situation. Most worrisome, is the synchronized meltdown of the global stock markets, which had wiped-out $32-trillion of wealth, on top of another $10-trillion in losses in real estate. Full Story
The $20 trillion of wealth in America that has gone up in smoke from falling stock prices, real estate, and other asset values, is being engulfed by rapid job loss. These combined losses have dealt a catastrophic blow to the consumer whose willingness and ability to spend has, in turn, caused the American and world economy to come to a screeching halt. Full Story
By: Bill Bonner, The Daily Reckoning - 19 March, 2009
It’s the waterslide into Hell! Whee! What a day. Under cover of the AIG scandal, the Fed did something foolhardy yesterday. “Fed plan stuns investors,” says the headline in the Financial Times this morning. It should stun us all. But we’re getting used to expensive bamboozles. Full Story
You may have heard the old saying that "the Market is the news", and it is true. You don't have to look for explanations regarding yesterday's response by the markets to the Fed's announcement that it will buy $300 billion of Treasuries, you only have to look at the reaction of the markets. The dollar index tanked by nearly 3% - it's biggest drop for over 2 decades. That alone tells you all that you need to know. Full Story
So its happened at last. All pretense of sanity has been summarily discarded in favor of the perpetual feedback loop. The Fed is now purchasing its own currency, kiting checks to itself in a flagrant display of Orwellian-esque doublespeak. The fact that bond traders and mainstream financial commentators hail the development demonstrates the depth of ignorance and/or beguilement prevalent in the collective economic imagination. Full Story
The sheer number of fronts upon which the dollar is now suffering devaluation makes it even harder to pinpoint the exact rate of devaluation underway. The Fed’s balance sheet has essentially been expanded by over 200% in the last 12 months, and yesterday’s development will add an exponential multiplier that only yet-to-be-developed formulae will be capable of expressing in fathomable terms. Full Story
By: Olivier Garret, CEO, Casey Research - 19 March, 2009
That the markets reacted so strongly shows fears over inflation and devaluation of the dollar. Many investors are clearly starting to question the ability of the Treasury to raise the $2.5 to $3 trillion it needs to finance this year’s deficit and the various bailouts. In fact, even the euro managed to show some strong – albeit probably temporary – gains against the dollar on this news. Full Story
With global financial damage to stock and property markets approaching a combined total of some $50 trillion, nothing the IMF can do stands much of a chance of halting the slide. Even a $750 billion boost to the fund’s resources is incapable of making a sufficiently significant impact to reverse the course of events any time soon. Once the rally peters out, GOLD will take off. Full Story
What a crazy day! The Fed’s announced plans to buy long-term Treasury bonds and increase its purchases of mortgage backed securities today sending everything higher except the US dollar which plummeted nearly 3% Wednesday. Full Story
Gold had a huge reversal day today (Wed. March 18). During the early trading hours gold was down well over $20 an ounce; it then reversed and closed up over $20 an ounce. Gold’s intraday trading range was more than 7%. As the chart below shows, today’s price action completely engulfed several days of previous price action. Full Story
The surprise move to quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve yesterday caught the market unaware. The $300 billion bond purchase sent gold prices jumping $50 an ounce and must have given a few gold bears a nasty awakening. Full Story
Dogs and cats are mortal enemies in the animal world. In the insect world, ants and termites are mortal enemies. In the financial world, gold and USTreasury Bonds are mortal enemies. They compete for the revered role of safe haven for funds. In today’s day and age, with numerous storms, some unprecedented, safe haven is especially valuable. Full Story
Quantitative easing; everybody is doing it like the Bank of England, Japan and even Switzerland. Quantitative easing is a tool of monetary policy. The effect is an increase in the quantity of currency without regard to maintaining its quality. Quantitative is relating to, measuring, or measured by the quantity of something rather than its quality. Full Story
