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Weekly Archive

By: Julian D. W. Phillips, Gold/Silver Forecaster - Global Watch - 18 December, 2009

A 5% correction in one day, is this reasonable? That happened to gold and many would say was consistent with its reputation as a volatile market. But at the same time most markets reflected the same volatility and have recently been doing so regularly. Actually, gold’s reputation as a volatile market [when others are stable] is misplaced. Full Story

By: The Gold Report and Porter Stansberry - 18 December, 2009

The U.S. dollar has reigned as the world's reserve currency for more than 30 years. That's a real anomaly in the history of paper money, according to Stansberry & Associates Investment Research founder Porter Stansberry, but the dollar's days on the throne are numbered. Full Story

By: Louis James, Senior Analyst/Editor, Casey’s International Speculator - 18 December, 2009

At a recent Casey Research editors’ meeting, the team took on the question of whether the somewhat steady recovery since last February’s washout bottom in the broader markets had any of us thinking that the recession might be over. The gathering of minds included: Doug Casey, Managing Director David Galland, CEO Olivier Garret, Casey Chief Economist Bud Conrad, Senior Energy Analyst Marin Katusa (my counterpart on the energy side), myself heading the metals division, and several other editors... Full Story

By: Przemyslaw Radomski - 18 December, 2009

Summing up, although gold is quite popular topic in the media these days, vast majority of investors is still out of the market. They talk about it - become increasingly more interested in the PM sector - but they are not convinced enough to buy silver and gold. This is why there is still much room to go for this bull market, and for you to multiply profits that you have achieved so far. Full Story

By: Adam Hamilton, Zeal Intelligence LLC - 18 December, 2009

One year ago this week, I wrote about the end of the gold-stock panic. As measured by its flagship HUI gold-stock index, this sector plummeted an unbelievable 52% in a matter of weeks in October 2008. It was an epic catastrophe and its aftermath is still reverberating through gold stocks to this day. All of 2009 has been defined by gold stocks’ recovery from this unprecedented panic anomaly. Full Story

By: Deepcaster - 18 December, 2009

Reality Check: 2010 is shaping up to be more like 2008, and much less like 2009, so far as the economy and markets are concerned. To identify Profit Opportunities it is essential first to identify the Main Prospective Wealth Destroyers for 2010. Full Story

By: Puru Saxena - 18 December, 2009

Make no mistake; the developed world is drowning in debt and as outlined above, there are only two viable options – a global economic depression or very high inflation. It is our contention that the policymakers have chosen the latter option and over the following years, we will experience the trauma of severe inflation. Full Story

By: Bix Weir - 18 December, 2009

The following is a new Road to Roota Series called “FRIDAY ROAD TRIP” that is sent out to Subscribers every Friday. It is a mind dump of gold/silver related issues and topics swirling around my head at the end of every week. Full Story

By: Vincent Bressler - 18 December, 2009

I was born in 1964. That was the last year that the USA coined real money for general circulation. Now imagine that you have two dimes in front of you, one of them is from 1964, one of them much younger. But the 1964 coin looks young, barely worn. That’s because those coins went out of circulation starting in 1965. People held on to them. Full Story

By: Jason Hommel, Silver Stock Report - 18 December, 2009

When I started working for myself, I made my very first money, enough to save for the very first time, but I was working so hard, over 80 hours a week! I guess God finally caught up to me, because, at some point, I began to think. And that's when it all started. Full Story

By: Tim Iacono - 18 December, 2009

The question of what motivates underwater homeowners to either stay put and continue to make their mortgage payments (if they can) or "walk away" from their home (and their financial obligations) has been receiving an increasing amount of attention in recent weeks. Full Story

By: The Energy Report and Keith Schaefer - 18 December, 2009

"If gas stays in the $5–$6 range, that's what I would call purgatory," says Oil & Gas Investments Bulletin writer Keith Schaefer, adding "and anything less than that would just be hell." Learn about new technologies that are greatly increasing the amount of recoverable oil in the world and find out why Keith warns investors to be very, very selective, particularly in Canadian natural gas stocks in this exclusive interview with The Energy Report. Full Story

