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Weekly Archive

By: Ira Epstein - 18 January, 2019

Surprise news on China-US Trade Deal progress sinks metals with exception of copper on Friday. Full Story

By: Mike Gleason - 18 January, 2019

If I'm correct in my overall analysis that stagflation is basically the meme for the year, and that means a lower stock market from this point to the end of the year and it'll go up and down and fluctuate, all markets do. That will put more impetus into the commodity sector but, again, if we have a global slowdown, then the top-tier of the commodity sector, which is money, gold and silver will be the best assets to hold. I think we had a pretty good prelude in December and, I know I'm rehashing old ground to make this point… silver outperformed gold almost two to one in the four-week, five-week time frame. Full Story

By: David Brady, CFA - 18 January, 2019

In my opinion, the final Act of this stock market crash has yet to play out, and when it does, the Fed will reverse policy. This will signal THE LOW in Gold, Silver, and the Miners, and all will soar from there, in my opinion. At the risk of stating the obvious, and in order to be crystal clear, if we do get a sizeable pullback in Gold, Silver, and the Miners—and I expect we will for all of the reasons mentioned—this is your best opportunity to BTFD, because we will likely never see such levels again. Full Story

By: Adam Hamilton, CPA - 18 January, 2019

Gold investment demand reversed sharply higher in recent months, fueling a strong gold rally. The big stock-market selloff rekindled interest in prudently diversifying stock-heavy portfolios with counter-moving gold. These mounting investment-capital inflows into gold are likely to persist and intensify. Both weaker stock markets and higher gold prices will continue to drive more investment demand, growing gold’s upleg. Full Story

By: - 18 January, 2019

Ryan Walsh, the Canadian "Nikola Tesla" makes his show debut, presenting his research with potentially world-changing implications.
Mr. Walsh appears to have uncovered a most important scientific discovery.
Ryan Walsh's passion for the work of legendary scientific investigator, Carl Sagan lead his search for signs of life throughout the universe.
Our guest analyses a modern phenomenon known as fast radio bursts (FRB). Full Story

By: - 18 January, 2019

Michael Pento, President and Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies LLC returns to Radio with a cutting-edge dialogue on Bitcoin.
Fiat money is quickly becoming a true "barbarous relic" thanks to the unsound policies of global central bankers.
The host outlines a bullet list of the remarkable qualities of cryptocurrencies "future-money" and the duo engage in a thought provoking debate. Full Story

By: Gary Tanashian - 18 January, 2019

As the US stock market was becoming deeply oversold (and over-hated, sentiment-wise) in December we planned for a holiday seasonal bounce, which finally arrived with the immediate reversal after the Christmas Eve massacre when the machines (and a few human casino patrons) drove it to its downside climax. The bounce was almost a certainty, given the sentiment backdrop of the moment. Full Story

By: John Rubino - 18 January, 2019

So why does this feel like such a let-down? Because the stars were aligned for a much bigger move. The structure of the late 2018 futures market had speculators historically short – which normally portends a big price increase. January is also the seasonally best time for gold and silver, since that’s when Asians stock up on jewelry to give at Spring weddings. Full Story

By: Steve St. Angelo - 18 January, 2019

The U.S. Federal debt bomb continues to increase, even with the government shut down. In just one day, the U.S. public debt increased $50 billion on Jan 15th. While the total outstanding Federal debt has now reached nearly $22 trillion, it doesn’t include all U.S. government debt. Full Story

By: Arkadiusz Sieron - 18 January, 2019

Will 2019 be better than 2018 for the yellow metal? We invite you to read our today’s article, painting the macroeconomic outlook for 2018 and learn whether fundamental factors will become less or more friendly toward gold. Full Story

By: Ira Epstein - 17 January, 2019

Gold looks poised to breakout to the upside. Silver fell to key support today. Full Story

By: Stefan Gleason - 17 January, 2019

Never in our lifetimes has American politics been so marked by division and dysfunction. The longest partial government shutdown in history occurred after the Democrat-controlled Congress wouldn’t compromise with President Trump on a border wall. The impasse is but one symptom of a deeper malady – one that threatens to wreak wider social and financial instability in the years ahead. Full Story

By: Dave Kranzler - 17 January, 2019

The post-Christmas stock rally extended through Wednesday as the small-cap and tech stocks led the way, with the Russell 2000 up 14.3% and the Nasdaq up 12.5%. The SPX and Dow are up 10.4% and 10.1% respectively. During the stretch between December 26th and January 17th, the Russell 2000 index experienced only two down days. Full Story

By: Jp Cortez - 17 January, 2019

A group of Wyoming legislators have introduced three bills this week to de-risk the state’s financial holdings with modest allocations to physical gold and silver in the state’s pension fund, reserve fund, and mineral trust fund. Full Story