The real grassroots Tea Party movement stands in marked contrast to Democrat attempts to manufacture a movement for Obama's $3.55 trillion budget. Full Story
By: Bob Chapman, The International Forecaster - 19 March, 2009
The new mantra for central banks is ‘zero-interest rates’ and an increase of 2% of GDP in money and credit. After this game has spent itself the only room left to maneuver in will be more inflationary increases in money and credit and monetization. Parallel to these actions are exploding budget deficits worldwide. Full Story
By: John Browne, Senior Market Strategist, Euro Pacific Capital - 19 March, 2009
Last weekend, Ben Bernanke took an unprecedented gamble for a sitting Fed Chairman: he granted a long-form interview to 60 Minutes, America's most watched news program. There can be no doubt that the interview came about as the result of a coordinated strategy between the Obama Administration and the Federal Reserve. But was the decision to offer the public a rare look at the inner workings of the central bank an act of resolution or desperation? Full Story
Reflation refers to policy makers’ attempts to “reflate” the economy, to prop up what many would consider a broken system. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Ben Bernanke made it very clear in his March 15 interview on 60 Minutes that he will attempt to stem the tide of market forces: Full Story
FOR A WORLD-LEADING CLEARER turning over $60 billion per day, London's wholesale gold market sure spooks easy sometimes. "I've just heard central banks have been selling. You hear anything?" asked one breathless contact of BullionVault on Wednesday...just before the Federal Reserve's $1.25 trillion shot in the arm gamed the gold price so hard, so fast, the perma-bulls at GATA should demand a Congressional hearing into Ben Bernanke's long Comex position. Full Story
One of the world’s richest men in the 19th century was Cecil John Rhodes, who was born in Stratford, Hertfordshire, England in 1853. As a teenager, his family sent him to South Africa believing that the climate there would be good for his health. In South Africa, he made his enormous wealth in the gold and diamond fields. The nation of Rhodesia (now Zimbabwe) was named after him. Full Story
By: Richard Daughty, The Mogambo Guru - 19 March, 2009
We have, I assume, entered into some kind of parallel universe, mental illness, bizarro-world Economic Stimulus Package From Hell (ESPFH) that makes me howl in paralyzing fear, shouting “This can’t be happening! We’re freaking doomed!” Full Story
Gold bulls got sweet revenge yesterday when the Fed surprised everyone by announcing a shock-and-awe program to jolt the housing market back to life. Gold shot up $70, or about 8 percent, on the news after starting the day in a near free-fall. Full Story
By: Bill Bonner, The Daily Reckoning - 18 March, 2009
Don’t forget, this is not a new bull market. It is a bear trap…a rebound in an on-going bear market. After this phase of anger passes…people will probably feel that the worst is behind us. They’ll squint and see a “light at the end of the tunnel.” Later on, they’ll realize that the light is an on-coming freight train! Full Story
In Part 1 of this series on Puncturing Deflation Myths, we reviewed three logical fallacies, and showed why the US Great Depression didn’t prove the case for monetary deflation, but rather provided historical proof of how a sufficiently determined government could break monetary deflation at will, even in the midst of depression. In this Part II we will uncover three more logical fallacies as we... Full Story
The world is in the grip of an unprecedented crisis. Unlimited credit has now turned into its deadly nemesis, unlimited defaulting debt; and whereas only some of us were its beneficiaries, all of us will be its victims—all of us, except the very few. Full Story
It’s hard to be positive about the stock market when all around us gloom prevails. Visiting a local Barnes & Noble recently made me conscious of just how gloomy everyone is feeling these days. While there I made a list of some of the titles in the financial section. Finding a book these days with a bullish theme – or even a non-emotional, level-headed theme –is like trying to find a needle in a haystack. Full Story
Out of all 3 pending bubbles the one that is most likely to pop now is the bubble in the Bond markets. Investor’s flung massive amounts of money into bonds last year when they panicked, dumped all their holdings and fled for the hills. Make sure you have little to no exposure to this market. Full Story