By: R. D. Bradshaw - 18 December, 2009

The Rothschild plan to make money and rule the world is laid out in excruciating detail in an article on Understanding Money and War, Part XIV, at www.analysis-news.com. This reference describes an ancient writing reportedly written by or for old man Mayer Amschel Rothschild, some 250 years ago. Full Story

By: Ira Epstein - 17 December, 2009

De-Link! Yep, that’s what it looks like it’s going to take for gold to resume its uptrend. The March Dollar Index bottomed out near 74.50 and is currently running up, breaking through the 78.00 level. As the Dollar rallies, gold is losing value. The relationship between gold and the Dollar Index is pretty evident. It is an inverse relationship. When this relationship de-links, I expect gold to resume its uptrend. Full Story

By: Trace Mayer, J.D. - 17 December, 2009

The COMEX has raised the margin requirements for gold and silver futures contracts. Additionally, gold is trading in minor backwardation but this is probably not serious. The margin requirement rise validates the strength of the bull market. There will likely be additional margin requirement increases during this upleg. Full Story

By: Brady Willett - 17 December, 2009

President Obama wants more regulatory eyeballs on the increasingly precarious financial marketplace, but he is unwilling to take up the challenge of actually making the markets any less precarious. To be sure, Mr. Obama has made absolutely no effort to breakup the banks, to curtail the Fed’s unmitigated powers, or to sort out the ongoing and growing mess that is Freddie and Fannie. Full Story

By: radio.GoldSeek.com - 17 December, 2009

Special GSR Gold Nugget: Dr. Ron Paul & Chris Waltzek Full Story

By: John Browne, Senior Market Strategist, Euro Pacific Capital - 17 December, 2009

As the price of gold has pulled back from its recent run up to $1,200, many investors are left to ponder what exactly drives the movement of such an important and financially sensitive commodity. Most people are aware that gold prices respond to inflation expectations and that central banks, as the largest holders of gold, are big players in the market. But there is a very murky understanding as to why and how these players affect prices, and what their ultimate goal may be. Full Story

By: Dr. Marc Bustin, Editor, Casey’s Energy Report - 17 December, 2009

Over the last couple of years, consideration of the effect of climate change has become increasingly important in analyzing a company or market trend — particularly in the energy sector. For example, our very bearish view on the thermal coal producers in North America is due exclusively to the high levels of carbon dioxide that coal-fired power plants generate, and the widely held belief that these emissions contribute to global warming. Full Story

By: Lorimer Wilson - 17 December, 2009

“Lack of confidence in the gold price bull prevails. Almost everyone seems obligated to hedge when predicting price, in spite of having marshaled an array of intimidating and compelling facts and arguments” says Arnold Bock and in his article below he questions why there is so much reluctance. Full Story

By: David Morgan and by Dr. Allen Alper - 17 December, 2009

We recently had a chance to interview David Morgan of the Silver-Investor.com—home of The Morgan Report a financial newsletter focusing on Money, Metals, and Mining. David Morgan is one of the leaders in forecasting growth and value in silver, gold, rare earth elements and other resource opportunities. He offered his thoughts on everything from the future of the U.S. dollar to the current silver and gold price cycle. Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 17 December, 2009

With Time magazine’s momentous selection of Ben Bernanke as Person of the Year, there were reports of people dancing in the streets in, um, Oslo. Leave it to Time to figure out a way to make Henry Luce roll in his grave while outdoing rival Newsweek in the race to claim publishing’s trophy for irrelevancy. While the understandably isolated delirium over Bernanke’s selection subsides, we thought we’d update the prospectus on gold with a contribution from a Rick’s Picks subscriber who has requested anonymity. Full Story

By: Gary Dorsch, Editor, Global Money Trends - 16 December, 2009

“As the old saying goes, what the wise man does at the beginning, fools do in the end,” said Warren Buffett, at Berkshire Hathaway’s Annual Meeting, in May 2006. “It’s like Cinderella at the ball. You know that at midnight everything’s going to turn back to pumpkins and mice. But you look around and say, one more dance, and so does everyone else... Full Story