By: Merk Research - 17 January, 2019

As part of Merk's in-house research we regularly evaluate a consistent set of charts covering the economy, equities, fixed income, commodities and currencies. The aim is to keep our eyes open and to look through the noise of the headlines, avoiding the distractions of sensationalized click-bait. In sharing this content, we offer a cross-check to your own thinking and aim to add value to your own process. Full Story

By: David Haggith - 17 January, 2019

So, the Fed loads the gun with financial causes and then pulls the trigger. In fact, I think it would be hard to find a major financial imbalance in the US that the Fed did not have a hand in creating or, at least, enabling. Therefore, if those are the only two causes, then it is always the Federal Reserve that causes recessions by its own admission. Full Story

By: Arkadiusz Sieron - 17 January, 2019

71 days. That’s all that separates us from the Brexit deadline. And the UK has still no clear path forward exiting the EU. Does gold have one? Today's analysis features possible scenarios for the UK and for gold along with their likelihood. In the current political situation, it's a must-read. Full Story

By: Rick Ackerman - 17 January, 2019

Although Rick’s Picks was itching to short into strength as Wednesday began, we stepped aside when buyers came on stronger than expected. Their bravado didn’t last long, however, and by day’s end bulls looked spent. Even so, the intraday highs easily exceeded some short-term rally targets (see chart inset), implying that a moderate pullback from these levels should be regarded as a buying opportunity. Full Story

By: Ira Epstein - 16 January, 2019

Gold continue to move a bit higher, in a tight, consolidation range type trade. Full Story

By: Richard (Rick) Mills - 16 January, 2019

More gold mines will be going on the block thanks to a blockbuster gold mining company tie-up announced Monday. And major gold companies will also be looking to acquire large, preferably high-grade deposits, due to the ever-present problem of depleting mine reserves, as extraction costs become more expensive and profit margins squeezed without a significant rise in the gold price. Full Story

By: Gary Christenson - 16 January, 2019

The M2 measure of money supply has increased about 6.7% per year since 1971 when President Nixon severed the last hint of gold backing the dollar. The subsequent deluge of digital dollars levitated prices for oil, trucks, hamburgers, the SPX 500 Index, silver and almost everything else. Examine the log scale graph of M2 and smoothed silver prices. M2 rises, while silver prices increase to unsustainable levels, fall too low and then rise again. Full Story

By: Frank Holmes - 16 January, 2019

You might have heard that Newmont Mining will be buying Goldcorp in a massive $10 billion deal. The resultant company, to be headquartered in Denver, will be the world’s largest gold producer by number of ounces mined—larger even than what’s being called “New Barrick,” after the $6.5 billion merger of industry giants Barrick Gold and Randgold Resources, announced back in September. Whereas Barrick-Randgold produced a combined 6.6 million ounces of gold in 2017, Newmont-Goldcorp was responsible for as much as nearly 8 million ounces. Full Story

By: Ira Epstein - 15 January, 2019

Metals stall, but hold overall gains as US Dollar rallies sharply. Full Story

By: Craig Hemke - 15 January, 2019

For each of the past several years, we've written January posts that helped to serve as a road map for the year ahead. Though crystal ball gazing is an inexact science, on balance we've done a pretty good job with these forecasts. As 2019 dawns, we thought we should give it another try today. Full Story

By: Stewart Thomson - 15 January, 2019

A gold price in the $1400+ area would turn many of these companies into “cash cows”… and do so at a time when most companies in America face an earnings and revenue meltdown. An institutional stampede into gold stocks in this new and emerging situation is not a pipedream. It’s becoming more of a probable event than just a potential scenario. Full Story

By: James Anderson - 15 January, 2019

We along with many of our customers fully expect similar occurrences to come, given the well documented poor US financial situation of our government and various financial institutions today. The following is a similar gold accounting for runaway deficit spending which occurred beginning with the US Civil War through the late 1870s (with gold doing the work, while silver was demonetized for assistance for many decades to follow). Full Story

By: Darryl Robert Schoon - 15 January, 2019

After the 2008 financial crisis, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke invoked Milton Friedman’s theory that a helicopter drop of money could prevent a collapsing credit bubble from becoming a Great Depression. When credit bubbles burst, defaulting debt and disappearing demand cause the velocity of money to plunge; and, in 2008, Bernanke resorted to Friedman’s untested theory hoping to prevent the US economy from collapsing as it did in the 1930s. Full Story

By: Frank Holmes - 15 January, 2019

Our ever-popular Periodic Table of Commodity Returns has been updated for 2018 and is now available on the U.S. Global Investors website! I invite you to get lost using the interactive feature, which easily allows you to highlight a certain commodity, the top performer, the most volatile and more. Full Story

By: Steve St. Angelo - 15 January, 2019

Investors should prepare for crazy and turbulent markets in 2019. As the correction in the broader markets picks up speed and heads much lower, investor worry will start to turn into fear. At this point, the precious metals will likely disconnect from the markets and move higher as investors move into gold and silver to protect wealth. Full Story