Obama came to power with the idea of repeating the storybook-view of FDR's presidency and how he saved us from the Great Depression. Had he and his friends read the history more carefully, he would have seen how FDR did nothing of the sort. His policies waged war on recovery, perpetuating the problem he said he was solving. Full Story
Early on March 17th Max Hulbert reported that his Gold Newsletter Sentiment Index (which tracks leading gold advisories), had dipped into negative territory. Three weeks earlier this same index had shown gold analysts to be in a bullish mode by 61%, and now some 15 trading days later, these same analysts are 16.5 bearish, and advising their clients to be short gold for the time being. Full Story
-Two major problems: Banking Crises and Big Recession in Progress -The U.S. Government has three major programs going that are all inflationary. Bank Bailouts, Stimulus Package, Bloated Budget Package. -All three programs are mostly inefficient, wasteful, and will require massive amounts of new money and credit injected into the economy. New estimates are now $4-5 trillion. Full Story
The government PR programs are working. The rule changes (nothing more than Band-Aids on a fatal wound) are working. And the markets are lapping it all up. It’s tough to imagine it lasting much longer. Don’t worry though. There is still time to get prepared. Full Story
By: Richard Daughty, The Mogambo Guru - 18 March, 2009
I was captivated by the Wall Street Journal headline “Bearish Big Investors Catch Gold Bug” by Gregory Zuckerman, because I don’t ever expect to see anything favorable about gold in the WSJ since it is concerned primarily with providing information and news about stocks and bonds so that you will be motivated to constantly buy and sell stocks and bonds. Full Story
Since stocks started rallying a week ago, gold and silver futures have held up magnificently against a tide of silliness that has swelled on faintly improving perceptions of the economy. We should view the price of gold, above all, as a reality check on the global Carnivale, such as it is, but there will always be times when bullion's cold, stern eye will be temporarily distracted by the irresistible hubris of a bear rally. Such as now. Full Story
By: The Gold Report and Roger Wiegand - 17 March, 2009
Last October, while the shock waves of the largest bankruptcy filing in U.S. history still reverberated around the world, Trader Tracks Editor Roger Wiegand shared some thoughts with The Gold Report. In what has turned out to be an eerie understatement, he told us, “The American public herd is moving beyond being just nervous. Now they are getting scared. There is real fear in the air with inflation, massive job cuts and a drumbeat of bad news.” Full Story
I’ve heard more than a few pundits question an investment in gold or gold stocks in the current environment. They point to deflation and the lack of inflation in the foreseeable future as reasons why precious metals should be avoided. Sounds intelligent on the surface but it reveals to this analyst, a lack of any thought and analysis. Full Story
The historic low rates in the 2000 – 2005 time period as well as the rates we have today are the direct result of activity at the Federal Reserve’s proxy bank - J.P. Morgan Chase, and their 59 Trillion [at Q3/08] notional interest rate derivatives book: Full Story
By: Bill Bonner, The Daily Reckoning - 17 March, 2009
Pity the rich. Pity the CEOs. Pity the capitalists. Poor Warren. He’s down to his last $25 billion. And Bill Gates can barely hold his head up; his pile has shrunk to barely $18 billion. And do a Google search of “AIG outrage” and you will get 621,000 hits. Alas, being rich isn’t as easy or as much fun as it used to be. Full Story
By: The editors of BIG GOLD, Casey Research - 17 March, 2009
In a recent article we considered the pros and cons of putting gold bullion into a self-directed IRA and detailed how to do it. But the arrangements we covered were entirely domestic. What about having your IRA hold gold offshore? It can be done, but before you go to the trouble, ask why. Your IRA would still be subject to U.S. law, and your IRA custodian would still be in the U.S., regardless of where the assets are. Full Story
Should the U.S. trade deficit continue to shrink, the amount of U.S. debt to be bought by foreign central banks will fall. Unless the U.S. trade deficit rises, the amount of U.S. debt that can be bought by foreign institutions will be capped. In short, the supply of money for the U.S. government from gullible foreign official institutions is being capped at a new, lower level. Full Story
By: Steven Saville, Speculative Investor - 17 March, 2009