By: Adrian Ash, BullionVault - 16 December, 2009

Gold has no value. Whereas the Dollar...? NOURIEL ROUBINI was "one of the few to predict the financial crisis" reckons the Financial Times. Yet plenty of other chicken littles, amateur and professional, had long warned of trouble ahead, too. Full Story

By: Przemyslaw Radomski - 16 December, 2009

Summing up, silver - just like gold - appears to be ending the first part of the current decline. Naturally, the white metal may move higher at any time due to the positive fundamental situation, so I'm not advocating being totally out of the PM market at this moment. Full Story

By: Sol Palha, Tactical Investor - 16 December, 2009

The Fed has been keeping interest rates very low hoping that both business and consumers will start to spend money they don't have as they used to in the past. In reality, consumers continue to borrow less. Consumer borrowing has dropped for 9 months in a row. The above chart of the 30 year bond indicates that long term yields have been slowly rising. The bond market determines long term rates and not the Feds. Full Story

By: Bob Chapman, The International Forecaster - 16 December, 2009

The past two years have seen the greatest outpouring of money and credit from central banks and governments in history. In most countries interest rates cannot fall much lower being presently under 1% or close to zero. You might call this an attempt at fiat money recovery. As a result of pump priming for the past six months or more investors have returned to the same gambling and risk taking they engaged in before, the losses of which caused the world economy to come to the edge of the financial abyss. All sectors of investment are again affected by a casino mentality. Full Story

By: Adam Brochert - 16 December, 2009

Watching the national paper fiat currencies rising and falling relative to one another can be interesting, but it is misleading for many of those who take it seriously. When the U.S. Dollar Index is rising, Americans are gaining in their standard of living as it takes fewer dollars to buy things, right? Not necessarily. Full Story

By: radio.GoldSeek.com - 16 December, 2009

Special GSR Gold Nugget: Gerald Celente & Chris Waltzek Full Story

By: Dr. Jeffrey Lewis - 16 December, 2009

Critics of precious metals investing have called gold and silver a bubble, further claiming that today's higher prices will fade as economic conditions improve. Although gold and silver prices are much more expensive than they were even a few years ago, gold and silver are hardly near bubble status. Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 16 December, 2009

Can you think of anyone other than CNBC’s talking heads who’s bullish on the economy, bullish on the banking system, and bullish on real estate? Nor could we after brainstorming the question with radio host Al Korelin yesterday. We had just taped a update on gold for the Korelin Economics Report when our host asked whether we knew any full-throated optimists who could hold their own in a radio interview. Full Story

By: Jim Willie CB - 15 December, 2009

The continuation of the bank dominoes took 14 months, but it occurred. The initial destructive impact craters were carved in the United States and England. To be sure, major damage was done to assets in Spain and Greece and other smaller nations in the last year, but their banks had remained insulated. The discredit and death of the central bank franchise system showed first clear evidence in September 2008 on Wall Street. The unique mysterious aspect of banking systems is how they cannot be rebuilt once they turn insolvent. Full Story

By: The Gold Report and Michael Berry - 15 December, 2009

Discovery Investing pioneer Dr. Michael Berry's number-one hedging strategy against the struggling U.S. dollar is to simply own currencies of the commodity countries—of which Canada is his favorite. When Michael grew up in Canada, he recalls its currency— now fondly known as the loonie because of the image of the loon used on the die for the back of the C$1 coin—always being worth more than the U.S. dollar. Full Story

By: Jeff Clark, Editor, Casey’s Gold & Resource Report - 15 December, 2009

Doug Casey and the editors at Casey Research are very skeptical that we are experiencing any sort of economic recovery. In our opinion, too many economic indicators are based on faulty data and optimistic assumptions. Our research suggests that a recovery isn’t sustainable yet. And with that, we lack the foundation needed to support the rapidly rising stock markets. Full Story

By: Axel Merk - 15 December, 2009

After renting four homes in the San Francisco Bay Area this decade, I bought a house last month. I had been a long-time advocate of renting rather than buying, so what drove me to buy a house now? Has the time come to buy a house as an inflation hedge? Buying a house should be a matter of risk, not price. Full Story