By: Clint Siegner - 15 January, 2019

The two largest private producers of bullion bars and rounds in the U.S. have gone defunct over the past two years. Premiums for silver bars and rounds are already on the rise as markets adjust to the lack of supply. Full Story

By: Andy Sutton and Graham Mehl - 15 January, 2019

Liquidity is becoming of central importance once again. It is frequently mentioned in mainstream media articles, interviews, and ‘educational’ programs. It was a central point of discussion during the financial market blowout in 2008. Full Story

By: George Smith - 15 January, 2019

As to paper money, in any light it can be viewed, it is at best a bubble. Considered as property, it is inconsistent to suppose that the breath of an assembly, whose authority expires with the year, can give to paper the value and duration of gold. They cannot even engage that the next assembly shall receive it in taxes. And by the precedent (for authority there is none), that one assembly makes paper money, another may do the same, until confidence and credit are totally expelled, and all the evils of depreciation acted over again. Full Story

By: Arkadiusz Sieron - 15 January, 2019

Could you imagine life without a government? Now, you can. The federal government has been shut down since December 22nd, 2018. The government shutdown does not, of course, imply that the whole government is closed. Only non-essential discretionary federal programs and agencies close. They include NASA, IRS, Department of Commerce, Department of Education, Department of Labor, Food and Drug Administration, etc. Full Story

By: Steven Saville - 15 January, 2019

The ‘true fundamentals’ began shifting in gold’s favour in October of last year and by early-December the fundamental backdrop was gold-bullish for the first time in almost a year. However, there is not yet confirmation of a new gold bull market from the most reliable indicator of gold’s major trend. Full Story

By: Jim Willie CB - 14 January, 2019

The year 2018 was a memorable year of great transitions. They involved changes in the political arena. They saw enormous changes in the debt picture, for both the USGovt and the major Western corporations. They saw a struggle to terminate the QE bond monetization, laced with hyper-inflation. They offered staggering damage to California, whose effects are easily 100 times greater than the World Trade Center fallout. They offered resistance to the US-led bully tactics, in slapping sanctions even on the US allies, a forecast by the Jackass two years ago. The globalist cabal agenda has been dealt a powerful damaging blow, perhaps lethal, during a year of great exposure for their criminality. The transitions offered a complete shift away from the perception of USMilitary full spectrum dominance. But the most important changes have come in the finance and economic sectors. Full Story

By: David Chapman - 14 January, 2019

We continue to maintain this is nothing more than a bear market rally. We expect we will see many over the next couple of years. Following nine and half years of a bull market, a bear market should not be a surprise. Except many will believe this is merely a correction similar to what we saw in 2011 and 2015/2016. Those two corrections saw the DJI lose 16.8% and 14.5% respectively. A good definition of a correction. Full Story

By: Frank Holmes, US Funds - 14 January, 2019

The best performing metal this week was palladium, up 1.71 percent, and now the most expensive precious metal. Gold, meanwhile, is set for its fourth weekly gain, marking its longest rally since October. Traders surveyed by Bloomberg are bullish on the yellow metal for a ninth straight week. In December, China added to its gold reserves for the first time since October 2016, according to the People’s Bank of China. Reserves now total 59.56 million ounces, or $76.331 billion. China – the world’s top producer of gold – adding to its reserves is a bullish sign for the precious metal. Full Story

By: Keith Weiner, Monetary Metals - 14 January, 2019

For years, people blamed the global financial crisis on greed. Doesn’t this make you want to scream out, “what, were people not greedy in 2007 or 1997??” Greed utterly fails to explain the phenomenon. It merely serves to reinforce a previously-held belief. Far be it from us to challenge previously-held beliefs (OK, OK, we may engage in some sacred-ox-goring from time to time), but this is not a scientific approach to explaining observed events. To properly understand a crisis, you have to look for the root cause. And if the crisis did not occur previously, your theory needs to explain why not then, and why only now. Full Story

By: John Mauldin, Mauldin Economics - 14 January, 2019

Shaky China
Brexit Breakage
Helpless Europe
DC, Back to Dorado, more Florida, and Boca Raton
Full Story

By: David Jensen - 14 January, 2019

Well, I think if you take a long view and look at metals, they've risen from 250 U.S. dollars an ounce gold in the year 2000 to the $1,300 level now. And I know that is lower than the $1,900 dollars we saw (seven) years ago. But I do think that they have performed somewhat, even though the performance has been muted even with the trading of these unallocated contracts. But I do see a year ahead of us here due to the leverage in the markets, due to the really chronic underproduction, over consumption of the precious metals due to the mal-pricing by the bullion banks. We're now at the point, now, where it's very difficult to hide these problems, Mike. So, I really see this year here as being a hinge point, an inflection point for these markets. And I think that we're going to see the physical market start to really assert itself. Full Story

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