One of the arguments regularly made to support the claim that deflation is underway goes like this: "While the supply of money is expanding rapidly, the amount of additional money created is miniscule compared to the reduction in the market value of assets." In our opinion, this is not a valid argument. Full Story
What a shame it is that the public sits back and allows the very crooks who caused the problems continue on with lies and deception about how they are going to solve the problems they created. Will we ever learn anything from history or will we continue to believe the pap and crap fed to us by the controlled media in a dog and pony show? Full Story
By: Jason Hommel, Silver Stock Report - 17 March, 2009
There are basically two ways for a government to issue silver as currency. One relies on force, or government decree, and is easier and more profitable for the government. The other way is the honest free market way. Full Story
Robin Hood. President Obama. Are they the same persona? Based on TV and Obama’s news conferences both he and the media seem to think so. “Rob from the rich; give to the poor.” Of course, he uses the words “you should give more, because you have more”. But the reality of Obama’s accomplishments remain the same. Full Story
In summary, we are being forewarned yet again about yet another economic and financial crisis coming down the pike. This time don’t get burned as you most likely did during the Credit Crisis and Crash of ’08. Instead, position what is left of your portfolio such that you will actually prosper during this ongoing financial hurricane. Now that you know what is about to happen, take action, now! To just hope that everything will turn out okay would be downright foolish. Full Story
Analysts say the US will have to triple its bond issuance this year to meet the cost of federal bail out and stimulus packages, while in the UK the printing of money has sent 10-year gilt yields tumbling from 3.64 to 2.94 per cent. Full Story
Happy St Patrick's Day. Gold fell yesterday for the first day in 3 and was down some 0.8%. Gold was flat in Asia but has fallen again in Europe to $915/oz. Support remains at $900/oz. The short term trend may remain down but the medium to long term trend remains up. Full Story
By: Richard Daughty, The Mogambo Guru - 17 March, 2009
There are a lot of stockholders who buy stocks for the dividends that they pay, which is supposed to be one of THE major reasons why people buy stocks in the first place, and it makes sense… Why would you buy a business if you never got any money out of it? Full Story
Not since Ronald Reagan fired more than 11,000 air traffic controllers in 1981 has the White House dived headlong into a pay dispute. This time, though, it is Mr. Obama who is taking on the workers, and he could not have picked a more unsympathetic bunch. We are referring, of course, to the AIG traders who were gifted with $165 million in bonuses even though their employer is into the Federal government for $180 billion in rescue loans and commitments. Full Story
It is one thing to analyze on a long-term basis, and quite another to make short-term predictions. There is no doubt in my mind that silver is a rock solid long-term investment opportunity, with an absolutely spectacular risk to reward ratio and value. It’s just a matter of time before silver is priced substantially higher. As I try to point out week after week, the rise in the price of silver is inevitable. That’s all that should matter to long-term investors. Silver is the ultimate buy and hold. Full Story
Gold came tumbling down last week (but rebounded sharply thereafter) prompting the deflationists to come out again with their predictable gold crash scenarios. Never mind they’ve done so ever since $320 gold (November 2002), never mind since they will be proven wrong again. Full Story
By: Bill Bonner, The Daily Reckoning Crew - 16 March, 2009
Gird up your loins, dear reader. Put wax in your ears and lash yourself to the mast. You are about to be tempted. “Lead us not into temptation,” says the famous prayer. The old timers knew we were weak. They knew we couldn’t resist. They didn’t pray that we would “just say no” to temptation. They knew that wouldn’t happen. Instead, they prayed to God to keep temptation away from us. Full Story
Throw Mama From The Train – a funny and entertaining movie depending on who you are. But more so in terms of present circumstances in the stock market – a reflection of what we must live with right now as well. Mama was demeaning and aggravating in the movie, just like the market(s) in real life today. And unfortunately it’s enough to make people throw their sensibilities away. Full Story