By: Steven Saville, Speculative Investor - 15 December, 2009

When the banking system (the central bank and the commercial banks) creates so much new money out of nothing that the total supply of money rises rapidly, it can be likened to counterfeiting on a grand scale. This counterfeiting distorts price signals, brings about the undeserved transfer of wealth to the first receivers of the new money, and depletes real savings. Full Story

By: Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT - 15 December, 2009

Sentiment in the medium to intermediate term remains supportive for Gold. We suspect that after several more weeks of consolidation or weakness, the GLD put/call ratio will rise, thereby giving a bullish short-term signal. As always, we weigh sentiment along with the technicals. Full Story

By: Ron Holland - 15 December, 2009

Americans should in the meantime insulate themselves from the coming dollar and debt debacle by investing in gold bullion stored in the US and outside in secure facilities like "Global Gold" in Switzerland as well as foreign currency diversification with the Euro and Swiss franc. Don’t wait, take action now while you still have the opportunity to protect and preserve your wealth. Full Story

By: Neil Charnock - 15 December, 2009

Well gold has retreated for a breather and so has the Australian gold sector as expected but this is not the end, barely half time in this up-leg for gold. I have drawn a few ellipse shapes on the 5 year gold chart below because I want to point out the pair of up-legs during 2007 and 2008. Full Story

By: Peter J. Cooper - 15 December, 2009

1. Stay out of all equities. This is a monstrous valuation bubble driven up by zero interest rates. Rates have to go up, and stock markets down. Markets will correct when something reminds them that this is the future outlook. Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks - 15 December, 2009

This has been a great year for gold, but investors can’t seem to shake the jitters they acquired in 2008, when prices plunged 35% between March and October after poking briefly above $1000 for the first time. Is last week’s 10% selloff the beginning of another murderous correction? We don’t think so, although it could take a few more weeks for prices to consolidate for the next strong push. Full Story

By: Peter Schiff, Euro Pacific Capital, Inc. - 14 December, 2009

Although Barack Obama has refrained, at least for now, from delivering triumphant speeches in a naval flight suit, there is nevertheless a strong tone of accomplishment emanating from the President and his deputies. Over the weekend, top White House economic adviser Lawrence Summers even pronounced that the recession is now over. Full Story

By: Marc Davis - 14 December, 2009

Central banks – the long-time nemesis of the gold sector – are doing an about-face to become its biggest supporters. And this quantum shift promises to gather momentum in 2010 with the prospect of a new era of net buying continuing to fuel robust demand for bullion. Full Story

By: Clif Droke - 14 December, 2009

Over the last few years we’ve made reference to the “cult” of non-participation. By this I mean the relative lack of retail investor interest in the stock market compared to the former decade. In tonight’s report we’ll look at why this trend of non-participation may be soon coming to an end. Full Story

By: Theodore Butler - 14 December, 2009

Recently, I have raised the possibility that silver trading might be terminated on the world’s largest silver exchange, the COMEX (The Commodity Exchange, Inc.), now owned by the CME Group, which in turn is the largest futures exchange in the world. I hope everyone realizes that this is an extreme speculation on my part, and that the likelihood of such an event must be considered remote. Full Story

By: David Coffin and Eric Coffin - 14 December, 2009

The gold price has swept past the US $1200 mark - in both directions - so it’s time to check numbers against concepts and patterns. The yellow metal’s modern history began with Western economic expansion in the 19th century. That outstripped our ability to supply gold equivalent to economic activity, at fixed rates. Full Story

By: Andrew Mickey, Q1 Publishing - 14 December, 2009

Renowned speculator Bernard Baruch once said, “The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many men as possible.” As 2009 comes to a close, this year’s most popular investment is likely to make a lot of investors look like fools. But investors getting prepared now will be able to avoid the hazard and position themselves for maximum profit. Here’s how. Full Story

By: Captain Hook - 14 December, 2009

Robert Prechter was out again this week reminding us all why deflation remains an immanent danger, and to dawn our crash helmets looking for ‘big declines’ in everything from stocks to gold. Of course anybody taking his advice seriously over the past 20 years has for the most part been on the wrong side of the trade for extended periods of time because he basically does not take into account just how desperate and crazy countervailing forces (the bureaucracy) to the primary trends he sees are, which is the case at present. Full Story

