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Weekly Archive

By: Team silberinfo - 18 May, 2007

I think silver is cheap at $13 because it is still manipulated, but it is still triple what it was at the lows. Some people say that the price increase proves silver wasn’t manipulated. I think if silver were still in the $4 to $5 level today, with everything else priced where it is, everyone would agree it was manipulated. But price alone is not what determines manipulation. What matters is how the market is structured. Full Story

By: Hugo Salinas Price - 18 May, 2007

The essence of the project to monetize the “Libertad” silver ounce and what gives it its originality, is that it builds a bridge between real money, as it existed in the world before 1914, and fictitious or “fiat” money which is in use all over the world today. Full Story

By: Bill Bonner & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 18 May, 2007

-Knowing the future cheapens the need for values…good quality stocks like catnip to consumers…
-Gods can get away with murder…Daily Reckoners humbled by our lack of clairvoyance…
-Missing royalty and neo-cons in Iraq…earning laurels in chilly outposts…and more! Full Story

By: Peter Schiff, Euro Pacific Capital, Inc. - 18 May, 2007

As Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson continues to drum up interest in direct investment in the United States, he will rely on a set of skills that only a long-time Wall Street pro can truly master. It is part of the investment banker's playbook to perform financial makeovers on questionable companies that they are engaged to sell, a process commonly known as "putting lipstick on a pig." Full Story

By: Adrian Ash - 18 May, 2007

SO THAT'S IT in gold then. The bull market that peaked in May 2006 finally gave up the ghost this week. At least, that's what Wall Street is saying. No wonder private investors are selling out, too. "We broke through major support levels [on Thurs], and there was also follow-through liquidation from the ETFs," said one dealer to Reuters early on Friday. StreetTracks GLD, the world's largest exchange-traded gold fund, had already sold 8 tonnes of bullion on Wednesday as investors quit the trust. Full Story

By: Deepcaster - 18 May, 2007

Gold has made a significant turn down in recent days as Deepcaster forecast. But why? Consider that since February, 2006 the United States' M3, Real Consumer and Producer Price Inflation, Current Account Deficit, Budget Deficit, Trade Deficit, and Downstream Unfunded Liabilities have all been increasing. Full Story

By: - 18 May, 2007

This article examines the current Silver market, Gold market and the Dow Jones Industrial average from a big picture perspective. As always our material is kept simple and easy to understand as we think simplicity is the secret to success. Full Story

By: Gary North - 18 May, 2007

The modern economy is addicted to government debt by way of central banking debt. The system is self-reinforcing. Governments spend more money and make more unfunded promises than taxes can fund. So, governments turn to debt as a way to make up the shortfall. To keep interest rates low, governments license privately owned central banks to create money in order to buy government debt. This has been the pattern ever since the creation of the Bank of England in 1694. Full Story

By: Richard Daughty, The MOGAMBO GURU - 18 May, 2007

"I deftly add the $3.7 trillion in spending by the federal government plus the $1.3 trillion by the state governments, and after a few tries I triumphantly announce that we are looking at a cool $5 trillion or more per year! Wow!" Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 18 May, 2007

The Indoos sputtered out yesterday a tad shy of a promising Hidden Pivot target at 13538. A sign of perilous fatigue? Hard to say at the moment, but if the blue chip average kisses that number as the week draws to a close, we’d be mighty tempted to take a short position over the weekend. Full Story

By: Martin Hutchinson & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 17 May, 2007

-Stumbling the fog of market trends...knowing the price of everything and the value of nothing...
-Stock and art markets near peaks...patsies who are merely 'in the market'...
-The dollar's losing battle with the shekel...foreigners will take some money off your hands...and more! Full Story

By: Antal E. Fekete - 17 May, 2007

The yen carry trade in my view still has a long way to go. It is the main prop that keeps the dollar from collapsing. It may even cause the price of US bonds rise some more. Why? The Bank of Japan will continue to feed the yen carry because it could not afford to let interest rates rise for fear of bankrupting the Japanese government, to say nothing of the Japanese banking system. The Fed will feed it because it is cornered: the alternative is ’sudden death’ for the dollar. Full Story

By: Stephen Kovaka, CPA - 17 May, 2007

My own choice is clear: continue to privately hold silver and gold as the markets spin further and further into unreality. The forces of fiat money have managed thus far to slow, but not prevent, the rise of silver and gold. Even at that, holders of silver and gold have done very well, just not as well as investors in base metals may have done. But the future may well hold a reversal of those positions. Full Story

By: Neal R. Ryan - 17 May, 2007

After rising over $3 and $0.10 in Asian trading, gold and silver began getting thumped anew this morning at the London open which led to prices taking another sharp turn lower at the NY open. The market has started trading on technicals rather than any fundamental news, with sell side pressure and shorts currently in control of the market. So what's an investor to do? Full Story