By: Dr. Ron Paul, U.S. Congressman - 16 March, 2009
Earmarks seem to be the hot topic this week, and as a fiscal conservative I am dismayed so many people deliberately distort the earmarking process and grandstand to make political points. It is an easy thing to do with earmarks. It takes a little more time and patience to grasp the reality of what earmarks really are. Full Story
Actually, dear reader, the title of this article does not have any meaning. It is complete and utter nonsense. But that makes it a perfect title for an economics piece in the 21st century because pretty much every word written on the subject nowadays is complete and utter nonsense. Full Story
By: Jason Hommel, Silver Stock Report - 16 March, 2009
On February 19th, I issued a challenge to futures brokers to answer 29 questions, and in return for their answers, I gave a futures contract of my own. I said I would publish them, here, to my 80,000 readers, which would give them publicity. Six Futures Brokers rose to the challenge. Full Story
As stated in last weekends analysis and newsletter, following the Dow's Friday close at 6626 that the Dow Jones Index had now fulfilled its bear market target of 6,600 as per the analysis of 20th Jan 2009 and illustrated by the chart below. The primary focus hence forth was to "position for a bullish spike higher" that would CONFIRM the bear market low, and negate the secondary far less probable overshoot target of 5,700 to 6000. Full Story
Joining a national trend, local governments here in fiscally conservative Colorado taken a meat axe to their budgets in order to bring spending in line with plummeting have tax revenues. Broomfield, for one, has just cut outlays by $12.2 million, or five percent, postponing dozens of construction projects and instituting a hiring freeze. Full Story
1st Hour: Headline news & Market Weatherman Forecast. Spotlight Stock Picks with big dividends. The International Forecaster and Host Chris Waltzek answer listeners' questions. 2nd Hour: Michael J. Panzner, Financial Armageddon & When Giants Fall Full Story
By: Bob Chapman, The International Forecaster - 15 March, 2009
We believe the Fed started buying new Treasury instruments directly from the Treasury about four months ago. Recently Fed Chairman Bernanke put us on notice that he was going to use all the tools available to revive economic growth. We believe there will soon be news that the Fed is officially buying US Treasuries from the Treasury. Full Story
Gold managed to surge past 960 and actually traded all the way to 1004 before rapidly pulling back. Even though the Dow has gone on to put in a series of new 52 week lows and has now traded well below 7000 , Gold has not surged to new highs, this suggests that the Gold sector could be in for a sharp and short correction which could roughly last 3 months. Full Story
By: John Mauldin, Millennium Wave Advisors - 15 March, 2009
This week we look at the Land of the Rising Sun. Japan is going through major upheavals, and they will have consequences all over the world. And what are those wild and crazy Swiss central bankers up to? It's time for another round of competitive devaluation. And of course I have to look at the recent Barron's cover story, about how stocks are cheap. There's a lot to cover. Full Story
We my friends have been fortunate enough to live in a wondrous time. A time of invention, innovation and technological advancements that has inspired an evolution of the human species never before seen. And we have been chosen to live in the time of one of the greatest masters of them all. A teacher among teachers. A Jedi knight of the first order. Full Story
By: Richard Daughty, The Mogambo Guru - 15 March, 2009
So, if you think that the federal government needs your stupid tax money or that you can hurt them by working less, then I laugh – Hahahaha! – at the very concept! The Fed can, literally, create unlimited amounts of credit in the banks, which becomes unlimited amounts of money, with which to buy unlimited amounts of Treasury debt so that the government can spend unlimited more amounts of money than it collects in taxes! Full Story
The week finally saw a bounce from the past many weeks of declines. It wasn’t so much that good news rallied markets, rather a lack of bad news for a change. While some major companies are saying they are making money so far this year I will have to see it to believe it. Their brethren also said they were fine just before going bust. Full Story
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