By: Dr. Ron Paul, U.S. Congressman - 14 December, 2009

Last week, in the name of protecting the little guy from Wall Street, the House passed HR 4173 to increase the little guy’s false sense of security in the financial system. This mammoth piece of legislation would massively increase government regulation and oversight in the banking industry under the misguided reasoning that more government could have stopped faulty lending practices, when in actuality it caused them. Full Story

By: Howard S. Katz - 14 December, 2009

Right now the financial markets are telling us a story which is so incredible, so fantastic and filled with such opportunities for profit that I am in awe. I can only remember two comparable opportunities in my lifetime, the bottom in gold at $35/oz. in the summer of 1970 and the bottom in stocks in the summer of 1982 at 780 DJI. Full Story

By: Dr. Christian Normann - 14 December, 2009

When gold reached our short-term target of about $1200, we closed our gold and silver futures trading positions. We have since been looking to reenter our long gold and GDXJ junior gold miner trading positions whenever gold traded close to its 10 week (50 day) moving average (currently around $1102 and rising about $2 per day), and we did so on Friday at equivalent to $1110 spot when gold came within less than one percent of its 10 week moving average. Full Story

By: radio.GoldSeek.com - 13 December, 2009

1st Hour:
-Dr. Marc Faber, GloomBoomDoom.com
2nd Hour:
-Jim Rogers: A Bull In China Full Story

By: Julian D. W. Phillips, Gold/Silver Forecaster - Global Watch - 13 December, 2009

It was Alan Greenspan who said that, “gold is money in extremis”. By this all understood that when times got tough, gold became money that people could trust. But what constitutes “in extremis”? Full Story

By: Clive Maund - 13 December, 2009

The last update posted on the 29th November called a top in gold, which occurred just a few days later. This was actually quite easy to do given the overbought extreme that then existed and the fervour of bullishness spilling over into the mainstream financial media. Gold has since reacted back heavily and our task now is to decide whether this is just a reaction in an ongoing and possibly still accelerating uptrend, or whether it marks an intermediate top, or worse the onset of a full-blown bearmarket. Full Story

By: Peter J. Cooper - 13 December, 2009

This final scene in the global financial crisis could be played out over a few months but far more likely a few years as the central bankers grapple with a deteriorating situation. So if you think dollar strength is a sign of economic recovery, think again and do not forget to buy some gold and silver. Full Story

By: Bob Chapman, The International Forecaster - 13 December, 2009

Congressional appropriators agreed Tuesday night to give civilian federal employees a 2 percent pay increase -- which includes a locality pay increase President Obama didn't want. Government workers will get a 1.5 percent nationwide increase in base pay and a 0.5 percent average increase in locality pay. The final agreement goes against the wishes of Obama, who called for a flat 2 percent jump and no locality increase. Full Story

By: John Mauldin, Millennium Wave Advisors - 13 December, 2009

We are clearly starting to get some better data points here and there. But as I pointed out this summer, it is going to be a recovery in the statistics and not in the things that count, such as income and employment. This week we look at the nascent recovery (which could be at 3% this quarter) and try to peer out into the future to see what it means. Full Story

By: R. D. Bradshaw - 13 December, 2009

When a top French Bank warns the French people that a gigantic economic/monetary/deflationary collapse could be very close, thinking people must wake up and take notice. This happened on or about Nov 19th in an article by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard from the London Telegraph. I read this prediction with interest from the Society Generale Bank in France. Full Story

By: Warren Bevan - 13 December, 2009

This weeks letter is slightly shorter than normal to make up for last weeks long one. And of course it’s party season and the last thing most people want to do is work! So let’s get right into it. It’s all good and there really is nothing to worry about this holiday season. Hopefully this will help to make this a more relaxing and enjoyable holiday season for you. Full Story

By: Merv Burak, CMT - 13 December, 2009

The rough period in gold is upon us. Now the question is for how long? I’ll let others answer that question. I’ll just follow the action wherever it takes me. For now that is the down side but it does look like a slight bottoming taking place. Full Story




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