By: Clif Droke - 17 May, 2007

Over the past few days I’ve received quite a few nervous inquiries from investors who worry about the potential for the stock market to crash sometimes between now and year end. Part of this fear is founded on what is known as the Year Seven Phenomenon, which says that the seventh year of the decade usually sees a substantial stock market decline or even a crash, a ‘la 1987 and 1997. Full Story

By: Axel Merk, Merk Hard Currency Fund - 17 May, 2007

The Fed has allowed an unprecedented credit expansion to take place. Bernanke seems to believe there is no need to impose tighter credit to fight excesses that have been building up in the economy. However, if one allows a credit bubble to take place, one must also be willing to allow a severe recession or depression to take place to rid the economy of excesses that have been built up. Full Story

By: Gary North - 17 May, 2007

In theory, civil governments do not need to issue debt. Yet they do, century after century. In the history of the United States, the national government was debt-free only in 1835, in the midst of an economic boom during the second term of the presidency of Andrew Jackson, who had campaigned on a platform of reducing government debt. He fulfilled his promise. Full Story

By: Douglas V. Gnazzo - 17 May, 2007

The following is a comparison between the United Nations International Covenant on Civil and Political Right (1966) and the rights within The Constitution of the United States and The Declaration of Independence, and a further comparison to certain articles and provisions of The International Monetary Fund. Full Story

By: Jim Willie CB - 17 May, 2007

The newest deceptions are with jobs and housing. Each is much worse than reported. The housing decline might be as much as 15% worse than reported, which leads to much bigger job loss than is reported. Most of the home construction job loss is under the table, to people not on state jobless insurance programs, and to immigrant workers paid in cash. Both fall through the statistical cracks in those home frames and plywood floors underlayments. Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 17 May, 2007

I have my doubts that Wednesday’s plunge will have cleared the air, and so the 659.10 target broached here earlier still stands as my minimum downside projection. If it’s exceeded, though, the other targets that I gave at that time will apply. Full Story

By: Christopher Hancock & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 16 May, 2007

-The new wave of Chinese investors…inexperience signals the 'final phase'…
-You call this negative and frightened?…the best odds from other bettors…
-Not nervous - just cautious…where the risks are…a good-natured Frenchman…and more! Full Story

By: Neal R. Ryan - 16 May, 2007

I hate having to trot out the tired and typically misunderstood explanations of fund activity, book squaring and liquidation as the reasons for price drops, but it looks like that is exactly what the precious metals markets got smashed with today. Gold and silver both took a dive right at the same point today on a combination of position liquidations in the market, strong dollar news and oil prices falling sharply in afternoon trading. Full Story

By: Adrian Ash - 16 May, 2007

FOREIGN AFFAIRS magazine just called for the "end of national currency". Maybe it matters. After all, "Foreign Affairs is the most important and influential journal of international relations in the world," as points out. "It is the mechanism by which the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) disseminates the game plan." The CFR itself claims to count nearly all past and present US presidents, secretaries of state, defense and treasury officials amongst its 3,400 members. Full Story

By: Bob Chapman, The International Forecaster - 16 May, 2007

After having expanded money and credit by more than 10% for four years, after encouraging yen and Swiss franc carry trades worth $1.2 trillion in the expansion of credit and after allowing non-regulation of derivatives and hedge funds that created trillions more in credit, our economy has official questionable growth in the fourth quarter of 2.5% of GDP to 1.3% of GDP in the first quarter. All those trillions of dollars couldn’t keep the US economy growing over 3%. This economy is in serious trouble. Full Story

By: Neal R. Ryan - 16 May, 2007

The World Gold Council and GFMS released their joint review of the world gold market in the first quarter of 2007 this morning. The WGC cites total demand for gold in the first quarter at record levels and 4% higher than in Q1 2006. Jewelry demand in India picked up a bit as prices stabilized and demand across the board in China has ramped up. Remember, it was less than three years ago gold ownership was legalized in China for private citizens. This system is just getting up and going. We haven't seen anything yet in terms of demand out of this country. Full Story

By: David N. Vaughn, Gold Letter, Inc. - 16 May, 2007

Now is a good time to assess what we are doing and why. Or at least to attempt to understand what we are all about. Life is really short and the time never really is appropriate for whatever you want to do that is important. If you waited until you were “ready” before you had your first child you wouldn’t have any. Generally in life we find ourselves multi tasking and taking on tasks before we desire to. Full Story

By: Gary Tanashian - 16 May, 2007

Currency markets, debt markets, stock markets and sentiment indicators all point to now, as in today - yield curve closed UNinverted yesterday for the first time in a year and has turned up from a bottom that looks similar to the one in 2000, an interesting year I think we would all agree - being an interesting time. Full Story

By: Ned W. Schmidt, CFA,CEBS - 16 May, 2007

Only the truly deluded believe that the core consumer price index released for the U.S. on Tuesday has any true meaning. Only those trying to rationalize the continuation of the hedge fund bubble in U.S. financial markets give it any consideration. The core CPI is the “WMD” of the Federal Reserve's inflation commitment. Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 16 May, 2007

When I last saw my old buddy Zane Binder, Knight-Ridder was syndicating his car reviews, he was driving a $90,000 BMW loaner, and he had just starting to dabble in put and call options. Lo, he’s become not merely an armchair expert, but a veritable put-and-call whiz, employing money-making strategies that most stockbrokers would never think of, let alone try. Full Story

By: James Turk & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 15 May, 2007

-Sweet, gooey money can buy anything...capitalists hiding behind the red curtain...
-U.S. consumers are the floodgates of liquidity...fossilized investors in a cooling market...
-The Asian love affair with skyscrapers...words are greater than numbers...and more! Full Story

By: Neal R. Ryan - 15 May, 2007

Much like gold and silver in the last few years around the globe, platinum and palladium ETFs are starting to hit the market in Europe. Once these ETFs get up and running in the Euro sector, they will begin socking away some metal that could begin eating away at the surplus expected this year according to Johnson Matthey. Full Story

By: Neal R. Ryan - 15 May, 2007

CPI figures for April hit the wire this morning and showed inflation was moderating across the board, with the exception of gasoline prices. Figures showed a .4% increase in CPI numbers versus analyst expectations of a .6% rise. The markets should take this as another cue for the Fed to begin looking to ease rates instead of keeping them steady or possibly raising interest rates to combat inflation. Gold and silver are already snapping back on the CPI data being released. Full Story

By: Steven Saville, Speculative Investor - 15 May, 2007

In recent commentaries we've devoted a much larger-than-usual amount of space to the Yen. The reason is that the performance of the Yen and the related Yen carry trade are such important pieces of the current market puzzle. Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 15 May, 2007

The QQQQ trade recommended in Monday’s Touts worked out so perfectly that I want to review the steps we took to get ourselves risklessly short “the market” for the next five weeks. By day’s end, we had legged into bearish June 46-45 put spreads at no cost. That means that if “the Cubes” are trading below 45 when our options expire on June 15 (they settled yesterday at 46.45, off 39 cents) we will make $100 per spread. Full Story

By: The Mogambo Guru & The Daily Reckoning Crew - 14 May, 2007

-Just when we thought the party was over…a truck-load of cash and credit…
-The markets remain optimistic…for richer or for poorer…a rebuttal from one of our biggest critics…
-An I.O.U. with varying potential…a nightmare getting bad tenants out…an historic house for less than you'd think…and more! Full Story

By: Captain Hook - 14 May, 2007

All three, the Dow, Transports, and Utilities all closed at record highs on Friday. This is all very good from a Dow Theory perspective, providing confirmation the stock market is in a strong up trend. But how can this be with the economy in the States on the fritz? How can this be with real estate in the dumper and the threat of a credit crunch (a steepening yield curve) at the same time? Answer: It’s a tale of two cities, that of Beijing with the Summer Olympics to prepare for next year; and New York, the center of Western influence, where bankers conspire to inflate the US housing slump away. Full Story

By: - 14 May, 2007

This Weeks Guests & Highlights:

Ross Hansen
Puru Saxena
Gold Manhattan Project:
Peter Spina
Justice Litle
Richard Daughty "The Mogambo"
Gata's Chris Powell
Jack Chan
Bob Chapman
New Dow Jones record.
FOMC holds rates steady.
3 Spotlight Picks with big dividends! Full Story

By: Bob Chapman, The International Forecaster - 13 May, 2007

Recently the New York Federal Reserve released a report, which warned sharply against concentrations of risk and referred to the LTCM crisis of 1998 that nearly took down the international financial system. Since that time there has been no legislation or regulation of derivatives or hedge funds. Instead of fixing the system the Fed has adapted a wall of money and credit policy, which in itself has become another unsustainable financial bubble, which is about to pop. Full Story

By: John Mauldin, Millenium Wave Advisors - 13 May, 2007

This week we look at what I think will be another Black Swan with the potential to be one of the most disruptive introductions of technology in the last 20 years. In one sense, it is entirely predictable. On the other hand, it will fundamentally alter the economic equations of the telecommunications world, as well as spawn whole new enterprises and enable radical new ancillary technologies. Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 13 May, 2007

Here’s a headline in search of a story, from Friday’s edition of The Wall Street Journal: “Retail Sales Slide Fuels Concern.” We had to read the article twice before we were able to determine just who it is that is “concerned.” Not investors, for sure. With the Dow Industrial Average and other key indices hitting new record highs almost routinely these days, it’s clear that Wall Street is not much concerned about anything, let alone how the nation’s shopkeepers are doing. Full Story

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